The Case for Nuclear Modernization

The Case for Nuclear Modernization PDF Author: Lance A. Adsit
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Deterrence (Strategy)
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
"A unique challenge presents itself to the new Biden administration. Previous administrations had the luxury of procrastinating nuclear force modernization. It was easier to save the money, refurbish the minimum equipment required, and to trust that the nuclear force will continue to function the way it always has. The Biden administration does not have that option. Decades of fiscal neglect and siphoning budget away from the nuclear enterprise has taken its toll. The triad of the cold war has reached the end of its lifespan, and it requires modernization now for the US to remain a nuclear power. Weapons age, lack of replacement components, and modernizing enemy capability will begin to render the triad obsolete by the mid-2020s without continuing modernization. The Biden administration must modernize the nuclear triad or be forced to develop a new deterrence theory based on decreased nuclear capability. The nuclear deterrence theory that the US has used as a strategic foundation for decades requires a modern, effective nuclear triad. The choice to delay or not to modernize the nuclear force will require a new deterrence strategy to compensate for the loss of nuclear capability. This will affect the national defense strategy and the credibility the US has on the world stage with both allies and enemies. This paper will analyze the US nuclear force structure and compare it to the activity of competitors. It will also give an overview of US nuclear modernization efforts, the cost of those efforts compared to the defense budget, and explain why the choice to modernize is time sensitive. Readers will ultimately see that the Biden administration’s only logical option to mitigate risk of existential threats to the US is to modernize the nuclear triad."--Abstract.

The Case for Nuclear Modernization

The Case for Nuclear Modernization PDF Author: Lance A. Adsit
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Deterrence (Strategy)
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Get Book Here

Book Description
"A unique challenge presents itself to the new Biden administration. Previous administrations had the luxury of procrastinating nuclear force modernization. It was easier to save the money, refurbish the minimum equipment required, and to trust that the nuclear force will continue to function the way it always has. The Biden administration does not have that option. Decades of fiscal neglect and siphoning budget away from the nuclear enterprise has taken its toll. The triad of the cold war has reached the end of its lifespan, and it requires modernization now for the US to remain a nuclear power. Weapons age, lack of replacement components, and modernizing enemy capability will begin to render the triad obsolete by the mid-2020s without continuing modernization. The Biden administration must modernize the nuclear triad or be forced to develop a new deterrence theory based on decreased nuclear capability. The nuclear deterrence theory that the US has used as a strategic foundation for decades requires a modern, effective nuclear triad. The choice to delay or not to modernize the nuclear force will require a new deterrence strategy to compensate for the loss of nuclear capability. This will affect the national defense strategy and the credibility the US has on the world stage with both allies and enemies. This paper will analyze the US nuclear force structure and compare it to the activity of competitors. It will also give an overview of US nuclear modernization efforts, the cost of those efforts compared to the defense budget, and explain why the choice to modernize is time sensitive. Readers will ultimately see that the Biden administration’s only logical option to mitigate risk of existential threats to the US is to modernize the nuclear triad."--Abstract.

The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century

The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century PDF Author: Brad Roberts
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804797153
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 351

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Book Description
“An excellent contribution to the debate on the future role of nuclear weapons and nuclear deterrence in American foreign policy.” ―Contemporary Security Policy This book is a counter to the conventional wisdom that the United States can and should do more to reduce both the role of nuclear weapons in its security strategies and the number of weapons in its arsenal. The case against nuclear weapons has been made on many grounds—including historical, political, and moral. But, Brad Roberts argues, it has not so far been informed by the experience of the United States since the Cold War in trying to adapt deterrence to a changed world, and to create the conditions that would allow further significant changes to U.S. nuclear policy and posture. Drawing on the author’s experience in the making and implementation of U.S. policy in the Obama administration, this book examines that real-world experience and finds important lessons for the disarmament enterprise. Central conclusions of the work are that other nuclear-armed states are not prepared to join the United States in making reductions, and that unilateral steps by the United States to disarm further would be harmful to its interests and those of its allies. The book ultimately argues in favor of patience and persistence in the implementation of a balanced approach to nuclear strategy that encompasses political efforts to reduce nuclear dangers along with military efforts to deter them. “Well-researched and carefully argued.” ―Foreign Affairs

Arms and Influence

Arms and Influence PDF Author: Thomas C. Schelling
Publisher: Yale University Press
ISBN: 0300253486
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 337

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Book Description
“This is a brilliant and hardheaded book. It will frighten those who prefer not to dwell on the unthinkable and infuriate those who have taken refuge in stereotypes and moral attitudinizing.”—Gordon A. Craig, New York Times Book Review Originally published more than fifty years ago, this landmark book explores the ways in which military capabilities—real or imagined—are used, skillfully or clumsily, as bargaining power. Anne-Marie Slaughter’s new introduction to the work shows how Schelling’s framework—conceived of in a time of superpowers and mutually assured destruction—still applies to our multipolar world, where wars are fought as much online as on the ground.

China's Nuclear Force Modernization

China's Nuclear Force Modernization PDF Author: Naval War College Press
Publisher: Createspace Independent Pub
ISBN: 9781478398455
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 144

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Book Description
The Naval War College has expanded its expertise in the Asia-Pacific Rim region in recent years largely in response to the growing significance of the region to U.S. national security. The College has actively hired prominent scholars and hosted a number of conferences, workshops, and guest speakers focusing on the problems and possibilities facing the Pacific Rim. South and Northeast Asia, after all, are home to some of the world's fastest-growing economies and close American allies, as well as several potential political and diplomatic flashpoints. Even more to the point, China is an ascending economic and military power both in the region and on the world stage. The U.S. Navy plays a leading role in maintaining stability in the region with its strong presence and ability to guard the freedom of navigation in vital sea lines of communication. The efforts of the Asia-Pacific Rim specialists at the Naval War College in some ways represent a case of “back to the future.” One of the proudest episodes in the College's history came in the 1930s when Newport played a central role in developing the military plans necessary to cope with the ascendance of another Asian economic and military power—Japan. Although we expect that wise diplomacy and national self-interest will prevent a reoccurrence of similar difficulties in the coming decades, there is no substitute for military preparedness and well-thought-out international and regional strategies for dealing with the important region. The Naval War College Press has done its part in providing its readers with many excellent articles on regional security in Asia in the Naval War College Review; an important book—Jonathan Pollack, editor, Strategic Surprise? U.S.-China Relations in the Early Twenty-first Century (released March 2004); and now Newport Paper 22. Professor Lyle Goldstein of the Strategic Research Department of the College's Center for Naval Warfare Studies has been at the forefront of recent research into China's future. In this project he has guided a handful of naval officers through the puzzle of China's ongoing nuclear modernization programs. With the able assistance of Andrew Erickson, these sailor-scholars have examined various aspects of nuclear modernization from ballistic missile defense to nuclear command and control. In general the chapter tells a cautionary tale; the progress of China's nuclear modernization documented here should give pause to those inclined to dismiss China's military modernization. Steadily and with relatively little attention the People's Republic continues to improve its technologies and weapons systems. As the authors emphasize, no “Rubicon” has been crossed, but potentials are already apparent that, if realized, the U.S. Navy as now constituted would find challenging indeed.

My Journey at the Nuclear Brink

My Journey at the Nuclear Brink PDF Author: William Perry
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804797145
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 277

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Book Description
“Perry has long been one of the more strenuous advocates for confronting the dangers of the nuclear age, and his engaging memoir explains why.” —Foreign Affairs My Journey at the Nuclear Brink is a continuation of former Secretary of Defense William J. Perry's efforts to keep the world safe from a nuclear catastrophe. It tells the story of his coming of age in the nuclear era, his role in trying to shape and contain it, and how his thinking has changed about the threat these weapons pose. In a remarkable career, Perry has dealt firsthand with the changing nuclear threat. Decades of experience and special access to top-secret knowledge of strategic nuclear options have given Perry a unique, and chilling, vantage point from which to conclude that nuclear weapons endanger our security rather than securing it. This book traces his thought process as he journeys from the Cuban Missile Crisis, to crafting a defense strategy in the Carter Administration to offset the Soviets’ numeric superiority in conventional forces, to presiding over the dismantling of more than 8,000 nuclear weapons in the Clinton Administration, and to his creation in 2007, with George Shultz, Sam Nunn, and Henry Kissinger, of the Nuclear Security Project to articulate their vision of a world free from nuclear weapons and to lay out the urgent steps needed to reduce nuclear dangers. “Perry’s authoritative memoir. . . . is a clear, sobering and, for many, surprising warning that the danger of a nuclear catastrophe today is actually greater than it was during that era of U.S.-Soviet competition…a significant and insightful memoir and a necessary read.” —Mortimer B. Zuckerman, U.S. News & World Report

China's Strategic Arsenal

China's Strategic Arsenal PDF Author: James M. Smith
Publisher: Georgetown University Press
ISBN: 1647120799
Category : China
Languages : en
Pages : 280

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Book Description
"This volume brings together an international group of distinguished scholars to provide a fresh assessment of China's strategic military capabilities, doctrines, and perceptions in light of rapidly advancing technologies, an expanding and modernizing nuclear arsenal, and increased great-power competition with the United States. China's strategic weapons are its expanding nuclear arsenal and emerging conventional weapons systems such as hypersonic missiles and anti-satellite missiles. China's strategic arsenal is important because of how it affects the dynamics of US-China relations and the relationship between China and its neighbors. Without a doubt China's strategic arsenal is growing in size and sophistication, but this book also examines key uncertainties. Will China's new capabilities and confidence lead it to be more assertive or take more risks? Will China's nuclear traditions (i.e., no first use) change as the strategic balance improves? Will China's approach to military competition in the domains of cyberspace and outer space be guided by a notion of strategic stability or not? Will there be a strategic arms race with the United States? The goal of this book is to update our understanding of these issues and to make predictions about how these dynamics may play out"--

U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy

U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy PDF Author: William James Perry
Publisher: Council on Foreign Relations
ISBN: 0876094205
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 149

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Book Description
The report notes that in the near term nuclear weapons will remain a fundamental element of U.S. national security. For this reason it emphasizes the importance of maintaining a safe, secure, and reliable deterrent nuclear force and makes recommendations on this front. The report also offers measures to advance important goals such as preventing nuclear terrorism and bolstering the nuclear nonproliferation regime--Foreword.

Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age

Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age PDF Author: Toshi Yoshihara
Publisher: Georgetown University Press
ISBN: 1589019296
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 258

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Book Description
A “second nuclear age” has begun in the post-Cold War world. Created by the expansion of nuclear arsenals and new proliferation in Asia, it has changed the familiar nuclear geometry of the Cold War. Increasing potency of nuclear arsenals in China, India, and Pakistan, the nuclear breakout in North Korea, and the potential for more states to cross the nuclear-weapons threshold from Iran to Japan suggest that the second nuclear age of many competing nuclear powers has the potential to be even less stable than the first. Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age assembles a group of distinguished scholars to grapple with the matter of how the United States, its allies, and its friends must size up the strategies, doctrines, and force structures currently taking shape if they are to design responses that reinforce deterrence amid vastly more complex strategic circumstances. By focusing sharply on strategy—that is, on how states use doomsday weaponry for political gain—the book distinguishes itself from familiar net assessments emphasizing quantifiable factors like hardware, technical characteristics, and manpower. While the emphasis varies from chapter to chapter, contributors pay special heed to the logistical, technological, and social dimensions of strategy alongside the specifics of force structure and operations. They never lose sight of the human factor—the pivotal factor in diplomacy, strategy, and war.

NATO's Substrategic Nuclear Forces

NATO's Substrategic Nuclear Forces PDF Author: Thomas-Durell Young
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 21

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Book Description


Winning and Losing the Nuclear Peace

Winning and Losing the Nuclear Peace PDF Author: Michael Krepon
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 1503629619
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 544

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Book Description
The definitive guide to the history of nuclear arms control by a wise eavesdropper and masterful storyteller, Michael Krepon. The greatest unacknowledged diplomatic achievement of the Cold War was the absence of mushroom clouds. Deterrence alone was too dangerous to succeed; it needed arms control to prevent nuclear warfare. So, U.S. and Soviet leaders ventured into the unknown to devise guardrails for nuclear arms control and to treat the Bomb differently than other weapons. Against the odds, they succeeded. Nuclear weapons have not been used in warfare for three quarters of a century. This book is the first in-depth history of how the nuclear peace was won by complementing deterrence with reassurance, and then jeopardized by discarding arms control after the Cold War ended. Winning and Losing the Nuclear Peace tells a remarkable story of high-wire acts of diplomacy, close calls, dogged persistence, and extraordinary success. Michael Krepon brings to life the pitched battles between arms controllers and advocates of nuclear deterrence, the ironic twists and unexpected outcomes from Truman to Trump. What began with a ban on atmospheric testing and a nonproliferation treaty reached its apogee with treaties that mandated deep cuts and corralled "loose nukes" after the Soviet Union imploded. After the Cold War ended, much of this diplomatic accomplishment was cast aside in favor of freedom of action. The nuclear peace is now imperiled by no less than four nuclear-armed rivalries. Arms control needs to be revived and reimagined for Russia and China to prevent nuclear warfare. New guardrails have to be erected. Winning and Losing the Nuclear Peace is an engaging account of how the practice of arms control was built from scratch, how it was torn down, and how it can be rebuilt.