Predicting Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Modes with a Climate Modeling Hierarchy -- Final Report

Predicting Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Modes with a Climate Modeling Hierarchy -- Final Report PDF Author: UCLA. Michael Ghil
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
The goal of the project was to determine midlatitude climate predictability associated with tropical-extratropical interactions on interannual-to-interdecadal time scales. Our strategy was to develop and test a hierarchy of climate models, bringing together large GCM-based climate models with simple fluid-dynamical coupled ocean-ice-atmosphere models, through the use of advanced probabilistic network (PN) models. PN models were used to develop a new diagnostic methodology for analyzing coupled ocean-atmosphere interactions in large climate simulations made with the NCAR Parallel Climate Model (PCM), and to make these tools user-friendly and available to other researchers. We focused on interactions between the tropics and extratropics through atmospheric teleconnections (the Hadley cell, Rossby waves and nonlinear circulation regimes) over both the North Atlantic and North Pacific, and the ocean's thermohaline circulation (THC) in the Atlantic. We tested the hypothesis that variations in the strength of the THC alter sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic, and that the latter influence the atmosphere in high latitudes through an atmospheric teleconnection, feeding back onto the THC. The PN model framework was used to mediate between the understanding gained with simplified primitive equations models and multi-century simulations made with the PCM. The project team is interdisciplinary and built on an existing synergy between atmospheric and ocean scientists at UCLA, computer scientists at UCI, and climate researchers at the IRI.

Predicting Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Modes with a Climate Modeling Hierarchy -- Final Report

Predicting Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Modes with a Climate Modeling Hierarchy -- Final Report PDF Author: UCLA. Michael Ghil
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
The goal of the project was to determine midlatitude climate predictability associated with tropical-extratropical interactions on interannual-to-interdecadal time scales. Our strategy was to develop and test a hierarchy of climate models, bringing together large GCM-based climate models with simple fluid-dynamical coupled ocean-ice-atmosphere models, through the use of advanced probabilistic network (PN) models. PN models were used to develop a new diagnostic methodology for analyzing coupled ocean-atmosphere interactions in large climate simulations made with the NCAR Parallel Climate Model (PCM), and to make these tools user-friendly and available to other researchers. We focused on interactions between the tropics and extratropics through atmospheric teleconnections (the Hadley cell, Rossby waves and nonlinear circulation regimes) over both the North Atlantic and North Pacific, and the ocean's thermohaline circulation (THC) in the Atlantic. We tested the hypothesis that variations in the strength of the THC alter sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic, and that the latter influence the atmosphere in high latitudes through an atmospheric teleconnection, feeding back onto the THC. The PN model framework was used to mediate between the understanding gained with simplified primitive equations models and multi-century simulations made with the PCM. The project team is interdisciplinary and built on an existing synergy between atmospheric and ocean scientists at UCLA, computer scientists at UCI, and climate researchers at the IRI.

Atmosphere-ocean Modeling: Coupling And Couplers

Atmosphere-ocean Modeling: Coupling And Couplers PDF Author: Carlos Roberto Mechoso
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9811232954
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 203

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Book Description
Coupled atmosphere-ocean models are at the core of numerical climate models. There is an extraordinarily broad class of coupled atmosphere-ocean models ranging from sets of equations that can be solved analytically to highly detailed representations of Nature requiring the most advanced computers for execution. The models are applied to subjects including the conceptual understanding of Earth's climate, predictions that support human activities in a variable climate, and projections aimed to prepare society for climate change. The present book fills a void in the current literature by presenting a basic and yet rigorous treatment of how the models of the atmosphere and the ocean are put together into a coupled system. The text of the book is divided into chapters organized according to complexity of the components that are coupled. Two full chapters are dedicated to current efforts on the development of generalist couplers and coupling methodologies all over the world.

Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models

Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models PDF Author: J.C.J. Nihoul
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080870783
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 793

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Book Description
The exchange of momentum, heat, moisture, gases (such as CO2 and O2) and salt between the atmosphere and the ocean is a phenomenon of paramount importance for the dynamics of the atmosphere and the ocean. With the pressing need for reliable climate forecast (e.g. to deal with severe food and energy problems) interactive ocean-atmosphere models have become one of the main objectives of geophysical fluid dynamics. This volume provides the first state-of-the-art review of interactive ocean-atmosphere modelling and its application to climates. The papers are by active and eminent scientists from different countries and different disciplines. They provide a up-to-date survey of major recent discoveries and valuable recommendations for future research.

Improving the Scientific Foundation for Atmosphere-Land-Ocean Simulations

Improving the Scientific Foundation for Atmosphere-Land-Ocean Simulations PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 030909609X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 84

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Book Description
The National Academies' Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (BASC) held a workshop to explore and evaluate current efforts to model physical processes of coupled atmosphere-land-ocean (A-L-O) models. Numerical models of the atmosphere and ocean are central to weather prediction, research, and education. Although great strides have been made over the past few decades in understanding the atmosphere and ocean, modeling capabilities, and numerical A-L-O simulations, some unresolved processes in the models do not adequately represent knowledge of the underlying physics. Moreover, there is evidence that further progress in numerical simulations is being impeded by the slow pace of improvement in the representation of key physical processes in the models and the fact that geophysical flow models are not receiving the attention needed to make these tools more useful and accurate. These models often are used to predict future events, so it is imperative that their underlying physical processes be represented as robustly as possible. During the workshop, the parameterization of physical processes in A-L-O models was addressed, including associated errors, testing, and efforts to improve the use of parameterizations. Participants also examined intellectual and scientific challenges in modeling and highlighted the idea that some of the key impediments to progress in representing physical processes are primarily cultural in nature.

Coupled Ocean-atmosphere Model System for Studies of Interannual-to-decadal Climate Variability Over the North Pacific Basin and Precipitation Over the Southwestern United States

Coupled Ocean-atmosphere Model System for Studies of Interannual-to-decadal Climate Variability Over the North Pacific Basin and Precipitation Over the Southwestern United States PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 12

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Book Description
This is the final report of a one-year, Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). The ultimate objective of this research project is to make understanding and predicting regional climate easier. The long-term goals of this project are (1) to construct a coupled ocean-atmosphere model (COAM) system, (2) use it to explore the interannual-to-decadal climate variability over the North Pacific Basin, and (3) determine climate effects on the precipitation over the Southwestern United States. During this project life, three major tasks were completed: (1) Mesoscale ocean and atmospheric model; (2) global-coupled ocean and atmospheric modeling: completed the coupling of LANL POP global ocean model with NCAR CCM2+ global atmospheric model; and (3) global nested-grid ocean modeling: designed the boundary interface for the nested-grid ocean models.

High Resolution Numerical Modelling of the Atmosphere and Ocean

High Resolution Numerical Modelling of the Atmosphere and Ocean PDF Author: Kevin Hamilton
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387497919
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 298

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Book Description
This highly relevant text documents the first international meeting focused specifically on high-resolution atmospheric and oceanic modeling. It was held recently at the Earth Simulator Center in Yokohama, Japan. Rather than producing a standard conference proceedings volume, the editors have decided to compose this volume entirely of papers written by invited speakers at the meeting, who report on their most exciting recent results involving high resolution modeling.

Ocean Atmosphere Interaction and Climate Modeling

Ocean Atmosphere Interaction and Climate Modeling PDF Author: Boris A. Kagan
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521444453
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 392

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Book Description
This book aims to acquaint readers with the recent advances in experimental and theoretical investigations of ocean-atmosphere interactions, a rapidly developing field in earth sciences. Particular attention is paid to the scope and perspectives for satellite measurements and mathematical modeling. Current approaches to the construction of coupled ocean-atmosphere models (from the simplest one-dimensional to comprehensive three-dimensional ones) for the solution of key problems in climate theory are discussed in detail. Field measurements and the results of numerical climate simulations are presented and help to explain climate variability that arises from various natural and anthropogenic factors.

Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model

Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model PDF Author: Tianjun Zhou
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642418015
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 468

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Book Description
Coupled climate system models are of central importance for climate studies. A new model known as FGOALS ( the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model), has been developed by the Sate Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences (LASG/IAP, CAS), a first-tier national geophysical laboratory. It serves as a powerful tool, both for deepening our understanding of fundamental mechanisms of the climate system and for making decadal prediction and scenario projections of future climate change. "Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model: A Modeling Tool for the Climate Change Research Community” is the first book to offer systematic evaluations of this model’s performance. It is comprehensive in scope, covering both developmental and application-oriented aspects of this climate system model. It also provides an outlook of future development of FGOALS and offers an overview of how to employ the model. It represents a valuable reference work for researchers and professionals working within the related areas of climate variability and change. Prof. Tianjun Zhou, Yongqiang Yu, Yimin Liu and Bin Wang work at LASG, the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China.

Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics

Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics PDF Author: Shang-Ping Xie
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 032395491X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 433

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Book Description
Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics of Climate Variability and Climate Change presents the patterns, mechanisms, and predictability of climate variability and anthropogenic climate change. Based on a graduate course the author has taught over 25 years, this book provides the physical foundation for those who are interested in fundamental questions such as: why climate varies from one year to another; how predictable climate is; and how climate will change in the face of increasing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. This is the first comprehensive and systematic treatment of this subject that simultaneously draws on the latest research and is accessible for graduate students. The book takes a step-by-step systematic approach to coupled ocean-atmosphere interactions. This allows a wide range of comparative views: climate modes among and across different tropical ocean basins, ocean feedback on the atmosphere (in and out of the tropics), and spontaneous internal oscillation versus externally forced climate change. Such comparative views offer unprecedented insight into the dynamics of climate variability and predictability. This book can be used as supplementary reading for advanced undergraduate students, as coursework in climate dynamics, modeling, variability, and change, and as a reference book and research monograph for researchers in ocean, atmospheric, climate, and earth system sciences. Delivers the first authored textbook on ocean-atmosphere interactions that give rise to climate variability/predictability and shape regional patterns of anthropogenic climate change Contains historical accounts of major breakthroughs in the field Includes homework questions, helping to reinforce key concepts and applications

Climate Model Development Task Force Final Report

Climate Model Development Task Force Final Report PDF Author: James L. Kinter
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Climatic changes
Languages : en
Pages : 35

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Book Description
"The Climate Model Development Task Force (CMDTF; 2014-2017) was formed to bring together representatives from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) laboratories, the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), and Climate Process Teams research centers and other projects funded by the NOAA Modeling, Analysis, Prediction and Projections (MAPP) program, with an interest in furthering the coupled modeling capability for sub-seasonal to seasonal and longer time scale prediction. The CMDTF provided a platform to discuss model development efforts and best practices. The CMDTF made contributions to the planning process including defining requirements for the transition from operations to research (O2R) and for future model configurations and output, and defining metrics and a test harness for evaluation of climate models and climate predictions. A number of the projects that were engaged in the CMDTF contributed to designing and developing subgrid-scale and land surface process representations, component models, coupling infrastructure, and multi-model combination strategies. The CMDTF served the functions of both keeping the diverse projects in these categories informed of progress and findings as well as stimulating collaboration among these projects"--Executive summary. [doi:10.7289/V5/TR-OAR-CPO-6 (https://doi.org/10.7289/V5/TR-OAR-CPO-6)]