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Author: Robert Goodell Brown
Publisher: Courier Corporation
ISBN: 9780486495927
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 486
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Book Description
Computer application techniques are applied to routine short-term forecasting and prediction in this classic of operations research. The text begins with a consideration of data sources and sampling intervals, progressing to discussions of time series models and probability models. An extensive overview of smoothing techniques surveys the mathematical techniques for periodically raising the estimates of coefficients in forecasting problems. Sections on forecasting and error measurement and analysis are followed by an exploration of alternatives and the applications of the forecast to specific problems, and a treatment of the handling of systems design problems ranges from observed data to decision rules. 1963 ed.
Author: Robert Goodell Brown
Publisher: Courier Corporation
ISBN: 9780486495927
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 486
Get Book
Book Description
Computer application techniques are applied to routine short-term forecasting and prediction in this classic of operations research. The text begins with a consideration of data sources and sampling intervals, progressing to discussions of time series models and probability models. An extensive overview of smoothing techniques surveys the mathematical techniques for periodically raising the estimates of coefficients in forecasting problems. Sections on forecasting and error measurement and analysis are followed by an exploration of alternatives and the applications of the forecast to specific problems, and a treatment of the handling of systems design problems ranges from observed data to decision rules. 1963 ed.
Author: Douglas C. Montgomery
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Companies
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 408
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Book Description
This practical, user-oriented second edition describes how to use statistical modeling and analysis methods for forecasting and prediction problems. Statistical and mathematical terms are introduced only as they are needed, and every effort has been made to keep the mathematical and statistical prerequisites to a minimum. Every technique that is introduced is illustrated by fully worked numerical examples. Not only is the coverage of traditional forecasting methods greatly expanded in this new edition, but a number of new techniques and methods are covered as well.
Author: Paul S.P. Cowpertwait
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387886982
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 262
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Book Description
This book gives you a step-by-step introduction to analysing time series using the open source software R. Each time series model is motivated with practical applications, and is defined in mathematical notation. Once the model has been introduced it is used to generate synthetic data, using R code, and these generated data are then used to estimate its parameters. This sequence enhances understanding of both the time series model and the R function used to fit the model to data. Finally, the model is used to analyse observed data taken from a practical application. By using R, the whole procedure can be reproduced by the reader. All the data sets used in the book are available on the website http://staff.elena.aut.ac.nz/Paul-Cowpertwait/ts/. The book is written for undergraduate students of mathematics, economics, business and finance, geography, engineering and related disciplines, and postgraduate students who may need to analyse time series as part of their taught programme or their research.
Author: Rob Hyndman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540719180
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 362
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Book Description
Exponential smoothing methods have been around since the 1950s, and are still the most popular forecasting methods used in business and industry. However, a modeling framework incorporating stochastic models, likelihood calculation, prediction intervals and procedures for model selection, was not developed until recently. This book brings together all of the important new results on the state space framework for exponential smoothing. It will be of interest to people wanting to apply the methods in their own area of interest as well as for researchers wanting to take the ideas in new directions. Part 1 provides an introduction to exponential smoothing and the underlying models. The essential details are given in Part 2, which also provide links to the most important papers in the literature. More advanced topics are covered in Part 3, including the mathematical properties of the models and extensions of the models for specific problems. Applications to particular domains are discussed in Part 4.
Author: Chris Chatfield
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420036203
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 281
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Book Description
From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space
Author: Douglas C. Montgomery
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118745221
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 672
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Book Description
Praise for the First Edition "…[t]he book is great for readers who need to applythe methods and models presented but have little background inmathematics and statistics." -MAA Reviews Thoroughly updated throughout, Introduction to Time SeriesAnalysis and Forecasting, Second Edition presents theunderlying theories of time series analysis that are needed toanalyze time-oriented data and construct real-world short- tomedium-term statistical forecasts. Authored by highly-experienced academics and professionals inengineering statistics, the Second Edition featuresdiscussions on both popular and modern time series methodologies aswell as an introduction to Bayesian methods in forecasting.Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, SecondEdition also includes: Over 300 exercises from diverse disciplines including healthcare, environmental studies, engineering, and finance More than 50 programming algorithms using JMP®, SAS®,and R that illustrate the theory and practicality of forecastingtechniques in the context of time-oriented data New material on frequency domain and spatial temporaldata analysis Expanded coverage of the variogram and spectrum withapplications as well as transfer and intervention modelfunctions A supplementary website featuring PowerPoint®slides, data sets, and select solutions to the problems Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, SecondEdition is an ideal textbook upper-undergraduate andgraduate-levels courses in forecasting and time series. The book isalso an excellent reference for practitioners and researchers whoneed to model and analyze time series data to generate forecasts.
Author: Galit Shmueli
Publisher: Axelrod Schnall Publishers
ISBN: 0997847921
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 232
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Book Description
Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Second Edition provides an applied approach to time-series forecasting. Forecasting is an essential component of predictive analytics. The book introduces popular forecasting methods and approaches used in a variety of business applications. The book offers clear explanations, practical examples, and end-of-chapter exercises and cases. Readers will learn to use forecasting methods using the free open-source R software to develop effective forecasting solutions that extract business value from time-series data. Featuring improved organization and new material, the Second Edition also includes: - Popular forecasting methods including smoothing algorithms, regression models, and neural networks - A practical approach to evaluating the performance of forecasting solutions - A business-analytics exposition focused on linking time-series forecasting to business goals - Guided cases for integrating the acquired knowledge using real data* End-of-chapter problems to facilitate active learning - A companion site with data sets, R code, learning resources, and instructor materials (solutions to exercises, case studies) - Globally-available textbook, available in both softcover and Kindle formats Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Second Edition is the perfect textbook for upper-undergraduate, graduate and MBA-level courses as well as professional programs in data science and business analytics. The book is also designed for practitioners in the fields of operations research, supply chain management, marketing, economics, finance and management. For more information, visit forecastingbook.com
Author: P. W. Strike
Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN: 1483161927
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 553
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Book Description
Statistical Methods in Laboratory Medicine focuses on the application of statistics in laboratory medicine. The book first ponders on quantitative and random variables, exploratory data analysis (EDA), probability, and probability distributions. Discussions focus on negative binomial distribution, non-random distributions, binomial distribution, fitting the binomial model to sample data, conditional probability and statistical independence, rules of probability, and Bayes' theorem. The text then examines inference, regression, and measurement and control. Topics cover analytical goals for assay precision, estimating the error variance components, indirect structural assays, functional assays, bivariate regression model, and least-squares estimates of the functional relation parameters. The manuscript takes a look at assay method comparison studies, multivariate analysis, forecasting and control, and test interpretation. Concerns include time series structure and terminology, polynomial regression, assessing the performance of the classification rule, quantitative screening tests, sample correlation coefficient, and computer assisted diagnosis. The book is a dependable reference for medical experts and statisticians interested in the employment of statistics in laboratory medicine.
Author: Tudor Bodea
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 113662483X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 262
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Book Description
The practices of revenue management and pricing analytics have transformed the transportation and hospitality industries, and are increasingly important in industries as diverse as retail, telecommunications, banking, health care and manufacturing. Segmentation, Revenue Management and Pricing Analytics guides students and professionals on how to identify and exploit revenue management and pricing opportunities in different business contexts. Bodea and Ferguson introduce concepts and quantitative methods for improving profit through capacity allocation and pricing. Whereas most marketing textbooks cover more traditional, qualitative methods for determining customer segments and prices, this book uses historical sales data with mathematical optimization to make those decisions. With hands-on practice and a fundamental understanding of some of the most common analytical models, readers will be able to make smarter business decisions and higher profits. This book will be a useful and enlightening read for MBA students in pricing and revenue management, marketing, and service operations.
Author: Witold Pedrycz
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642334393
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 398
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Book Description
Temporal and spatiotemporal data form an inherent fabric of the society as we are faced with streams of data coming from numerous sensors, data feeds, recordings associated with numerous areas of application embracing physical and human-generated phenomena (environmental data, financial markets, Internet activities, etc.). A quest for a thorough analysis, interpretation, modeling and prediction of time series comes with an ongoing challenge for developing models that are both accurate and user-friendly (interpretable). The volume is aimed to exploit the conceptual and algorithmic framework of Computational Intelligence (CI) to form a cohesive and comprehensive environment for building models of time series. The contributions covered in the volume are fully reflective of the wealth of the CI technologies by bringing together ideas, algorithms, and numeric studies, which convincingly demonstrate their relevance, maturity and visible usefulness. It reflects upon the truly remarkable diversity of methodological and algorithmic approaches and case studies. This volume is aimed at a broad audience of researchers and practitioners engaged in various branches of operations research, management, social sciences, engineering, and economics. Owing to the nature of the material being covered and a way it has been arranged, it establishes a comprehensive and timely picture of the ongoing pursuits in the area and fosters further developments.
