Rising House Prices and Ultra-low Interest Rates

Rising House Prices and Ultra-low Interest Rates PDF Author: Andreas R. Dombret
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bank failures
Languages : en
Pages : 18

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Book Description
"Are overheating housing markets and rising interest rate risks becoming a breeding ground for yet another banking crisis? The authors assess these risks for the German case. They find that they are indeed building up and may very well form the basis for a new banking crisis – unless prevented through responsible banking decisions, supervisory guidance, and policy adjustments."--Abstract.

Rising House Prices and Ultra-low Interest Rates

Rising House Prices and Ultra-low Interest Rates PDF Author: Andreas R. Dombret
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bank failures
Languages : en
Pages : 18

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Book Description
"Are overheating housing markets and rising interest rate risks becoming a breeding ground for yet another banking crisis? The authors assess these risks for the German case. They find that they are indeed building up and may very well form the basis for a new banking crisis – unless prevented through responsible banking decisions, supervisory guidance, and policy adjustments."--Abstract.

ODDS OF FALLING HOME PRICES

ODDS OF FALLING HOME PRICES PDF Author: Elizabeth Fretty
Publisher: Elizabeth Fretty
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 41

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Book Description
Home listing prices continue to be high. Mortgage interest rates are high; the last time they were this high was in the early 2000s. But the cost of borrowing is likely to go up over the next year, which will make the decision much harder for people who may need to buy in that time. The majority of us will continue investing in the markets and accumulating money for a down payment until the housing market stabilizes. Q.ai eliminates uncertainty from investment. Here’s How Strange the Housing Market Is Getting Right Now. In other words, rising mortgage rates are bad news for the housing market, and the US just saw one of the sharpest hikes ever. Home buyers are now dealing with severe price shock as affordability indicators are deteriorating at their highest rate ever. In fact, a number of market milestones have been reached recently, with mortgage spreads and benchmark interest rates reaching levels that haven’t been seen in decades while the number of new sales is declining at a rate that is faster than even during the period following the global

House Prices and Ultra-low Interest Rates

House Prices and Ultra-low Interest Rates PDF Author: Daniel Dieckelmann
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789289959858
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
The acceleration of house price growth amidst falling interest rates to record-low levels across euro area countries between 2015 and 2021 has sparked renewed interest in the link between the two variables. Asset-pricing theory suggests that real house prices respond to changes in real interest rates in a non-linear fashion. This non-linearity should be especially pronounced at very low real interest rates. Most existing empirical studies estimate models with a constant semi-elasticity, thereby ruling out by design the potential non-linearities between house prices and interest rates. To address this issue, we estimate a panel model for the euro area countries with a constant interest rate elasticity (as opposed to a constant semi-elasticity), which is consistent with asset pricing theory. Our empirical results suggest that, in a low interest rate environment such as the period between 2015 and 2021, non-linearities in the house price response to interest rate changes are important: an increase of real interest rates from ultra-low levels could lead to downward pressure on real house prices three to eight times higher than the literature suggests.

House Poor

House Poor PDF Author: June Fletcher
Publisher: Harper Collins
ISBN: 0062010484
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 226

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Book Description
The housing market, like any other investment, has always had its ups and downs. But ever since it started its upswing at the beginning of this decade, the ride has become more thrilling—and more dangerous. One day, home values are skyrocketing and cheap money is up for grabs; the next day, houses linger on the market and interest rates rise alarmingly high. Home buyers and sellers are beginning to recognize that however the market moves where they live, they must be prepared to make smart housing decisions. Written by veteran real estate reporter June Fletcher, House Poor teaches you everything you need to know to weather the ups and downs of the housing market, including: How to tell whether your hometown is likely to boom or bust When to take equity out of your house How to buy as a first-time home owner or as an investor during turbulent times How to protect your home investment When and how to sell your home Today's volatile housing market could make you house poor. This book will keep you house proud.

Diminishing Returns

Diminishing Returns PDF Author:
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0197607888
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 561

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Book Description
A set of state of the art empirical analyses at the country, regional, and global level that work from a new theoretical framework that analyzes the politics of growth and stagnation. As highlighted by the recent debate on 'secular stagnation,' economic growth has slowed down considerably, and this has given rise to a host of new problems, from financial instability to the collapse of mainstream parties. What happens when growththe main mechanism of capitalist legitimationis harder to come by and less broadly shared? And how should we think about capitalist diversity in the context of global stagnation? In Diminishing Returns, Lucio Baccaro, Mark Blyth, and Jonas Pontusson address these questions by bringing together a number of comparative and international political economists with expertise across many different countries and regions. Going beyond the methodological nationalism common in most comparative research, each author departs from a common theoretical framework, the Growth Model Perspective, and contributes to develop it further. The outcome is a new theoretical framework to help social scientists, policymakers, and opinion makers, understand the politics of growth and stagnation, which offers state of the art empirical analyses at the country, regional, and global level.

The Inflation of House Prices, Its Extent, Causes, and Consequences

The Inflation of House Prices, Its Extent, Causes, and Consequences PDF Author: Leo Grebler
Publisher: Free Press
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 280

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Book Description


The Housing Boom and Bust

The Housing Boom and Bust PDF Author: Thomas Sowell
Publisher: Basic Books (AZ)
ISBN: 0465018807
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 194

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Book Description
Explains how we got into the current economic disaster that developed out of the economics and politics of the housing boom and bust. The "creative" financing of home mortgages and "creative" marketing of financial securities based on these mortgages to countries around the world, are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up--and then collapsed.

The Price of Time

The Price of Time PDF Author: Edward Chancellor
Publisher: Grove Press
ISBN: 0802160077
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 375

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Book Description
A comprehensive and profoundly relevant history of interest from one of the world’s leading financial writers, The Price of Time explains our current global financial position and how we got here In the beginning was the loan, and the loan carried interest. For at least five millennia people have been borrowing and lending at interest. The practice wasn’t always popular—in the ancient world, usury was generally viewed as exploitative, a potential path to debt bondage and slavery. Yet as capitalism became established from the late Middle Ages onwards, denunciations of interest were tempered because interest was a necessary reward for lenders to part with their capital. And interest performs many other vital functions: it encourages people to save; enables them to place a value on precious assets, such as houses and all manner of financial securities; and allows us to price risk. All economic and financial activities take place across time. Interest is often described as the “price of money,” but it is better called the “price of time:” time is scarce, time has value, interest is the time value of money. Over the first two decades of the twenty-first century, interest rates have sunk lower than ever before. Easy money after the global financial crisis in 2007/2008 has produced several ill effects, including the appearance of multiple asset price bubbles, a reduction in productivity growth, discouraging savings and exacerbating inequality, and forcing yield starved investors to take on excessive risk. The financial world now finds itself caught between a rock and a hard place, and Edward Chancellor is here to tell us why. In this enriching volume, Chancellor explores the history of interest and its essential function in determining how capital is allocated and priced.

Assessing High House Prices

Assessing High House Prices PDF Author: Charles P. Himmelberg
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Housing
Languages : en
Pages : 21

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Book Description
"We construct measures of the annual cost of single-family housing for 46 metropolitan areas in the United States over the last 25 years and compare them with local rents and incomes as a way of judging the level of housing prices. Conventional metrics like the growth rate of house prices, the price-to-rent ratio, and the price-to-income ratio can be misleading because they fail to account both for the time series pattern of real long-term interest rates and predictable differences in the long-run growth rates of house prices across local markets. These factors are especially important in recent years because house prices are theoretically more sensitive to interest rates when rates are already low, and more sensitive still in those cities where the long-run rate of house price growth is high. During the 1980s, our measures show that houses looked most overvalued in many of the same cities that subsequently experienced the largest house price declines. We find that from the trough of 1995 to 2004, the cost of owning rose somewhat relative to the cost of renting, but not, in most cities, to levels that made houses look overvalued"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Growth and Welfare in Advanced Capitalist Economies

Growth and Welfare in Advanced Capitalist Economies PDF Author: Anke Hassel
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0192635824
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 432

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Book Description
Growth and Welfare in Advanced Capitalist Economies takes stock of the major economic challenges that advanced industrial democracies have faced since the early 1990s and the responses by governments to them. It has three goals: firstly, to further our understanding of how political economies have transformed over the past decades; secondly, to analyse the contribution of governments to these changes, by looking at their growth strategies and thirdly, to highlight and analyse the role of the reforms of welfare systems in this transformative change. In a nutshell, this book maps and provides general understanding of the evolution of growth regimes in advanced capitalist countries. It identifies five main growth regimes in contemporary advanced capitalist economies (three export-led and two domestic demand-led ones). To do so the book combines a supply side approach to economic growth as advocated by the Varieties of Capitalism Literature (OUP, 2001) with a demand side perspective as the recent discussion on growth models has exemplified. It argues that all political economies consist of growth regimes, which are based on a set of institutions that shape the supply side of the economy as well as on demand drivers such as government spending and private consumption. Both supply and demand are heavily shaped by the welfare state which provides for skills through education systems and stimulates demand through high social spending and private pension funds. The book focuses on the analysis of welfare reforms as growth strategies pursued by governments in an era characterised by financialization and the rise of the knowledge economy.