Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error

Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error PDF Author: Pickl, Moritz
Publisher: KIT Scientific Publishing
ISBN: 373151236X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 250

Get Book Here

Book Description
Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the representation of initial condition and model uncertainties, and (2) the role of WCBs for forecast error growth.

Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error

Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error PDF Author: Pickl, Moritz
Publisher: KIT Scientific Publishing
ISBN: 373151236X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 250

Get Book Here

Book Description
Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the representation of initial condition and model uncertainties, and (2) the role of WCBs for forecast error growth.

Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes

Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes PDF Author: Wandel, Jan Lucas
Publisher: KIT Scientific Publishing
ISBN: 3731512491
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 256

Get Book Here

Book Description
This study systematically investigates the representation of warm conveyor belts (WCBs) in large reforecast data sets of different numerical weather prediction models and evaluates the role of WCBs for the onset and life cycle of Atlantic-European weather regimes. The results emphasize the importance of accurate forecast of WCBs for sub-seasonal prediction on time scales beyond two weeks and tie the low forecast skill of blocked weather regimes over Europe to misrepresented WCBs.

Objective identification and climatology of mesoscale high-wind features within extratropical cyclones

Objective identification and climatology of mesoscale high-wind features within extratropical cyclones PDF Author: Eisenstein, Lea Andrea
Publisher: KIT Scientific Publishing
ISBN: 3731513749
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 222

Get Book Here

Book Description
Strong winds accompanying extratropical cyclones are commonly associated with various mesoscale features. This work introduces RAMEFI (RAndom-forest-based Mesoscale wind Feature Identification), an objective and flexible identification approach based on key surface characteristics to distinguish these features. RAMEFI is further applied to compile a climatology over Europe, offering a comprehensive analysis of feature frequency, distribution, and characteristics.

Atmospheric Rivers

Atmospheric Rivers PDF Author: F. Martin Ralph
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030289060
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 284

Get Book Here

Book Description
This book is the standard reference based on roughly 20 years of research on atmospheric rivers, emphasizing progress made on key research and applications questions and remaining knowledge gaps. The book presents the history of atmospheric-rivers research, the current state of scientific knowledge, tools, and policy-relevant (science-informed) problems that lend themselves to real-world application of the research—and how the topic fits into larger national and global contexts. This book is written by a global team of authors who have conducted and published the majority of critical research on atmospheric rivers over the past years. The book is intended to benefit practitioners in the fields of meteorology, hydrology and related disciplines, including students as well as senior researchers.

Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction

Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction PDF Author: Andrew Robertson
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 012811715X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 588

Get Book Here

Book Description
The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting: Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction is an ideal reference for researchers and practitioners across the range of disciplines involved in the science, modeling, forecasting and application of this new frontier in sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction. It provides an accessible, yet rigorous, introduction to the scientific principles and sources of predictability through the unique challenges of numerical simulation and forecasting with state-of-science modeling codes and supercomputers. Additional coverage includes the prospects for developing applications to trigger early action decisions to lessen weather catastrophes, minimize costly damage, and optimize operator decisions. The book consists of a set of contributed chapters solicited from experts and leaders in the fields of S2S predictability science, numerical modeling, operational forecasting, and developing application sectors. The introduction and conclusion, written by the co-editors, provides historical perspective, unique synthesis and prospects, and emerging opportunities in this exciting, complex and interdisciplinary field. - Contains contributed chapters from leaders and experts in sub-seasonal to seasonal science, forecasting and applications - Provides a one-stop shop for graduate students, academic and applied researchers, and practitioners in an emerging and interdisciplinary field - Offers a synthesis of the state of S2S science through the use of concrete examples, enabling potential users of S2S forecasts to quickly grasp the potential for application in their own decision-making - Includes a broad set of topics, illustrated with graphic examples, that highlight interdisciplinary linkages

Extratropical Cyclones

Extratropical Cyclones PDF Author: Chester Newton
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1944970339
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 264

Get Book Here

Book Description
This book is composed of 12 review papers invited for the Palmen Memorial Symposium on Extratropical Cyclones held in Helsinki, Finland, 29 August - 2 September 1988. To celebrate the 90th anniversary of the birth of Professor Erik Palmén, this symposium was organized to give a state-of-the-art picture of research on the structure and dynamics of extratropical cyclones, a topic which Palmén pioneered during the era of advances in aerological analysis. This symposium was organized by the Geophysical Society of Finland and the American Meteorological Society in cooperation with the Danish, Norwegian and Swedish Geophysical Societies. Extratropical Cyclones offers state-of-the-art information on extratropical cyclones, and recent findings by European and American authorities in various subject areas. The first two chapters discuss Palmen's works on cyclones and his early general circulation concepts. The ten chapters following chronicle the advances in understanding cyclones; the theory, structure, and physical processes of cyclones; orographic cyclogenesis; and more. Extratropical Cyclones also contains synoptic case analyses, modeling results, examples of the phenomena discussed, and abundant references. While particular aspects are emphasized in the individual contributions, the book as a whole summarizes the major features of various kinds of extratropical cyclones based on observational analyses, theory and numerical experimentation. This volume is of interest to researchers in dynamic and synoptic meteorology, climatology and mesometeorology, as well as in numerical modeling and weather forecasting. It is also useful for meteorology courses at graduate and upper undergraduate levels.

Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology and Weather Analysis and Forecasting

Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology and Weather Analysis and Forecasting PDF Author: Lance Bosart
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0933876688
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 426

Get Book Here

Book Description
This long-anticipated monograph honoring scientist and teacher Fred Sanders includes 16 articles by various authors as well as dozens of unique photographs evoking Fred's character and the vitality of the scientific community he helped develop through his work. Editors Lance F. Bosart (University at Albany/SUNY) and Howard B. Bluestein (University of Oklahoma at Norman) have brought together contributions from luminary authors-including Kerry Emanuel, Robert Burpee, Edward Kessler, and Louis Uccellini-to honor Fred's work in the fields of forecasting, weather analysis, synoptic meteorology, and climatology. The result is a significant volume of work that represents a lasting record of Fred Sanders' influence on atmospheric science and legacy of teaching.

Developments in Teracomputing

Developments in Teracomputing PDF Author: Walter Zwieflhofer
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9789812799685
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 388

Get Book Here

Book Description
The geosciences, particularly numerical weather prediction, are demanding the highest levels of available computer power. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, with its experience in using supercomputers in this field, organises every second year a workshop bringing together manufacturers, computer scientists, researchers and operational users to share their experiences and to learn about the latest developments. This book reports on the November 2000 workshop. It provides an excellent overview of the latest achievements in, and plans for the use of, new parallel techniques in meteorology, climatology and oceanography. Contents: Research and Development of the Earth Simulator (K Yoshida & S Shingu); Parallel Computing at Canadian Meteorological Centre (J-P Toviessi et al.); Parallel Elliptic Solvers for the Implicit Global Variable-Resolution Grid-Point GEM Model: Iterative and Fast Direct Methods (A Qaddouri & J Ct(r)); IFS Developments (D Dent et al.); Performance of Parallelized Forecast and Analysis Models at JMA (Y Oikawa); Building a Scalable Parallel Architecture for Spectal GCMS (T N Venkatesh et al.); Semi-Implicit Spectral Element Methods for Atmospheric General Circulation Models (R D Loft & S J Thomas); Experiments with NCEP's Spectral Model (J-F Estrade et al.); The Implementation of I/O Servers in NCEP's ETA Model on the IBM SP (J Tuccillo); Implementation of a Complete Weather Forecasting Suite on PARAM 10 000 (S C Purohit et al.); Parallel Load Balance System of Regional Multiple Scale Advanced Prediction System (J Zhiyan); Grid Computing for Meteorology (G-R Hoffmann); The Requirements for an Active Archive at the Met Office (M Carter); Intelligent Support for High I/O Requirements of Leading Edge Scientific Codes on High-End Computing Systems OCo The ESTEDI Project (K Kleese & P Baumann); Coupled Marine Ecosystem Modelling on High-Performance Computers (M Ashworth et al.); OpenMP in the Physics Portion of the Met Office Model (R W Ford & P M Burton); Converting the Halo-Update Subroutine in the Met Office Unified Model to Co-Array Fortran (P M Burton et al.); Parallel Ice Dynamics in an Operational Baltic Sea Model (T Wilhelmsson); Parallel Coupling of Regional Atmosphere and Ocean Models (S Frickenhaus et al.); Dynamic Load Balancing for Atmospheric Models (G Karagiorgos et al.); HPC in Switzerland: New Developments in Numerical Weather Prediction (M Ballabio et al.); The Role of Advanced Computing in Future Weather Prediction (A E MacDonald); The Scalable Modeling System: A High-Level Alternative to MPI (M Govett et al.); Development of a Next-Generation Regional Weather Research and Forecast Model (J Michalakes et al.); Parallel Numerical Kernels for Climate Models (V Balaji); Using Accurate Arithmetics to Improve Numerical Reproducibility and Stability in Parallel Applications (Y He & C H Q Ding); Parallelization of a GCM Using a Hybrid Approach on the IBM SP2 (S Cocke & Z Christidis); Developments in High Performance Computing at Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center (K D Pollak & R M Clancy); The Computational Performance of the NCEP Seasonal Forecast Model on Fujitsu VPP5000 at ECMWF (H-M H Juang & M Kanamitsu); Panel Experience on Using High Performance Computing in Meteorology OCo Summary of the Discussion (P Prior). Readership: Researchers, professionals and students in meteorology, climatology and oceanography."

Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States

Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States PDF Author: U.S. Global Change Research Program
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521144078
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 193

Get Book Here

Book Description
Summarizes the science of climate change and impacts on the United States, for the public and policymakers.

Data Assimilation for Atmospheric, Oceanic and Hydrologic Applications (Vol. II)

Data Assimilation for Atmospheric, Oceanic and Hydrologic Applications (Vol. II) PDF Author: Seon Ki Park
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642350887
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 736

Get Book Here

Book Description
This book contains the most recent progress in data assimilation in meteorology, oceanography and hydrology including land surface. It spans both theoretical and applicative aspects with various methodologies such as variational, Kalman filter, ensemble, Monte Carlo and artificial intelligence methods. Besides data assimilation, other important topics are also covered including targeting observation, sensitivity analysis, and parameter estimation. The book will be useful to individual researchers as well as graduate students for a reference in the field of data assimilation.