The Challenge and Power of Uncertainty

The Challenge and Power of Uncertainty PDF Author: Vichentie Maniov
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781458310934
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 252

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Book Description
Uncertainty is a powerful condition that we experience because we do not know what the future holds. Uncertainty means that we cannot make reliable predictions about the future. We face uncertainty when making decisions, and making decisions is inevitable. Through this book the authors have sought to find a balance between the desire for certainty, which does not exist, and the uncertainty, which is present in any analysis regarding the future and in any decision that we make. Uncertainty causes fear, and that fear paralyses our ability to make decisions. Uncertainty has three basic characteristics: uncertainty exists; uncertainty is a challenge and it can be tamed; by taming uncertainty, its power may be transferred to us. This book is easy to read and to understand, and it provides useful principles and guidance for making decisions regarding our future. The ideas exposed in this book help us reduce or eliminate our fear of uncertainty and recognize and take advantage of the opportunities uncertainty brings.

The Challenge and Power of Uncertainty

The Challenge and Power of Uncertainty PDF Author: Vichentie Maniov
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781458310934
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 252

Get Book Here

Book Description
Uncertainty is a powerful condition that we experience because we do not know what the future holds. Uncertainty means that we cannot make reliable predictions about the future. We face uncertainty when making decisions, and making decisions is inevitable. Through this book the authors have sought to find a balance between the desire for certainty, which does not exist, and the uncertainty, which is present in any analysis regarding the future and in any decision that we make. Uncertainty causes fear, and that fear paralyses our ability to make decisions. Uncertainty has three basic characteristics: uncertainty exists; uncertainty is a challenge and it can be tamed; by taming uncertainty, its power may be transferred to us. This book is easy to read and to understand, and it provides useful principles and guidance for making decisions regarding our future. The ideas exposed in this book help us reduce or eliminate our fear of uncertainty and recognize and take advantage of the opportunities uncertainty brings.

Power in Uncertain Times

Power in Uncertain Times PDF Author: Emily Goldman
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804774331
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 270

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Book Description
This book examines America's evolving strategy on the international security environment, and comprehensively analyzes how different strategies position states to compete in the present and future, manage risk, and prevail despite uncertainty.

Risky Teaching

Risky Teaching PDF Author: Jay W. Roberts
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000459187
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 161

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Book Description
Risky Teaching examines the role of risk and uncertainty in teaching and learning in higher education. Discussing the current landscape of higher education and the challenges and opportunities we face, this book synthesizes a range of evidence-based and high-impact practices both in and out of the classroom, offering practical strategies and thought-provoking ideas on educational innovation for students and faculty. Covering topics such as taking risks inside the classroom, innovative teaching methods outside the classroom, rethinking assessment, and sustaining creativity as we grow in our careers, this practical resource is for faculty and instructors to work within and through uncertainty. The book also explores the inward challenges and opportunities associated with risky teaching and how institutional leaders can encourage productive risk-taking throughout the organization. This important text is for faculty and instructors in higher education who want to help their students thrive in a complex, unscripted, and disruptive world.

Uncertainty, Threat, and International Security

Uncertainty, Threat, and International Security PDF Author: Ivan Savic
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
ISBN: 131705038X
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 180

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Book Description
The rise of China is changing the strategic landscape globally and regionally. How states respond to potential threats posed by this new power arrangement will be crucial to international relations for the coming decades. This book builds on existing realist and rationalist concepts of balancing, bandwagoning, commitment problems, and asymmetric information to craft explanations about how states respond when faced with potential threats. Specifically, the book explores the role different types of uncertainty play in potential balancing situations. Particular focus is given to the nature of the rising state’s actions, the balance of forces, and the value of delay. These concepts are analysed and illustrated through a series of case studies on Europe in the 1930s as well as the present-day Southeast Asia, looking at great powers such as Britain and France, but also a wide range of smaller powers including Poland, Yugoslavia, Vietnam, and the Philippines.

Uncertainties in Modern Power Systems

Uncertainties in Modern Power Systems PDF Author: Ahmed F. Zobaa
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128208937
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 718

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Book Description
Uncertainties in Modern Power Systems combines several aspects of uncertainty management in power systems at the planning and operation stages within an integrated framework. This book provides the state-of-the-art in electric network planning, including time-scales, reliability, quality, optimal allocation of compensators and distributed generators, mathematical formulation, and search algorithms. The book introduces innovative research outcomes, programs, algorithms, and approaches that consolidate the present status and future opportunities and challenges of power systems. The book also offers a comprehensive description of the overall process in terms of understanding, creating, data gathering, and managing complex electrical engineering applications with uncertainties. This reference is useful for researchers, engineers, and operators in power distribution systems. Includes innovative research outcomes, programs, algorithms, and approaches that consolidate current status and future of modern power systems Discusses how uncertainties will impact on the performance of power systems Offers solutions to significant challenges in power systems planning to achieve the best operational performance of the different electric power sectors

The Challenges of Uncertainty

The Challenges of Uncertainty PDF Author: Jeremy Robbins
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 9780847693283
Category : Literary Criticism
Languages : en
Pages : 168

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Book Description
This original and lucidly written book introduces the reader to the Baroque, the richest period of Spanish literature and culture. Jeremy Robbins shows how its creativity responded directly to the unprecedented sense of uncertainty fostered by developments across Europe. He argues that it was above all this scepticism which led Spaniards to employ literature and art to question the boundaries of reality and illusion. The result was the creation of some of the most inventive, entertaining, challenging and powerful works of imagination in Europe. Currently there exists no other concise introduction to Spanish Baroque literature and culture. The book considers in detail works by the major novelists, dramatists, poets and painters. Part of its novel approach is the attention the author gives to key issues such as honour and identity, the influence of social and literary institutions like the court and the church, and the place of women as both creators and consumers of culture. It also considers neglected literary forms, such as the aphorism and the emblem, as well as the immensely popular and influential political and moral writings of the day. A comprehensive glossary to major and minor figures is included.

The Politics of Uncertainty

The Politics of Uncertainty PDF Author: Ian Scoones
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000163407
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 280

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Book Description
Why is uncertainty so important to politics today? To explore the underlying reasons, issues and challenges, this book’s chapters address finance and banking, insurance, technology regulation and critical infrastructures, as well as climate change, infectious disease responses, natural disasters, migration, crime and security and spirituality and religion. The book argues that uncertainties must be understood as complex constructions of knowledge, materiality, experience, embodiment and practice. Examining in particular how uncertainties are experienced in contexts of marginalisation and precarity, this book shows how sustainability and development are not just technical issues, but depend deeply on political values and choices. What burgeoning uncertainties require lies less in escalating efforts at control, but more in a new – more collective, mutualistic and convivial – politics of responsibility and care. If hopes of much-needed progressive transformation are to be realised, then currently blinkered understandings of uncertainty need to be met with renewed democratic struggle. Written in an accessible style and illustrated by multiple case studies from across the world, this book will appeal to a wide cross-disciplinary audience in fields ranging from economics to law to science studies to sociology to anthropology and geography, as well as professionals working in risk management, disaster risk reduction, emergencies and wider public policy fields.

Protean Power

Protean Power PDF Author: Peter J. Katzenstein
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108425178
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 383

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Book Description
Mainstream international relations continues to assume that the world is governed by calculable risk based on estimates of power, despite repeatedly being surprised by unexpected change. This ground breaking work departs from existing definitions of power that focus on the actors' evolving ability to exercise control in situations of calculable risk. It introduces the concept of 'protean power', which focuses on the actors' agility as they adapt to situations of uncertainty. Protean Power uses twelve real world case studies to examine how the dynamics of protean and control power can be tracked in the relations among different state and non-state actors, operating in diverse sites, stretching from local to global, in both times of relative normalcy and moments of crisis. Katzenstein and Seybert argue for a new approach to international relations, where the inclusion of protean power in our analytical models helps in accounting for unforeseen changes in world politics.

Climate Change in the Media

Climate Change in the Media PDF Author: James Painter
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing
ISBN: 0857733850
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
Languages : en
Pages : 152

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Book Description
Scientists and politicians are increasingly using the language of risk to describe the climate change challenge. Some researchers have argued that stressing the 'risks' posed by climate change rather than the 'uncertainties' can create a more helpful context for policy makers and a stronger response from the public. However, understanding the concepts of risk and uncertainty - and how to communicate them - is a hotly debated issue. In this book, James Painter analyses how the international media present these and other narratives surrounding climate change. He focuses on the coverage of reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and of the melting ice of the Arctic Sea, and includes six countries: Australia, France, India, Norway, the UK and the USA.

Clinical Uncertainty in Primary Care

Clinical Uncertainty in Primary Care PDF Author: Lucia Siegel Sommers
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461468124
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 311

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Book Description
The Power of Colleagues What happens when primary care clinicians meet together on set aside time in their practice settings to talk about their own patients? .....Complimenting quality metrics or performance measures through discussing the actual stories of individual patients and their clinician-patient relationships In these settings, how can clinicians pool their collective experience and apply that to ‘the evidence’ for an individual patient? .....Especially for patients who do not fit the standard protocols and have vague and worrisome symptoms, poor response to treatment, unpredictable disease courses, and/or compromised abilities for shared decision making What follows when discussion about individual patients reveals system-wide service gaps and coordination limitations? .....Particularly for patients with complex clinical problems that fall outside performance monitors and quality screens How can collaborative engagement of case-based uncertainties with one’s colleagues help combat the loneliness and helplessness that PCPs can experience, no matter what model or setting in which they practice? .....And where they are expected to practice coordinated, evidence-based, EMR-directed care These questions inspired Lucia Sommers and John Launer and their international contributors to explore the power of colleagues in “Clinical Uncertainty in Primary Care: The Challenge of Collaborative Engagement” and offer antidotes to sub-optimal care that can result when clinicians go it alone. From the Foreword: “Lucia Sommers and John Launer, with the accompanying input of their contributing authors, have done a deeply insightful and close-to-exhaustive job of defining clinical uncertainty. They identify its origins, components and subtypes; demonstrate the ways in which and the extent to which it is intrinsic to medicine...and they present a cogent case for its special relationship to primary care practice...‘Clinical Uncertainty in Primary Care’ not only presents a model of collegial collaboration and support, it also implicitly legitimates it.’’ Renee Fox, Annenberg Professor Emerita of the Social Sciences, University of Pennsylvania.