The Effects of Anthropogenic Warming on Changes of Extreme Precipitation Over Kansas City Metropolitan Area PDF Download
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Author: Kevin Walter Kandola
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Climatic changes
Languages : en
Pages : 67
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Book Description
When the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report Global Warming of 1.5°C was released in 2018 it postulated about the devastating effects of a 2° C increase in global temperature, based on projections of coarse resolution global climate models (GCMs). While GCMs are useful tools to examine global- and continental-scale climate change, policy makers are more interested in climate change from regional and local perspectives. In order for municipalities to accurately prepare for the climate change impacts on their infrastructure, higher-resolution climate models are needed. This research developed a high-resolution (1-kilometer) dynamical climate downscaling framework using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) regional climate model and applied it to the Kansas City metropolitan area. Two initial simulations are first performed to reproduce a devastating storm in March 2019 known as winter storm Ulmer, which flooded major portions of the Midwest's farmlands causing an estimated $3 billion dollars in damage. These initial simulations used different landcover inputs to represent present-day, i.e., control, and historic land use as the other initial simulation. Then a suite of sensitivity experiments was designed and performed for both initial simulations to investigate potential changes to the region’s precipitation under various global warming and cooling scenarios.
Author: Kevin Walter Kandola
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Climatic changes
Languages : en
Pages : 67
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Book Description
When the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report Global Warming of 1.5°C was released in 2018 it postulated about the devastating effects of a 2° C increase in global temperature, based on projections of coarse resolution global climate models (GCMs). While GCMs are useful tools to examine global- and continental-scale climate change, policy makers are more interested in climate change from regional and local perspectives. In order for municipalities to accurately prepare for the climate change impacts on their infrastructure, higher-resolution climate models are needed. This research developed a high-resolution (1-kilometer) dynamical climate downscaling framework using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) regional climate model and applied it to the Kansas City metropolitan area. Two initial simulations are first performed to reproduce a devastating storm in March 2019 known as winter storm Ulmer, which flooded major portions of the Midwest's farmlands causing an estimated $3 billion dollars in damage. These initial simulations used different landcover inputs to represent present-day, i.e., control, and historic land use as the other initial simulation. Then a suite of sensitivity experiments was designed and performed for both initial simulations to investigate potential changes to the region’s precipitation under various global warming and cooling scenarios.
Author: U.S. Global Change Research Program
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521144078
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 193
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Book Description
Summarizes the science of climate change and impacts on the United States, for the public and policymakers.
Author: Vahid Rahmani
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Precipitation impacts hydrologic structures, agricultural production, water resources management, and recreational activities, all of which significantly affect a state's economy. Water control structure design is based on the maximum runoff rate resulting from storms with a specific return period and duration. The Rainfall Frequency Atlas (National Weather Service Technical Paper 40, 1961) (TP-40) provided statistical rainfall analysis as the basis for hydrologic structure design until the information was updated for Kansas in February 2013 (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Atlas 14, volume 8) (Atlas-14). With growing concern about the effects of global climate change and predictions of more precipitation and extreme weather events, it is necessary to explore rainfall distribution patterns using the most current and complete data available. In this work, the changes in rainfall patterns were studied using the daily rainfall data from 23 stations in Kansas and 15 stations from adjacent states with daily rainfall data of 1890 through 2012. Analysis showed an increase in extreme precipitation events in Kansas with increase in magnitude from the northwest to southeast part of the state. A comparison of results of the TP-40 analysis to period 1980-2009, showed that approximately 84% of the state had an increase in short-term rainfall event magnitudes. In addition, trend analyzes on the total annual rainfall indicated a gradual increase at 21 out of 23 stations, including eight statistically significant trends. A change-point analysis detected a significant sudden change at twelve stations as early as 1940 and as recently as 1980. The increasing trend, particularly after the significant change-points, is useful in updating water management plans and can assist with agricultural production decisions such as crop selection and new plant variety development. A comparison between 10-yr, 24-hr storms from TP-40 and Atlas-14 indicated a change of -12% to 5% in Kansas. However, the number of exceedances from the 10-yr, 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-, 7-, and 10-day storms demonstrated a tendency towards more exceedances, particularly in the last five decades. Results of this study are useful for hydrologic structure design and water resources management in order to prevent accepting additional risk of failure because of the current changing climate.
Author: Morris Tyler Willoughby
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Climatic changes
Languages : en
Pages : 88
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Book Description
In terms of the Kansas City metropolitan area, there is a need to look at climate change and try to limit and modify various practices in order to further understand and mitigate climate change issues. To comprehend climate change issues, it is necessary to identify the overall problem. For the purpose of this research, focus groups were established in various sectors in the Kansas City metropolitan area. The sectors included: agriculture, transportation, health, water, energy, land use, and commerce. Local stakeholders were identified for each sector and invited to participate in panel discussions. It is our goal that the input from each focus group will provide an extensive background on how each stakeholder views climate change, along with perceptions of risk, vulnerabilities, and adaptation. This information should prove vital in comprehending the effects of climate change. The debate on climate change has primarily relied upon global data and draws global climate change implications. Solutions to human caused acceleration of climate changes must be locally based - driven by local organizations and individuals. This study is based on local data of climate variability impacts with the intention to create tools and methods that provide solutions and recommendations for business planning and local public policy. This approach to regional climate science is based on a matrix of likely scenarios for the region's future; potential directions that our local economy, social structures and environment will take relative to climate change issues. We use targeted focus groups and case studies to (1) gain a better understanding of the sensitivities of different goods, services, and practices within major social and economic sectors to current climate variability and hazards; (2) quantify the risk that the natural environment poses for citizen stakeholders, the business community and craft means to prepare for and adapt to the expected changes; (3) determine critical process/resource specific environmental thresholds or non-linearities that have particular economic implications by ranking vulnerabilities under different scenarios, and (4) provide feedback to the political sector on actions that public and private sector resource managers must take to prepare for the climatological scenarios.
Author: Deborah J. Bathke
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 96
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Book Description
Author: US Global Change Research Program
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 1510726217
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 999
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Book Description
As global climate change proliferates, so too do the health risks associated with the changing world around us. Called for in the President’s Climate Action Plan and put together by experts from eight different Federal agencies, The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health: A Scientific Assessment is a comprehensive report on these evolving health risks, including: Temperature-related death and illness Air quality deterioration Impacts of extreme events on human health Vector-borne diseases Climate impacts on water-related Illness Food safety, nutrition, and distribution Mental health and well-being This report summarizes scientific data in a concise and accessible fashion for the general public, providing executive summaries, key takeaways, and full-color diagrams and charts. Learn what health risks face you and your family as a result of global climate change and start preparing now with The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health.
Author: Division on Earth and Life Studies
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309185408
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 199
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Book Description
The Transportation Research Board (TRB) and the Division on Earth and Life Studies (DELS) have released the pre-publication version of TRB Special Report 290, The Potential Impacts of Climate Change on U.S. Transportation, which explores the consequences of climate change for U.S. transportation infrastructure and operations. The report provides an overview of the scientific consensus on the current and future climate changes of particular relevance to U.S. transportation, including the limits of present scientific understanding as to their precise timing, magnitude, and geographic location; identifies potential impacts on U.S. transportation and adaptation options; and offers recommendations for both research and actions that can be taken to prepare for climate change. The book also summarizes previous work on strategies for reducing transportation-related emissions of carbon dioxide--the primary greenhouse gas--that contribute to climate change. Five commissioned papers used by the committee to help develop the report, a summary of the report, and a National Academies press release associated with the report are available online. DELS, like TRB, is a division of the National Academies, which include the National Academy of Sciences, National Academy of Engineering, Institute of Medicine, and National Research Council.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Climatic changes
Languages : en
Pages : 124
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Book Description
Author: Krishna Prasad Vadrevu
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319674749
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 727
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Book Description
This edited volume sheds new light on the impact of rapid Land Use/Cover Changes (LU/CC) on greenhouse gases (GHG’s) and aerosol emissions in South and Southeast Asia. Several countries in South/Southeast Asia have the highest population growth rates in the world, which is the main cause for LU/CC. Conversion of dense forests to agricultural areas and then to residential and urban areas is most commonly observed in South/Southeast Asian countries with a significant release of GHG’s and aerosols. The book showcases several case studies on the use of remote sensing and geospatial technologies to quantify biomass burning and air pollution impacts, aerosol pollution, LU/CC, and impacts on ecosystem services. The book also includes articles on regional initiatives in research, capacity building, and training. The authors of this book are international experts in the field, and their contributions highlight significant drivers and impacts of air pollution in South/Southeast Asia. Readers will discover the latest tools and techniques, in particular, the use of satellite remote sensing and geospatial technologies for quantifying GHG’s, aerosols and pollution episodes in this region.
Author: Jason S. Johnston
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108244254
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 657
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Book Description
Most environmental statutes passed since 1970 have endorsed a pragmatic or 'precautionary' principle under which the existence of a significant risk is enough to trigger regulation. At the same time, targets of such regulation have often argued on grounds of inefficiency that the associated costs outweigh any potential benefits. In this work, Jason Johnston unpacks and critiques the legal, economic, and scientific basis for precautionary climate policies pursued in the United States and in doing so sheds light on why the global warming policy debate has become increasingly bitter and disconnected from both climate science and economics. Johnston analyzes the most influential international climate science assessment organizations, the US electric power industry, and land management and renewable energy policies. Bridging sound economics and climate science, this pathbreaking book shows how the United States can efficiently adapt to a changing climate while radically reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
