Strategic Asset Allocation

Strategic Asset Allocation PDF Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 019160691X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 272

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Book Description
Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.

Strategic Asset Allocation

Strategic Asset Allocation PDF Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 019160691X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 272

Get Book Here

Book Description
Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.

Simple Allocation Rules and Optimal Portfolio Choice Over the Lifecycle

Simple Allocation Rules and Optimal Portfolio Choice Over the Lifecycle PDF Author: Victor Duarte
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
We develop a machine-learning solution algorithm to solve for optimal portfolio choice in a detailed and quantitatively-accurate lifecycle model that includes many features of reality modelled only separately in previous work. We use the quantitative model to evaluate the consumption-equivalent welfare losses from using simple rules for portfolio allocation across stocks, bonds, and liquid accounts instead of the optimal portfolio choices. We find that the consumption-equivalent losses from using an age-dependent rule as embedded in current target-date/lifecycle funds (TDFs) are substantial, around 2 to 3 percent of consumption, despite the fact that TDF rules mimic average optimal behavior by age closely until shortly before retirement. Our model recommends higher average equity shares in the second half of life than the portfolio of the typical TDF, so that the typical TDF portfolio does not improve on investing an age-independent 2/3 share in equity. Finally, optimal equity shares have substantial heterogeneity, particularly by wealth level, state of the business cycle, and dividend-price ratio, implying substantial gains to further customization of advice or TDFs in these dimensions.

Optimal Portfolio Rule

Optimal Portfolio Rule PDF Author: Hyunjong Jin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 58

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Book Description
The classical mean-variance model, proposed by Harry Markowitz in 1952, has been one of the most powerful tools in the field of portfolio optimization. In this model, parameters are estimated by their sample counterparts. However, this leads to estimation risk, which the model completely ignores. In addition, the mean-variance model fails to incorporate behavioral aspects of investment decisions. To remedy the problem, the notion of ambiguity aversion has been addressed by several papers where investors acknowledge uncertainty in the estimation of mean returns. We extend the idea to the variances and correlation coefficient of the portfolio, and study their impact. The performance of the portfolio is measured in terms of its Sharpe ratio. We consider different cases where one parameter is assumed to be perfectly estimated by the sample counterpart whereas the other parameters introduce ambiguity, and vice versa, and investigate which parameter has what impact on the performance of the portfolio.

Efficient Asset Management

Efficient Asset Management PDF Author: Richard O. Michaud
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199887195
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 207

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Book Description
In spite of theoretical benefits, Markowitz mean-variance (MV) optimized portfolios often fail to meet practical investment goals of marketability, usability, and performance, prompting many investors to seek simpler alternatives. Financial experts Richard and Robert Michaud demonstrate that the limitations of MV optimization are not the result of conceptual flaws in Markowitz theory but unrealistic representation of investment information. What is missing is a realistic treatment of estimation error in the optimization and rebalancing process. The text provides a non-technical review of classical Markowitz optimization and traditional objections. The authors demonstrate that in practice the single most important limitation of MV optimization is oversensitivity to estimation error. Portfolio optimization requires a modern statistical perspective. Efficient Asset Management, Second Edition uses Monte Carlo resampling to address information uncertainty and define Resampled Efficiency (RE) technology. RE optimized portfolios represent a new definition of portfolio optimality that is more investment intuitive, robust, and provably investment effective. RE rebalancing provides the first rigorous portfolio trading, monitoring, and asset importance rules, avoiding widespread ad hoc methods in current practice. The Second Edition resolves several open issues and misunderstandings that have emerged since the original edition. The new edition includes new proofs of effectiveness, substantial revisions of statistical estimation, extensive discussion of long-short optimization, and new tools for dealing with estimation error in applications and enhancing computational efficiency. RE optimization is shown to be a Bayesian-based generalization and enhancement of Markowitz's solution. RE technology corrects many current practices that may adversely impact the investment value of trillions of dollars under current asset management. RE optimization technology may also be useful in other financial optimizations and more generally in multivariate estimation contexts of information uncertainty with Bayesian linear constraints. Michaud and Michaud's new book includes numerous additional proposals to enhance investment value including Stein and Bayesian methods for improved input estimation, the use of portfolio priors, and an economic perspective for asset-liability optimization. Applications include investment policy, asset allocation, and equity portfolio optimization. A simple global asset allocation problem illustrates portfolio optimization techniques. A final chapter includes practical advice for avoiding simple portfolio design errors. With its important implications for investment practice, Efficient Asset Management 's highly intuitive yet rigorous approach to defining optimal portfolios will appeal to investment management executives, consultants, brokers, and anyone seeking to stay abreast of current investment technology. Through practical examples and illustrations, Michaud and Michaud update the practice of optimization for modern investment management.

Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing

Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing PDF Author: Shouyang Wang
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642559344
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 260

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Book Description
In our daily life, almost every family owns a portfolio of assets. This portfolio could contain real assets such as a car, or a house, as well as financial assets such as stocks, bonds or futures. Portfolio theory deals with how to form a satisfied portfolio among an enormous number of assets. Originally proposed by H. Markowtiz in 1952, the mean-variance methodology for portfolio optimization has been central to the research activities in this area and has served as a basis for the development of modem financial theory during the past four decades. Follow-on work with this approach has born much fruit for this field of study. Among all those research fruits, the most important is the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) proposed by Sharpe in 1964. This model greatly simplifies the input for portfolio selection and makes the mean-variance methodology into a practical application. Consequently, lots of models were proposed to price the capital assets. In this book, some of the most important progresses in portfolio theory are surveyed and a few new models for portfolio selection are presented. Models for asset pricing are illustrated and the empirical tests of CAPM for China's stock markets are made. The first chapter surveys ideas and principles of modeling the investment decision process of economic agents. It starts with the Markowitz criteria of formulating return and risk as mean and variance and then looks into other related criteria which are based on probability assumptions on future prices of securities.

On the Structural Estimation of an Optimal Portfolio Rule

On the Structural Estimation of an Optimal Portfolio Rule PDF Author: Pablo Castaneda
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 17

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Book Description
We adopt a structural approach to estimate the parameters of the optimal asset allocation rule dictated by a standard dynamic portfolio choice problem. In doing so, we propose two novel approaches to estimates the preference/incentive parameters of the model.We model the asset selection problem of a portfolio manager who balances two investment motives; on the one hand, the desire to follow an asset allocation in line with the risk-return trade-off of the client, and on the other hand, the relative performance concerns that bear on the shoulders of the portfolio manager, due to the compensation and/or employment risk that he/she faces.We solve the model analytically, and estimate its parameters using NAV data from Chilean pension funds. Our results suggest that portfolio managers decisions from our sample are heavily motivated by the relative performance concerns they face. In particular, our point estimates suggest that manages are very reluctant to take almost any bet against the asset allocation of their peers.

Optimal Portfolios: Stochastic Models For Optimal Investment And Risk Management In Continuous Time

Optimal Portfolios: Stochastic Models For Optimal Investment And Risk Management In Continuous Time PDF Author: Ralf Korn
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814497126
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 352

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Book Description
The focus of the book is the construction of optimal investment strategies in a security market model where the prices follow diffusion processes. It begins by presenting the complete Black-Scholes type model and then moves on to incomplete models and models including constraints and transaction costs. The models and methods presented will include the stochastic control method of Merton, the martingale method of Cox-Huang and Karatzas et al., the log optimal method of Cover and Jamshidian, the value-preserving model of Hellwig etc.Stress is laid on rigorous mathematical presentation and clear economic interpretations while technicalities are kept to the minimum. The underlying mathematical concepts will be provided. No a priori knowledge of stochastic calculus, stochastic control or partial differential equations is necessary (however some knowledge in stochastics and calculus is needed).

Optimal Value and Growth Tilts in Long-horizon Portfolios

Optimal Value and Growth Tilts in Long-horizon Portfolios PDF Author: Jakub W. Jurek
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Hedging (Finance)
Languages : en
Pages : 92

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Book Description
We develop an analytical solution to the dynamic portfolio choice problem of an investor with utility defined over wealth at a terminal horizon who faces an investment opportunity set with time-varying risk premia, real interest rates and inflation. The variation in investment opportunities is captured by a flexible vector autoregressive parameterization, which readily accommodates a large number of assets and state variables. We find that the optimal dynamic portfolio strategy is an affine function of the vector of state variables describing investment opportunities, with coefficients that are a function of the investment horizon. We apply our method to the optimal portfolio choice problem of an investor who can choose between value and growth stock portfolios, and among these equity portfolios plus bills and bonds.

The 3 Simple Rules of Investing

The 3 Simple Rules of Investing PDF Author: Michael Edesess
Publisher: Berrett-Koehler Publishers
ISBN: 1626561648
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 264

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Book Description
Don’t believe the hype: Tips from financial professionals on recognizing and avoiding overpriced, overcomplicated, and overly risky investments. What if the most effective investment portfolio was also the easiest to manage and the least expensive? As the authors of this clear, practical, and enlightening book—part financial guide, part exposé—prove, there are just three simple rules you need to follow and only a few, very inexpensive investment products that are necessary for an ideal portfolio. The authors deftly bust investing’s myths—what they call investing’s Seven Deadly Temptations—and dispense with all the complicated, confusing, and self-serving advice of the Wall Street wolves. By embracing commonsense solutions and rejecting investments that seem enticing but are overpriced, needlessly complex, and risky, you’ll put not only yourself in a stronger position, but the entire economy as well

Optimal Consumption and Portfolio Rules with Durability and Habit Formation

Optimal Consumption and Portfolio Rules with Durability and Habit Formation PDF Author: Ayman Hindy
Publisher: Palala Press
ISBN: 9781378117262
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 62

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Book Description
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