The Leading Indicators PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download The Leading Indicators PDF full book. Access full book title The Leading Indicators by Zachary Karabell. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Zachary Karabell
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 1451651252
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 304
Get Book Here
Book Description
How did we come by the “leading indicators” we place such stock in? We allocate trillions of dollars and make public policy and personal decisions based upon them, but what do they really tell us? “The leading indicators” shape our lives intimately, but few of us know where these numbers come from, what they mean, or why they rule the world. GDP, inflation, unemployment, trade, and a host of averages determine whether we feel optimistic or pessimistic about the country’s future and our own. They dictate whether businesses hire and invest, or fire and hunker down, whether governments spend trillions or try to reduce debt, whether individuals marry, buy a car, get a mortgage, or look for a job. Zachary Karabell tackles the history and the limitations of each of our leading indicators. The solution is not to invent new indicators, but to become less dependent on a few simple figures and tap into the data revolution. We have unparalleled power to find the information we need, but only if we let go of the outdated indicators that lead and mislead us.
Author: Zachary Karabell
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 1451651201
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 304
Get Book Here
Book Description
A history and critical assessment of leading indicators reveals their indelible impact on the economy, public policy, and other critical decisions, discussing their shortcomings while making suggestions for reducing dependence on them.
Author: Gregg Easterbrook
Publisher: Macmillan
ISBN: 1250011736
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 224
Get Book Here
Book Description
"Margo and Tom Helot boast a gorgeous home, super-achieving kids, and satisfied goals. What upends them is not violence or a secret from the past ... but the economy. Tom's company goes bankrupt, and as he flails company goes bankrupt, and as he flails about, the family collapes into a financially unsettled heap."--Library Journal.
Author: Kajal Lahiri
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521438582
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 488
Get Book Here
Book Description
Developed fifty years ago by the National Bureau of Economic Research, the analytic methods of business cycles and economic indicators enable economists to forecast economic trends by examining the repetitive sequences that occur in business cycles. The methodology has proven to be an inexpensive and useful tool that is now used extensively throughout the world. In recent years, however, significant new developments have emerged in the field of business cycles and economic indicators. This volume contains twenty-two articles by international experts who are working with new and innovative approaches to indicator research. They cover advances in three broad areas of research: the use of new developments in economic theory and time-series analysis to rationalise existing systems of indicators; more appropriate methods to evaluate the forecasting records of leading indicators, particularly of turning point probability; and the development of new indicators.
Author: James H. Stock
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226774740
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 350
Get Book Here
Book Description
The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.
Author: Alexander Olsen
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031559436
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 857
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Philip A. Klein
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 48
Get Book Here
Book Description
For many years a system of leading, coincident, and lagging economic indicators, first developed in the 1930s by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), has been widely used in the United States to appraise the state of the business cycle. Since 1961 the current monthly figures for these indicators have been published by the U.S. Department of Commerce in Business Conditions Digest. Similar systems have been developed by government or private agencies in Canada, Japan, the United Kingdom, and more recently in many other countries. A few years ago the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) set up a working party to develop this type of analysis and most of the member countries participated. The Center for International Business Cycle Research at Rutgers University has given guidance in this field to some fifteen countries during the past three years, in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa and South America. Our purpose in this paper is to explain briefly the theory and rationale underlying this approach to economic forecasting, describe the more important statistical procedures used, and review the evidence on how the indicators have performed in practice. The tests of performance concentrate on data not used in the selection of the indicators, in the United States and nine other countries. We conclude with some suggestions for future research and development, including the application of the approach to the analysis of inflation. [Resumen de autor]
Author: Asian Development Bank
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230501060
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 164
Get Book Here
Book Description
Since the 1997 Asian financial crisis, East Asia has implemented a number of initiatives designed to strengthen monetary and financial cooperation, bolstering the region's resilience to economic and financial vulnerabilities. One such initiative is the ASEAN+3 Information Exchange and Policy Dialogue, which includes development of early warning systems (EWS) for financial crises. This book examines efforts to develop EWS models. Specifically, the book analyzes the current understanding of the causes of currency and banking crises, describes recent progress in developing and applying EWS models for currency and banking crises, reviews methodolgical issues, assesses the predictive power of EWS models and also highlights areas where further research is required to make these models more effective tools for policy analysis. The case studies apply both parametric and nonparametric approaches to EWS modleing using data from six East Asian countries.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451953089
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 46
Get Book Here
Book Description
Commodity prices may be a leading indicator of inflation, because of the relative importance of flexible auction markets for the determination of these prices. Empirical tests using data for the large industrial countries as a group suggest that changes in commodity prices tend to lead those in consumer prices, and that the inclusion of commodity prices significantly improves the fit of regressions of a multi-country consumer price index. However, there does not appear to be a reliable long-run relationship between the level of commodity prices and the level of consumer prices.
Author: United States. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : United States
Languages : en
Pages : 776
Get Book Here
Book Description
Vols. for Nov. 1968- include an advance release of the expanded summary table (table 1).
Author: Robert Harry Inglis Palgrave
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 996
Get Book Here
Book Description
