Portfolio selection using behavioral models

Portfolio selection using behavioral models PDF Author: Andrea Gheno
Publisher: Roma TrE-Press
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 31

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Book Description
Nell'ambito dei problemi di scelta in condizioni di rischio introduciamo un nuovo modello comportamentale e implementiamo un'analisi empirica basata sul confronto con il classico approccio della Teoria del Prospetto. L'applicazione di questi modelli è validata nella selezione di portafoglio attraverso tre modelli di portafoglio tradizionali utilizzati come riferimento (portafoglio a varianza minima, portafoglio a deviazione mediana assoluta e portafoglio equamente ponderato). L'obiettivo di questo lavoro di ricerca è quello di incorporare la percezione del rischio degli investitori nelle scelte dei portafogli ottimali. Proponiamo un'analisi out-of-sample di quattro indici azionari per dimostrare la superiorità dei modelli comportamentali di selezione di portafoglio rispetto a quelli tradizionali. DOI: 10.13134/979-12-5977-249-7

Portfolio selection using behavioral models

Portfolio selection using behavioral models PDF Author: Andrea Gheno
Publisher: Roma TrE-Press
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 31

Get Book Here

Book Description
Nell'ambito dei problemi di scelta in condizioni di rischio introduciamo un nuovo modello comportamentale e implementiamo un'analisi empirica basata sul confronto con il classico approccio della Teoria del Prospetto. L'applicazione di questi modelli è validata nella selezione di portafoglio attraverso tre modelli di portafoglio tradizionali utilizzati come riferimento (portafoglio a varianza minima, portafoglio a deviazione mediana assoluta e portafoglio equamente ponderato). L'obiettivo di questo lavoro di ricerca è quello di incorporare la percezione del rischio degli investitori nelle scelte dei portafogli ottimali. Proponiamo un'analisi out-of-sample di quattro indici azionari per dimostrare la superiorità dei modelli comportamentali di selezione di portafoglio rispetto a quelli tradizionali. DOI: 10.13134/979-12-5977-249-7

Behavioral Portfolio Management

Behavioral Portfolio Management PDF Author: C. Thomas Howard
Publisher: Harriman House Limited
ISBN: 0857193252
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 329

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Book Description
The investment industry is on the cusp of a major shift, from Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) to Behavioral Finance, with Behavioral Portfolio Management (BMP) the next step in this transition. BPM focuses on how to harness the price distortions that are driven by emotional crowds and use this to create superior portfolios. Once markets and investing are viewed through the lens of behavior, and portfolios are constructed on this basis, investable opportunities become readily apparent. Mastering your emotions is critical to the process and the insights provided by Tom Howard put investors on the path to achieving this. Forty years of Behavioral Science research presents a clear picture of how individuals make decisions; there are few signs of rationality. Indeed, emotional investors sabotage their own efforts in building long-horizon wealth. When this is combined with the misconception that active management is unable to generate superior returns, the typical emotional investor leaves hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of dollars on the table during their investment lifetimes. Howard moves on to show how industry practice, with its use of the style grid, standard deviation, correlation, maximum drawdown and the Sharpe ratio, has entrenched emotion within investing. The result is that investors construct underperforming, bubble-wrapped portfolios. So if an investor masters their own emotions, they still must challenge the emotionally-based conventional wisdom pervasive throughout the industry. Tom Howard explains how to do this. Attention is then given to measureable and persistent behavioral factors. These provide investors with a new source of information that has the potential to transform how they think about portfolio management and dramatically improve performance. Behavioral factors can be used to select the best stocks, the best active managers, and the best markets in which to invest. Once the transition to behavioral finance is made, the emotional measures of MPT will quickly be forgotten and replaced with rational concepts that allow investors to successfully build long-horizon wealth. If you take portfolio construction seriously, it is essential that you make the next step forward towards Behavioral Portfolio Management.

Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing: Models of Financial Economics and Their Applications in Investing

Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing: Models of Financial Economics and Their Applications in Investing PDF Author: Jamil Baz
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 126427016X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 426

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Book Description
This uniquely comprehensive guide provides expert insights into everything from financial mathematics to the practical realities of asset allocation and pricing Investors like you typically have a choice to make when seeking guidance for portfolio selection―either a book of practical, hands-on approaches to your craft or an academic tome of theories and mathematical formulas. From three top experts, Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing strikes the right balance with an extensive discussion of mathematical foundations of portfolio choice and asset pricing models, and the practice of asset allocation. This thorough guide is conveniently organized into four sections: Mathematical Foundations―normed vector spaces, optimization in discrete and continuous time, utility theory, and uncertainty Portfolio Models―single-period and continuous-time portfolio choice, analogies, asset allocation for a sovereign as an example, and liability-driven allocation Asset Pricing―capital asset pricing models, factor models, option pricing, and expected returns Robust Asset Allocation―robust estimation of optimization inputs, such as the Black-Litterman Model and shrinkage, and robust optimizers Whether you are a sophisticated investor or advanced graduate student, this high-level title combines rigorous mathematical theory with an emphasis on practical implementation techniques.

International Capital Flows

International Capital Flows PDF Author: Martin Feldstein
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226241807
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 500

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Book Description
Recent changes in technology, along with the opening up of many regions previously closed to investment, have led to explosive growth in the international movement of capital. Flows from foreign direct investment and debt and equity financing can bring countries substantial gains by augmenting local savings and by improving technology and incentives. Investing companies acquire market access, lower cost inputs, and opportunities for profitable introductions of production methods in the countries where they invest. But, as was underscored recently by the economic and financial crises in several Asian countries, capital flows can also bring risks. Although there is no simple explanation of the currency crisis in Asia, it is clear that fixed exchange rates and chronic deficits increased the likelihood of a breakdown. Similarly, during the 1970s, the United States and other industrial countries loaned OPEC surpluses to borrowers in Latin America. But when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to control soaring inflation, the result was a widespread debt moratorium in Latin America as many countries throughout the region struggled to pay the high interest on their foreign loans. International Capital Flows contains recent work by eminent scholars and practitioners on the experience of capital flows to Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe. These papers discuss the role of banks, equity markets, and foreign direct investment in international capital flows, and the risks that investors and others face with these transactions. By focusing on capital flows' productivity and determinants, and the policy issues they raise, this collection is a valuable resource for economists, policymakers, and financial market participants.

Postmodern Portfolio Theory

Postmodern Portfolio Theory PDF Author: James Ming Chen
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137544643
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 345

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Book Description
This survey of portfolio theory, from its modern origins through more sophisticated, “postmodern” incarnations, evaluates portfolio risk according to the first four moments of any statistical distribution: mean, variance, skewness, and excess kurtosis. In pursuit of financial models that more accurately describe abnormal markets and investor psychology, this book bifurcates beta on either side of mean returns. It then evaluates this traditional risk measure according to its relative volatility and correlation components. After specifying a four-moment capital asset pricing model, this book devotes special attention to measures of market risk in global banking regulation. Despite the deficiencies of modern portfolio theory, contemporary finance continues to rest on mean-variance optimization and the two-moment capital asset pricing model. The term postmodern portfolio theory captures many of the advances in financial learning since the original articulation of modern portfolio theory. A comprehensive approach to financial risk management must address all aspects of portfolio theory, from the beautiful symmetries of modern portfolio theory to the disturbing behavioral insights and the vastly expanded mathematical arsenal of the postmodern critique. Mastery of postmodern portfolio theory’s quantitative tools and behavioral insights holds the key to the efficient frontier of risk management.

Portfolio Selection

Portfolio Selection PDF Author: Harry Markowitz
Publisher: Yale University Press
ISBN: 0300013728
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 369

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Book Description
Embracing finance, economics, operations research, and computers, this book applies modern techniques of analysis and computation to find combinations of securities that best meet the needs of private or institutional investors.

Applying Particle Swarm Optimization

Applying Particle Swarm Optimization PDF Author: Burcu Adıgüzel Mercangöz
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030702812
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 355

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Book Description
This book explains the theoretical structure of particle swarm optimization (PSO) and focuses on the application of PSO to portfolio optimization problems. The general goal of portfolio optimization is to find a solution that provides the highest expected return at each level of portfolio risk. According to H. Markowitz’s portfolio selection theory, as new assets are added to an investment portfolio, the total risk of the portfolio’s decreases depending on the correlations of asset returns, while the expected return on the portfolio represents the weighted average of the expected returns for each asset. The book explains PSO in detail and demonstrates how to implement Markowitz’s portfolio optimization approach using PSO. In addition, it expands on the Markowitz model and seeks to improve the solution-finding process with the aid of various algorithms. In short, the book provides researchers, teachers, engineers, managers and practitioners with many tools they need to apply the PSO technique to portfolio optimization.

Behavioral Investment Management: An Efficient Alternative to Modern Portfolio Theory

Behavioral Investment Management: An Efficient Alternative to Modern Portfolio Theory PDF Author: Greg B. Davies
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 0071748350
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 384

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Book Description
The End of Modern Portfolio Theory Behavioral Investment Management proves what many have been thinking since the global economic downturn: Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is no longer a viable portfolio management strategy. Inherently flawed and based largely on ideology, MPT can not be relied upon in modern markets. Behavioral Investment Management offers a new approach-one addresses certain realities that MPT ignores, including the fact that emotions play a major role in investing. The authors lay out new standards reflecting behavioral finance and dynamic asset allocation, then explain how to apply these standards to your current portfolio construction efforts. They explain how to move away from the idealized, black-and-white world of MPT and into the real world of investing--placing heavy emphasis on the importance of mastering emotions. Behavioral Investment Management provides a portfolio-management standard for an investing world in disarray. PART 1- The Current Paradigm: MPT (Modern Portfolio Theory); Chapter 1: Modern Portfolio Theory as it Stands; Chapter 2: Challenges to MPT: Theoretical-the assumptions are not thus; Chapter 3: Challenges to MPT: Empirical-the world is not thus; Chapter 4: Challenges to MPT: Behavioural-people are not thus; Chapter 5: Describing the Overall Framework: Investors and Investments; PART 2- Amending MPT: Getting to BMPT; Chapter 1:Investors-The Rational Investor; Chapter 2: Investments-Extracting Value from the long-term; Chapter 3: Investments-Extracting Value from the short-term; Chapter 4: bringing it together, the new BMPT paradigm; PART 3- Emotional Insurance: Sticking with the Journey; Chapter 1: Investors- the emotional investor; Chapter 2: Investments- Constraining the rational portfolio; PART 4- Practical Implications; Chapter 1: The BMPT and Wealth Management; Chapter 2: The BMPT and the Pension Industry; Chapter 3: The BMPT and Asset Managemen

Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing PDF Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262039370
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 497

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Book Description
An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

Portfolio Selection Using Multi-Objective Optimisation

Portfolio Selection Using Multi-Objective Optimisation PDF Author: Saurabh Agarwal
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319544160
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 240

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Book Description
This book explores the risk-return paradox in portfolio selection by incorporating multi-objective criteria. Empirical research is presented on the development of alternate portfolio models and their relative performance in the risk/return framework to provide solutions to multi-objective optimization. Next to outlining techniques for undertaking individual investor’s profiling and portfolio programming, it also offers a new and practical approach for multi-objective portfolio optimization. This book will be of interest to Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs), Mutual Funds, investors, and researchers and students in the field.