The Impact Of Climate Change On Nigeria’s Agricultural Output. An Overview PDF Download
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Author: Ugboja Onuche Gideon
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3346364038
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 54
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Book Description
Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2020 in the subject Geography / Earth Science - Meteorology, Aeronomy, Climatology, grade: 1, Kogi State Polytechnic, course: Economics, language: English, abstract: This study investigates the impact of climate change on agricultural output in Nigeria economy within the period of 1986 to 2017. The study employed Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL). The study examined the impact of climate change on Nigeria’s agricultural output. Investigated the existence of longrun relationship between climate change and agricultural outputs in Nigeria, examined the direction of causation between climate change and economic growth in Nigeria. From the findings it was discovered that one year lag value of carbon emission is highly significant, and it is positively related to agricultural output in the short run and long run. It was also discovered that one year lag of rainfall is negatively related to agricultural output and it is insignificant. Furthermore, it was also revealed that one year lag of temperature is positively related to agricultural output, meaning there is a positive relationship between agricultural output and temperature in Nigeria. The study therefore recommended that it is necessary for the government and other relevant authorities to constantly provide information on rainfall distribution ahead of time to help the farmers plan. And also recommended that government should ensure appropriate temperature information most especially there is need that various agricultural output needs to put into consideration.
Author: Ugboja Onuche Gideon
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3346364038
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 54
Get Book Here
Book Description
Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2020 in the subject Geography / Earth Science - Meteorology, Aeronomy, Climatology, grade: 1, Kogi State Polytechnic, course: Economics, language: English, abstract: This study investigates the impact of climate change on agricultural output in Nigeria economy within the period of 1986 to 2017. The study employed Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL). The study examined the impact of climate change on Nigeria’s agricultural output. Investigated the existence of longrun relationship between climate change and agricultural outputs in Nigeria, examined the direction of causation between climate change and economic growth in Nigeria. From the findings it was discovered that one year lag value of carbon emission is highly significant, and it is positively related to agricultural output in the short run and long run. It was also discovered that one year lag of rainfall is negatively related to agricultural output and it is insignificant. Furthermore, it was also revealed that one year lag of temperature is positively related to agricultural output, meaning there is a positive relationship between agricultural output and temperature in Nigeria. The study therefore recommended that it is necessary for the government and other relevant authorities to constantly provide information on rainfall distribution ahead of time to help the farmers plan. And also recommended that government should ensure appropriate temperature information most especially there is need that various agricultural output needs to put into consideration.
Author: Amare, Mulubrhan
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN:
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 6
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Book Description
Key Highlights: Changes in temperature, measured in harmful degree days (HDDs), and precipitation have a significant negative impact on agricultural productivity in Nigeria, which highlights the adverse effects of extreme weather on crop yields. Climate changes affect income sources for farming households. We found that an increase in HDDs reduces households’ income share from crops and nonfarm self-employment, implying threats to household food security for smallholders whose livelihoods depend on subsistence farming and food consumption from own sources. In response to the risks posed by climate change, farmers adopt changes in crop mixes (for example, reducing the share of land allocated to cereals) and input use decisions (for example, reducing fertilizer use and purchased seeds) as an adaptation strategy. Adaption strategies that lead to low use of yield-enhancing modern inputs could worsen agricultural productivity and household food insecurity. However, we found that farmers in Nigeria respond to extreme climate by switching to drought tolerant root or tuber crops. Such strategies could partially offset the adverse effects of climatic shocks on households’ welfare. Climate changes negatively impact agricultural productivity for both poor and non-poor households, but the effects are more pronounced among poorer households, according to our heterogenous effects analysis on household’s initial endowments (based on wealth indicators measured in asset and livestock holdings). This implies low adaptive capacity on the part of poor households and thus their high vulnerability to climate-related shocks. Suggested policy recommendations include interventions to incentivize adoption of climate-resilient agriculture, targeted pro-poor interventions such as low-cost financing options for improving smallholders’ access to climate-proof agricultural inputs and technologies, and policy measures to reduce the inequality of access to livelihood capital, such as land and other productive assets.
Author: Francesco Bosello
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Electronic book
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: Walter Leal
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319258141
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 380
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Book Description
This book introduces innovative approaches to pursue climate change adaptation and to support the long-term implementation of climate change policies. Offering new case studies and data, as well as projects and initiatives implemented across the globe, the contributors present new tools, approaches and methods to pursue and facilitate innovation in climate change adaptation.
Author: Johnbosco C. Egbueri
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031210077
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 581
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Book Description
This book explores the impacts of climate change on Nigeria. How climate change impacts the productivity and future development of different sectors in Nigeria was covered in this book. Various themes of the Nigerian economy, environment, and climate change were considered. Worthy of note are the impacts of climate change on the Nigerian air quality, surface and groundwater resources, watershed and natural resources’ development and planning, soil- quality, fertility, salinization, nutrients and cropping patterns. Also, the impact of climate change on land use/land cover, urbanization and strategic planning, crops and sustainable crop yield; land degradation, soil erosion, landslides and landscapes, rainfall trend patterns, drought vulnerability; ecology, vegetation/forest, carbon and biomass management of Nigeria were investigated. Finally, the problems of climate change in semi-arid and arid regions (with special emphasis on Nigeria) and possible solutions for sustainable development under the changing climate were discussed in this book. Advanced technologies, such as remote sensing, GIS, multivariate analytical tools, and machine learning techniques, were utilized in the exploration and analysis of the themes of this book. Thus, this book is a very important product for point of view researchers, scientists, NGOs, and university communities on the Nigerian climate change. This book is a useful interdisciplinary tool, cutting across various disciplines such as earth sciences, hydrology, environmental sciences, soil science, engineering, remote sensing, natural resources management, and public health management, etc.
Author: Belloumi, Mounir
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN:
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 26
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Book Description
Climate change has been a significant issue since the end of the 20th century, and impacts a variety of economic sectors, primarily agriculture. The negative impacts of climate change on agricultural production are important because agriculture is closely linked to food security. Although they contribute the least to global pollution, it is estimated that African countries will be the most affected by climate variability. Our paper analyzes the impact of climate change on agricultural production in 11 Eastern and Southern African countries (ESA) during the period from 1961 to 2011 and estimates a panel data model for agricultural production using climate variables (e.g., annual precipitation and annual mean temperature) and economic factors (e.g., livelihood, fertilizer use, machinery, agricultural land, and labor) as explanatory variables.
Author: Imoh Ekpenyong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 11
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Book Description
The growing concern over the threat to world food security calls for a re-examination of the factors that affect agricultural productivity. This threat becomes more worrisome because of the high prevalence of diseases associated with hunger and poor nutrition intake. This paper examines the impact of climate change on agricultural productivity in Nigeria. Carbon emission was used to capture the effect of climate change. We examine the effect of climate change on the short-run and long-run productivity using the autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL). Our regression result reveals that climate change has a long run impact on agricultural productivity. Other variables that significantly affect agricultural productivity are oil export, subsidy and consumer price index. To ensure food security and sustainable agricultural production in the future, the authors recommend that efforts should be geared towards reducing carbon emission. According to them, this can be achieved by placing disincentives like carbon tax on emission beyond the limits agreed at the Lima 2014 climate summit. Other methods proposed by the authors include: deemphasizing the importance of crude oil in the Nigerian economy, a reduction or an outright removal of agricultural subsidies and shielding farmers from adverse market conditions.
Author: Pradeep Kurukulasuriya
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
This study examines the impact of climate change on cropland in Africa. It is based on a survey of more than 9,000 farmers in 11 countries: Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Egypt, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Niger, Senegal, South Africa, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. The study uses a Ricardian cross-sectional approach in which net revenue is regressed on climate, water flow, soil, and economic variables. The results show that net revenues fall as precipitation falls or as temperatures warm across all the surveyed farms. In addition to examining all farms together, the study examined dryland and irrigated farms separately. Dryland farms are especially climate sensitive. Irrigated farms have a positive immediate response to warming because they are located in relatively cool parts of Africa. The study also examined some simple climate scenarios to see how Africa would respond to climate change. These uniform scenarios assume that only one aspect of climate changes and the change is uniform across all of Africa. In addition, the study examined three climate change scenarios from Atmospheric Oceanic General Circulation Models. These scenarios predicted changes in climate in each country over time. Not all countries are equally vulnerable to climate change. First, the climate scenarios predict different temperature and precipitation changes in each country. Second, it is also important whether a country is already hot and dry. Third, the extent to which farms are irrigated is also important.
Author: Raffaello Cervigni
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 0821399241
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 215
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Book Description
If not addressed in time, climate change is expected to exacerbate Nigeria’s current vulnerability to weather swings and limit its ability to achieve and sustain the objectives of Vision 20:2020 [as defined in http://www.npc.gov.ng /home/doc.aspx?mCatID=68253]. The likely impacts include: • A long-term reduction in crop yields of 20–30 percent • Declining productivity of livestock, with adverse consequences on livelihoods • Increase in food imports (up to 40 percent for rice long term) • Worsening prospects for food security, particularly in the north and the southwest • A long-term decline in GDP of up to 4.5 percent The impacts may be worse if the economy diversifies away from agriculture more slowly than Vision 20:2020 anticipates, or if there is too little irrigation to counter the effects of rising temperatures on rain-fed yields. Equally important, investment decisions made on the basis of historical climate may be wrong: projects ignoring climate change might be either under- or over-designed, with losses (in terms of excess capital costs or foregone revenues) of 20–40 percent of initial capital in the case of irrigation or hydropower. Fortunately, there is a range of technological and management options that make sense, both to better handle current climate variability and to build resilience against a harsher climate: • By 2020 sustainable land management practices applied to 1 million hectares can offset most of the expected shorter-term yield decline; gradual extension of these practices to 50 percent of cropland, possibly combined with extra irrigation, can also counter-balance longer-term climate change impacts. • Climate-smart planning and design of irrigation and hydropower can more than halve the risks and related costs of making the wrong investment decision. The Federal Government could consider 10 short-term priority responses to build resilience to both current climate variability and future change through actions to improve climate governance across sectors, research and extension in agriculture, hydro-meteorological systems; integration of climate factors into the design of irrigation and hydropower projects, and mainstreaming climate concerns into priority programs, such as the Agriculture Transformation Agenda.
Author: Stephane Hallegatte
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464806748
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 227
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Book Description
Ending poverty and stabilizing climate change will be two unprecedented global achievements and two major steps toward sustainable development. But the two objectives cannot be considered in isolation: they need to be jointly tackled through an integrated strategy. This report brings together those two objectives and explores how they can more easily be achieved if considered together. It examines the potential impact of climate change and climate policies on poverty reduction. It also provides guidance on how to create a “win-win†? situation so that climate change policies contribute to poverty reduction and poverty-reduction policies contribute to climate change mitigation and resilience building. The key finding of the report is that climate change represents a significant obstacle to the sustained eradication of poverty, but future impacts on poverty are determined by policy choices: rapid, inclusive, and climate-informed development can prevent most short-term impacts whereas immediate pro-poor, emissions-reduction policies can drastically limit long-term ones.
