Parametric Estimates by the Monte Carlo Method

Parametric Estimates by the Monte Carlo Method PDF Author: G. A. Mikhailov
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN: 3110941953
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 196

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Book Description
No detailed description available for "Parametric Estimates by the Monte Carlo Method".

Parametric Estimates by the Monte Carlo Method

Parametric Estimates by the Monte Carlo Method PDF Author: G. A. Mikhailov
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN: 3110941953
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 196

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Book Description
No detailed description available for "Parametric Estimates by the Monte Carlo Method".

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice PDF Author: Arnaud Doucet
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1475734379
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 590

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Book Description
Monte Carlo methods are revolutionizing the on-line analysis of data in many fileds. They have made it possible to solve numerically many complex, non-standard problems that were previously intractable. This book presents the first comprehensive treatment of these techniques.

Monte Carlo Methods in Bayesian Computation

Monte Carlo Methods in Bayesian Computation PDF Author: Ming-Hui Chen
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461212766
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 399

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Book Description
Dealing with methods for sampling from posterior distributions and how to compute posterior quantities of interest using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samples, this book addresses such topics as improving simulation accuracy, marginal posterior density estimation, estimation of normalizing constants, constrained parameter problems, highest posterior density interval calculations, computation of posterior modes, and posterior computations for proportional hazards models and Dirichlet process models. The authors also discuss model comparisons, including both nested and non-nested models, marginal likelihood methods, ratios of normalizing constants, Bayes factors, the Savage-Dickey density ratio, Stochastic Search Variable Selection, Bayesian Model Averaging, the reverse jump algorithm, and model adequacy using predictive and latent residual approaches. The book presents an equal mixture of theory and applications involving real data, and is intended as a graduate textbook or a reference book for a one-semester course at the advanced masters or Ph.D. level. It will also serve as a useful reference for applied or theoretical researchers as well as practitioners.

Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R

Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R PDF Author: Christian Robert
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1441915753
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 297

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Book Description
This book covers the main tools used in statistical simulation from a programmer’s point of view, explaining the R implementation of each simulation technique and providing the output for better understanding and comparison.

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Nonlinear Discrete-Time Filtering

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Nonlinear Discrete-Time Filtering PDF Author: Marcelo G. S. Bruno
Publisher: Morgan & Claypool Publishers
ISBN: 1627051201
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 101

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Book Description
In these notes, we introduce particle filtering as a recursive importance sampling method that approximates the minimum-mean-square-error (MMSE) estimate of a sequence of hidden state vectors in scenarios where the joint probability distribution of the states and the observations is non-Gaussian and, therefore, closed-form analytical expressions for the MMSE estimate are generally unavailable. We begin the notes with a review of Bayesian approaches to static (i.e., time-invariant) parameter estimation. In the sequel, we describe the solution to the problem of sequential state estimation in linear, Gaussian dynamic models, which corresponds to the well-known Kalman (or Kalman-Bucy) filter. Finally, we move to the general nonlinear, non-Gaussian stochastic filtering problem and present particle filtering as a sequential Monte Carlo approach to solve that problem in a statistically optimal way. We review several techniques to improve the performance of particle filters, including importance function optimization, particle resampling, Markov Chain Monte Carlo move steps, auxiliary particle filtering, and regularized particle filtering. We also discuss Rao-Blackwellized particle filtering as a technique that is particularly well-suited for many relevant applications such as fault detection and inertial navigation. Finally, we conclude the notes with a discussion on the emerging topic of distributed particle filtering using multiple processors located at remote nodes in a sensor network. Throughout the notes, we often assume a more general framework than in most introductory textbooks by allowing either the observation model or the hidden state dynamic model to include unknown parameters. In a fully Bayesian fashion, we treat those unknown parameters also as random variables. Using suitable dynamic conjugate priors, that approach can be applied then to perform joint state and parameter estimation. Table of Contents: Introduction / Bayesian Estimation of Static Vectors / The Stochastic Filtering Problem / Sequential Monte Carlo Methods / Sampling/Importance Resampling (SIR) Filter / Importance Function Selection / Markov Chain Monte Carlo Move Step / Rao-Blackwellized Particle Filters / Auxiliary Particle Filter / Regularized Particle Filters / Cooperative Filtering with Multiple Observers / Application Examples / Summary

An Introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo

An Introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo PDF Author: Nicolas Chopin
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030478459
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 378

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Book Description
This book provides a general introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, also known as particle filters. These methods have become a staple for the sequential analysis of data in such diverse fields as signal processing, epidemiology, machine learning, population ecology, quantitative finance, and robotics. The coverage is comprehensive, ranging from the underlying theory to computational implementation, methodology, and diverse applications in various areas of science. This is achieved by describing SMC algorithms as particular cases of a general framework, which involves concepts such as Feynman-Kac distributions, and tools such as importance sampling and resampling. This general framework is used consistently throughout the book. Extensive coverage is provided on sequential learning (filtering, smoothing) of state-space (hidden Markov) models, as this remains an important application of SMC methods. More recent applications, such as parameter estimation of these models (through e.g. particle Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques) and the simulation of challenging probability distributions (in e.g. Bayesian inference or rare-event problems), are also discussed. The book may be used either as a graduate text on Sequential Monte Carlo methods and state-space modeling, or as a general reference work on the area. Each chapter includes a set of exercises for self-study, a comprehensive bibliography, and a “Python corner,” which discusses the practical implementation of the methods covered. In addition, the book comes with an open source Python library, which implements all the algorithms described in the book, and contains all the programs that were used to perform the numerical experiments.

Inverse Problem Theory and Methods for Model Parameter Estimation

Inverse Problem Theory and Methods for Model Parameter Estimation PDF Author: Albert Tarantola
Publisher: SIAM
ISBN: 9780898717921
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 349

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Book Description
While the prediction of observations is a forward problem, the use of actual observations to infer the properties of a model is an inverse problem. Inverse problems are difficult because they may not have a unique solution. The description of uncertainties plays a central role in the theory, which is based on probability theory. This book proposes a general approach that is valid for linear as well as for nonlinear problems. The philosophy is essentially probabilistic and allows the reader to understand the basic difficulties appearing in the resolution of inverse problems. The book attempts to explain how a method of acquisition of information can be applied to actual real-world problems, and many of the arguments are heuristic.

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing PDF Author: Simo Särkkä
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 110703065X
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 255

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Book Description
A unified Bayesian treatment of the state-of-the-art filtering, smoothing, and parameter estimation algorithms for non-linear state space models.

Estimating the Parameters of Stochastic Differential Equations by Monte Carlo Methods

Estimating the Parameters of Stochastic Differential Equations by Monte Carlo Methods PDF Author: A. Stan Hurn
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780732512279
Category : Stochastic differential equations
Languages : en
Pages : 7

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Book Description


New Monte Carlo Methods With Estimating Derivatives

New Monte Carlo Methods With Estimating Derivatives PDF Author: G. A. Mikhailov
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN: 3112318935
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 196

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Book Description