Outcome Uncertain

Outcome Uncertain PDF Author: Ronald Munson
Publisher: Cengage Learning
ISBN:
Category : Bioethics
Languages : en
Pages : 468

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Book Description
This casebook presents both classic and current cases in bioethics, as well as the biomedical and social framework needed to understand the moral and social issues they raise. The text draws its cases from the author's market leading text, INTERVENTION AND REFLECTION, 6th Edition, and provides up-to-date introductions and a strong theoretical foundation for the critical study of bioethics.

Outcome Uncertain

Outcome Uncertain PDF Author: Ronald Munson
Publisher: Cengage Learning
ISBN:
Category : Bioethics
Languages : en
Pages : 468

Get Book Here

Book Description
This casebook presents both classic and current cases in bioethics, as well as the biomedical and social framework needed to understand the moral and social issues they raise. The text draws its cases from the author's market leading text, INTERVENTION AND REFLECTION, 6th Edition, and provides up-to-date introductions and a strong theoretical foundation for the critical study of bioethics.

Uncertain Outcomes

Uncertain Outcomes PDF Author: Clifford Richard Bell
Publisher: Springer
ISBN:
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 220

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Book Description


Handbook of the Uncertain Self

Handbook of the Uncertain Self PDF Author: Robert M. Arkin
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 1136950575
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 497

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Book Description
This Handbook explores the cognitive, motivational, interpersonal, clinical, and applied aspects of personal uncertainty. It showcases both the diversity and the unity that defines contemporary perspectives on uncertainty in self within social and personality psychology. The contributions to the volume are all written by distinguished scholars in personality, social psychology, and clinical psychology united by their common focus on the causes and consequences of self-uncertainty. Chapters explore the similarities and differences between personal uncertainty and other psychological experiences in terms of their nature and relationship with human thought, emotion, motivation, and behavior. Specific challenges posed by personal uncertainty and the coping strategies people develop in their daily life are identified. There is an assessment of the potential negative and positive repercussions of coping with the specific experience of self-uncertainty, including academic, health, and relationship outcomes. Throughout, strategies specifically designed to assist others in confronting the unique challenges posed by self-uncertainty in ways that emphasize healthy psychological functioning and growth are promoted. In addition, the contributions to the Handbook touch on the psychological, social, and cultural context of the new millennium, including concepts such as Friedman’s "flat world," confidence, the absence of doubt in world leaders, the threat of terrorism since 9/11, the arts, doubt and religious belief, and views of doubt as the universal condition of humankind. The Handbook is an invaluable resource for researchers, practitioners, and senior undergraduate and graduate students in social and personality psychology, clinical and counseling psychology, educational psychology, and developmental psychology.

Uncertain Values

Uncertain Values PDF Author: Stefan Riedener
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN: 3110736225
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 157

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Book Description
How ought you to evaluate your options if you're uncertain about what's fundamentally valuable? A prominent response is Expected Value Maximisation (EVM)—the view that under axiological uncertainty, an option is better than another if and only if it has the greater expected value across axiologies. But the expected value of an option depends on quantitative probability and value facts, and in particular on value comparisons across axiologies. We need to explain what it is for such facts to hold. Also, EVM is by no means self-evident. We need an argument to defend that it’s true. This book introduces an axiomatic approach to answer these worries. It provides an explication of what EVM means by use of representation theorems: intertheoretic comparisons can be understood in terms of facts about which options are better than which, and mutatis mutandis for intratheoretic comparisons and axiological probabilities. And it provides a systematic argument to the effect that EVM is true: the theory can be vindicated through simple axioms. The result is a formally cogent and philosophically compelling extension of standard decision theory, and original take on the problem of axiological or normative uncertainty.

Risk, Decision and Rationality

Risk, Decision and Rationality PDF Author: Bertrand Munier
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 940094019X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 694

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Book Description
Decision Theory has considerably developed in the late 1970's and the 1980's. The evolution has been so fast and far-r2aching that it has become increasingly difficult to keep track of the new state of the art. After a decade of new contributions, there was a need for an overview' of the field. This book is intended to fill the gap. The reader will find here thirty~nine selected papers which were given at FUR-III, the third international confe rence on the Foundations and applications of Utility, Risk and decision theories, held in Aix-en-Provence in June 1986. An introductory chapter will provide an overview of the main questions raised on the subject since the 17th Century and more particularly so in the last thirty years, as well as some elementary information on the experimental and theoretical results obtained. It is thus hoped that any reader with some basic background in either Economics, Hanagement or Operations Research will be able to read profitably the thirty-nine other chapters. Psychologists, Sociologists, Social Philosophers and other specialists of the social sciences will also read this book with interest, as will high-level practitioners of decision~making and advanced students in one of the abovementioned fields. An expository survey of this volume will be found at the end of the introductory chapter, so that any of the seven parts of the book can be put by the reader in due perspective.

Analyzing Uncertain Timber Investments

Analyzing Uncertain Timber Investments PDF Author: Robert Jay Marty
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investment analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 28

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Book Description
S2Presented here is a method of analysis that makes use of multiple estimates of project profitability stemming from different assumptions about the true values of uncertain factors like yields and prices. The purpose of the analysis is to screen competing projects to eliminate those that can be proved to be unprofitable, or surely less profitable than some other, regardless of the assumptions made about the values of uncertain factors.S3.

Testing Treatments

Testing Treatments PDF Author: Imogen Evans
Publisher: Pinter & Martin Publishers
ISBN: 1905177488
Category : Health & Fitness
Languages : en
Pages : 187

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Book Description
This work provides a thought-provoking account of how medical treatments can be tested with unbiased or 'fair' trials and explains how patients can work with doctors to achieve this vital goal. It spans the gamut of therapy from mastectomy to thalidomide and explores a vast range of case studies.

Experts in Uncertainty

Experts in Uncertainty PDF Author: Roger Cooke
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0195064658
Category : Decision-making
Languages : en
Pages : 334

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Book Description
This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence. Cooke here considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematic foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models, termed "classical," "Bayesian," and "psychological scaling." Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.

Uncertain Computation-based Decision Theory

Uncertain Computation-based Decision Theory PDF Author: Rafik Aziz Aliev
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9813228954
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 538

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Book Description
Uncertain computation is a system of computation and reasoning in which the objects of computation are not values of variables but restrictions on values of variables.This compendium includes uncertain computation examples based on interval arithmetic, probabilistic arithmetic, fuzzy arithmetic, Z-number arithmetic, and arithmetic with geometric primitives.The principal problem with the existing decision theories is that they do not have capabilities to deal with such environment. Up to now, no books where decision theories based on all generalizations level of information are considered. Thus, this self-containing volume intends to overcome this gap between real-world settings' decisions and their formal analysis.

The Uncertain Past

The Uncertain Past PDF Author: Myles Lavan
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1009302035
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 323

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Book Description
Historians constantly wrestle with uncertainty, never more so than when attempting quantification, yet the field has given little attention to the nature of uncertainty and strategies for managing it. This volume proposes a powerful new approach to uncertainty in ancient history, drawing on techniques widely used in the social and natural sciences. It shows how probability-based techniques used to manage uncertainty about the future or the present can be applied to uncertainty about the past. A substantial introduction explains the use of probability to represent uncertainty. The chapters that follow showcase how the technique can offer leverage on a wide range of problems in ancient history, from the incidence of expropriation in the Classical Greek world to the money supply of the Roman empire.