Projecting Migration

Projecting Migration PDF Author: Alan Grossman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Performing Arts
Languages : en
Pages : 268

Get Book Here

Book Description
Migration has rapidly become a fundamental component of modern life and increasingly determines who we are and how we define ourselves. This text explains the phenomena of mobility and displacement through essays, films, photography and audio recordings.

Projecting Migration

Projecting Migration PDF Author: Alan Grossman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Performing Arts
Languages : en
Pages : 268

Get Book Here

Book Description
Migration has rapidly become a fundamental component of modern life and increasingly determines who we are and how we define ourselves. This text explains the phenomena of mobility and displacement through essays, films, photography and audio recordings.

The Future of Migration to Europe

The Future of Migration to Europe PDF Author: matteo villa
Publisher: Ledizioni
ISBN: 8855262025
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 112

Get Book Here

Book Description
Even as the 2013-2017 "migration crisis" is increasingly in the past, EU countries still struggle to come up with alternative solutions to foster safe, orderly, and regular migration pathways, Europeans continue to look in the rear-view mirror. This Report is an attempt to reverse the perspective, by taking a glimpse into the future of migration to Europe. What are the structural trends underlying migration flows to Europe, and how are they going to change over the next two decades? How does migration interact with specific policy fields, such as development, border management, and integration? And what are the policies and best practicies to manage migration in a more coherent and evidence-based way?

Revised Estimates and Projections of International Migration, 1980-2000

Revised Estimates and Projections of International Migration, 1980-2000 PDF Author: Fred Arnold
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Emigration and immigration
Languages : en
Pages : 94

Get Book Here

Book Description
Here are country -by -country recommendations for revising the World Bank's previous estimates and projections of net international migration for the period 1980-2000, for use in the Bank's World development projections. Net migration figures for most major sending and receiving countries should be revised upward.

Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas

Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas PDF Author: H. Craig Davis
Publisher: UBC Press
ISBN: 9780774805018
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 132

Get Book Here

Book Description
In Chapter 3, the author outlines a four-step projection procedure which is used throughout the remainder of the book. Chapter 4 describes how to project population size by comparing the growth pattern of the population under study with that of another population. The next chapter covers one of the most commonly employed techniques of population projection - the cohort-survival model, which is used not only to project the size of a population but also its composition in terms of age and sex groupings. The final chapter focuses on migration, generally the most volatile component of the basic demographic equation. Primarily written for courses in planning, this book is also useful for anyone having to make decisions affected by population trends, whether they involve planning for future growth or alerting local decisionmakers to external uncertainties that could have a serious impact on the future of their community.

Regional Population Projection Models

Regional Population Projection Models PDF Author: Andrei Rogers
Publisher: SAGE Publications, Incorporated
ISBN:
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 108

Get Book Here

Book Description
Andrei Rogers, one of the world's leading authorities on population trends, offers a powerful technique for carrying out regional population projections. He gives a clear step-by-step analysis and demonstrations of actual projections of future populations at the regional level. The examples show how to calculate regional population growth rates, age compositions, and spatial distributions using data from several developed and less developed countries.

Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View

Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View PDF Author: Jakub Bijak
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9048188970
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 318

Get Book Here

Book Description
International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migration are lacking. There is a clear need for reliable methods of predicting migration since population forecasts are indispensable for rational decision making in many areas, including labour markets, social security or spatial planning and organisation. In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications.

Beyond Six Billion

Beyond Six Billion PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309069904
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 369

Get Book Here

Book Description
Is rapid world population growth actually coming to an end? As population growth and its consequences have become front-page issues, projections of slowing growth from such institutions as the United Nations and the World Bank have been called into question. Beyond Six Billion asks what such projections really say, why they say it, whether they can be trusted, and whether they can be improved. The book includes analysis of how well past U.N. and World Bank projections have panned out, what errors have occurred, and why they have happened. Focusing on fertility as one key to accurate projections, the committee examines the transition from high, constant fertility to low fertility levels and discusses whether developing countries will eventually attain the very low levels of births now observed in the industrialized world. Other keys to accurate projections, predictions of lengthening life span and of the impact of international migration on specific countries, are also explored in detail. How good are our methods of population forecasting? How can we cope with the inevitable uncertainty? What population trends can we anticipate? Beyond Six Billion illuminates not only the forces that shape population growth but also the accuracy of the methods we use to quantify these forces and the uncertainty surrounding projections. The Committee on Population was established by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in 1983 to bring the knowledge and methods of the population sciences to bear on major issues of science and public policy. The committee's work includes both basic studies of fertility, health and mortality, and migration; and applied studies aimed at improving programs for the public health and welfare in the United States and in developing countries. The committee also fosters communication among researchers in different disciplines and countries and policy makers in government, international agencies, and private organizations. The work of the committee is made possible by funding from several government agencies and private foundations.

Projecting State and Local Populations

Projecting State and Local Populations PDF Author: Donald B. Pittenger
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 280

Get Book Here

Book Description
"This book presents a comprehensive, detailed study of population forecasting techniques for subnational areas. It includes an analysis and projection of migration as well as numerous examples of analytical and forecasting techniques based on real data for actual localities. Fictitious data and simplified examples have been avoided. While Dr. Pittenger's study covers that range of methods used in the United States over the past 50 years, methods actually used during the 1970's are stressed"--Book jacket.

Technical Paper (United States. Bureau of the Census).

Technical Paper (United States. Bureau of the Census). PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 416

Get Book Here

Book Description


China, the Belt and Road Initiative, and the Century of Great Migration

China, the Belt and Road Initiative, and the Century of Great Migration PDF Author: Michele Bruni
Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing
ISBN: 1527581292
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 456

Get Book Here

Book Description
The book argues whether future migrations will be organized by destination countries or by criminal organizations; whether migrants will travel in a humane way or will continue to die along the road; whether properly trained migrants will boost the productivity of arrival countries or these countries will continue to squander money to build useless walls, possibly far from their border, and pay neighbours, not certainly in the top list from the human right perspective, to keep workers they need in concentration camps. It suggests that it is in the interest of more developed countries to stop denying their structural shortage of labour and start co-managing with one or more potential departure countries migration flows coherent with the quantitative and qualitative needs of their labour market. Economic fairness and sound economic thinking would also require destination countries to finance the training of potential migrants in the country of departure: in substance to build schools and vocational centres not walls. China represents an ideal case study in this regard not only because of its history, institutional setting, and international relationships but because in the next decades it will be the country most affected by the largest shortage of labour.