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Author: Pat Hanna
Publisher: FriesenPress
ISBN: 146027492X
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 125
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Book Description
Ever wonder what makes a psychic tick? Or what goes on in the mind of someone who can foretell the future? Wonder no more! Read on! This biography of five working psychics will open your eyes, if not your mind, to their esoteric, inexplicable world.
Author: Pat Hanna
Publisher: FriesenPress
ISBN: 146027492X
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 125
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Book Description
Ever wonder what makes a psychic tick? Or what goes on in the mind of someone who can foretell the future? Wonder no more! Read on! This biography of five working psychics will open your eyes, if not your mind, to their esoteric, inexplicable world.
Author: Antony S. R. Manstead
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521521017
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 506
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Book Description
Publisher Description
Author: United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Commerce. Subcommittee on Communications
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Election forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 410
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Book Description
Committee Serial No. 90-22. Considers. S. 2128, to provide equal time for the use of broadcasting stations by candidates for public office. S. 2090, to provide broadcasting facilities to candidates for public office. S. 1926, to exempt the candidates for the Office of U.S. Senator, Representative and Governor of any state from the Communications Act of 1934. S. 1859, to exempt the candidates for the office of President and Vice-President of the U.S. from the Communications Act of 1934. S. 1548, to provide for the furnishing to candidates for public office of free radio and television broadcast time on a fair and equitable basis.
Author: United States. Congress. Senate. Commerce
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 388
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Book Description
Author: Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400888816
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 368
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Book Description
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Author: Ray C. Fair
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 9780804745093
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 196
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Book Description
What do the following events have in common? In 2000, the election between George W. Bush and Al Gore was a virtual tie. The 1989 and 1990 vintages have turned out to be two of the best ever for Bordeaux wines. In 2001, the Federal Reserve lowered the interest rate eleven times. The decade of the 1970s was one of the worst on record for U.S. inflation. In 2001, the author of this book, at age 59, ran a marathon in 3 hours and 30 minutes, but should have been able to do it in 3 hours and 15 minutes. This book shows clearly and simply how these diverse events can be explained by using the tools of the social sciences and statistics. It moves from a discussion of formulating theories about real world phenomena to lessons on how to analyze data, test theories, and make predictions. Through the use of a rich array of examples, the book demonstrates the power and range of social science and statistical methods. In addition to “big” topics—presidential elections, Federal Reserve behavior, and inflation—and “not quite so big” topics—wine quality—the book takes on questions of more direct, personal interest. Who of your friends is most likely to have an extramarital affair? How important is class attendance for academic performance in college? How fast can you expect to run a race or perform some physical task at age 55, given your time at age 30? (In other words, how fast are you slowing down?) As the author works his way through an incredibly broad range of questions and topics, demonstrating the usefulness of statistical theory and method, he gives the reader a new way of thinking about many age-old concerns in public and private life.
Author: Eric Topol
Publisher:
ISBN: 0465054749
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 386
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Book Description
A revolutionary argument for how putting patients in charge will make healthcare better for everyone
Author: Anton E. Lawson
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0306482061
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 306
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Book Description
A goal of mine ever since becoming an educational researcher has been to help construct a sound theory to guide instructional practice. For far too long, educational practice has suffered because we have lacked firm instructional guidelines, which in my view should be based on sound psychological theory, which in turn should be based on sound neurological theory. In other words, teachers need to know how to teach and that "how-to-teach" should be based solidly on how people learn and how their brains function. As you will see in this book, my answer to the question of how people learn is that we all learn by spontaneously generating and testing ideas. Idea generating involves analogies and testing requires comparing predicted consequences with actual consequences. We learn this way because the brain is essentially an idea generating and testing machine. But there is more to it than this. The very process ofgenerating and testing ideas results not only in the construction of ideas that work (i. e. , the learning of useful declarative knowledge), but also in improved skill in learning (i. e. , the development of improved procedural knowledge).
Author: Andrea Vedaldi
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030585557
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 836
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Book Description
The 30-volume set, comprising the LNCS books 12346 until 12375, constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 16th European Conference on Computer Vision, ECCV 2020, which was planned to be held in Glasgow, UK, during August 23-28, 2020. The conference was held virtually due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The 1360 revised papers presented in these proceedings were carefully reviewed and selected from a total of 5025 submissions. The papers deal with topics such as computer vision; machine learning; deep neural networks; reinforcement learning; object recognition; image classification; image processing; object detection; semantic segmentation; human pose estimation; 3d reconstruction; stereo vision; computational photography; neural networks; image coding; image reconstruction; object recognition; motion estimation.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Liberalism (Religion)
Languages : en
Pages : 428
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Book Description