Similarity-Augmented Structural Vector Autoregression

Similarity-Augmented Structural Vector Autoregression PDF Author: Visa Kuntze
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
We develop a similarity-based structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model using the similar clusters of data relevant for the prevailing initial macroeconomic conditions of interest. Our computationally attractive simple approach enables us to uncover time-varying effects of structural economic shocks in a flexible manner in relevant local environments instead of relying on a model estimated from the entire sample period. Our empirical results show that the dynamic effects of forward guidance shocks are generally dependent on the stance of monetary policy and typically rather negligible for output and inflation.

Similarity-Augmented Structural Vector Autoregression

Similarity-Augmented Structural Vector Autoregression PDF Author: Visa Kuntze
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
We develop a similarity-based structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model using the similar clusters of data relevant for the prevailing initial macroeconomic conditions of interest. Our computationally attractive simple approach enables us to uncover time-varying effects of structural economic shocks in a flexible manner in relevant local environments instead of relying on a model estimated from the entire sample period. Our empirical results show that the dynamic effects of forward guidance shocks are generally dependent on the stance of monetary policy and typically rather negligible for output and inflation.

Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis

Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis PDF Author: Lutz Kilian
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107196574
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 757

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Book Description
This book discusses the econometric foundations of structural vector autoregressive modeling, as used in empirical macroeconomics, finance, and related fields.

Multiple Time Series Models

Multiple Time Series Models PDF Author: Patrick T. Brandt
Publisher: SAGE
ISBN: 1412906563
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 121

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Book Description
Many analyses of time series data involve multiple, related variables. Modeling Multiple Time Series presents many specification choices and special challenges. This book reviews the main competing approaches to modeling multiple time series: simultaneous equations, ARIMA, error correction models, and vector autoregression. The text focuses on vector autoregression (VAR) models as a generalization of the other approaches mentioned. Specification, estimation, and inference using these models is discussed. The authors also review arguments for and against using multi-equation time series models. Two complete, worked examples show how VAR models can be employed. An appendix discusses software that can be used for multiple time series models and software code for replicating the examples is available. Key Features: * Offers a detailed comparison of different time series methods and approaches. * Includes a self-contained introduction to vector autoregression modeling. * Situates multiple time series modeling as a natural extension of commonly taught statistical models.

Three Essays on Identification in Structural Vector Autoregressive Models

Three Essays on Identification in Structural Vector Autoregressive Models PDF Author: Robin Braun
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


The Quest for Regional Integration in the East African Community

The Quest for Regional Integration in the East African Community PDF Author: Mr.Paulo Drummond
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484364414
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 308

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Book Description
The countries in the East African Community (EAC) are among the fastest growing economies in sub-Saharan Africa. The EAC countries are making significant progress toward financial integration, including harmonization of supervisory arrangements and practices and the modernization of monetary policy frameworks. This book focuses on regional integration in the EAC and argues that the establishment of a time table for the eliminating the sensitive-products list and establishing a supranational legal framework for resolving trade disputes are important reforms that should foster regional integration.

Analysis of Integrated and Cointegrated Time Series with R

Analysis of Integrated and Cointegrated Time Series with R PDF Author: Bernhard Pfaff
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387759670
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 193

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Book Description
This book is designed for self study. The reader can apply the theoretical concepts directly within R by following the examples.

Structural Vector Autoregressions with Sign Restrictions

Structural Vector Autoregressions with Sign Restrictions PDF Author: Lars Pfeiffer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 104

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Book Description


The Cointegrated VAR Model

The Cointegrated VAR Model PDF Author: Katarina Juselius
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0191622966
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 478

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Book Description
This valuable text provides a comprehensive introduction to VAR modelling and how it can be applied. In particular, the author focuses on the properties of the Cointegrated VAR model and its implications for macroeconomic inference when data are non-stationary. The text provides a number of insights into the links between statistical econometric modelling and economic theory and gives a thorough treatment of identification of the long-run and short-run structure as well as of the common stochastic trends and the impulse response functions, providing in each case illustrations of applicability. This book presents the main ingredients of the Copenhagen School of Time-Series Econometrics in a transparent and coherent framework. The distinguishing feature of this school is that econometric theory and applications have been developed in close cooperation. The guiding principle is that good econometric work should take econometrics, institutions, and economics seriously. The author uses a single data set throughout most of the book to guide the reader through the econometric theory while also revealing the full implications for the underlying economic model. To test ensure full understanding the book concludes with the introduction of two new data sets to combine readers understanding of econometric theory and economic models, with economic reality.

Explaining and evaluating price volatility and price levels in world agricultural markets

Explaining and evaluating price volatility and price levels in world agricultural markets PDF Author: Palina Moleva
Publisher: Cuvillier Verlag
ISBN: 3736984723
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 226

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Book Description
The worldwide explosions of agricultural commodity and staple food prices in the years 2007/08 and the subsequent recession-related decline in 2009 have not only surprised many market observers, but has also caused an intensive discussion about the causes, the consequences and the necessary policy responses. The new price spike in the years 2011 until 2013 and the current price crisis, especially for dairy and meat products since 2014/15, revived this debate again and raised the question, of how to explain and to evaluate such extreme level shifts and volatilities of agricultural prices, and where the prices move in the long run.

Structural Macroeconometrics

Structural Macroeconometrics PDF Author: David N. DeJong
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400840503
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 435

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Book Description
The revised edition of the essential resource on macroeconometrics Structural Macroeconometrics provides a thorough overview and in-depth exploration of methodologies, models, and techniques used to analyze forces shaping national economies. In this thoroughly revised second edition, David DeJong and Chetan Dave emphasize time series econometrics and unite theoretical and empirical research, while taking into account important new advances in the field. The authors detail strategies for solving dynamic structural models and present the full range of methods for characterizing and evaluating empirical implications, including calibration exercises, method-of-moment procedures, and likelihood-based procedures, both classical and Bayesian. The authors look at recent strides that have been made to enhance numerical efficiency, consider the expanded applicability of dynamic factor models, and examine the use of alternative assumptions involving learning and rational inattention on the part of decision makers. The treatment of methodologies for obtaining nonlinear model representations has been expanded, and linear and nonlinear model representations are integrated throughout the text. The book offers a rich array of implementation algorithms, sample empirical applications, and supporting computer code. Structural Macroeconometrics is the ideal textbook for graduate students seeking an introduction to macroeconomics and econometrics, and for advanced students pursuing applied research in macroeconomics. The book's historical perspective, along with its broad presentation of alternative methodologies, makes it an indispensable resource for academics and professionals.