Numerical Probability

Numerical Probability PDF Author: Gilles Pagès
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319902768
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 579

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Book Description
This textbook provides a self-contained introduction to numerical methods in probability with a focus on applications to finance. Topics covered include the Monte Carlo simulation (including simulation of random variables, variance reduction, quasi-Monte Carlo simulation, and more recent developments such as the multilevel paradigm), stochastic optimization and approximation, discretization schemes of stochastic differential equations, as well as optimal quantization methods. The author further presents detailed applications to numerical aspects of pricing and hedging of financial derivatives, risk measures (such as value-at-risk and conditional value-at-risk), implicitation of parameters, and calibration. Aimed at graduate students and advanced undergraduate students, this book contains useful examples and over 150 exercises, making it suitable for self-study.

Numerical Probability

Numerical Probability PDF Author: Gilles Pagès
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319902768
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 579

Get Book

Book Description
This textbook provides a self-contained introduction to numerical methods in probability with a focus on applications to finance. Topics covered include the Monte Carlo simulation (including simulation of random variables, variance reduction, quasi-Monte Carlo simulation, and more recent developments such as the multilevel paradigm), stochastic optimization and approximation, discretization schemes of stochastic differential equations, as well as optimal quantization methods. The author further presents detailed applications to numerical aspects of pricing and hedging of financial derivatives, risk measures (such as value-at-risk and conditional value-at-risk), implicitation of parameters, and calibration. Aimed at graduate students and advanced undergraduate students, this book contains useful examples and over 150 exercises, making it suitable for self-study.

Numerical Solution of Stochastic Differential Equations

Numerical Solution of Stochastic Differential Equations PDF Author: Peter E. Kloeden
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662126168
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 666

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Book Description
The numerical analysis of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) differs significantly from that of ordinary differential equations. This book provides an easily accessible introduction to SDEs, their applications and the numerical methods to solve such equations. From the reviews: "The authors draw upon their own research and experiences in obviously many disciplines... considerable time has obviously been spent writing this in the simplest language possible." --ZAMP

Numerical Issues in Statistical Computing for the Social Scientist

Numerical Issues in Statistical Computing for the Social Scientist PDF Author: Micah Altman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471475742
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 323

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Book Description
At last—a social scientist's guide through the pitfalls ofmodern statistical computing Addressing the current deficiency in the literature onstatistical methods as they apply to the social and behavioralsciences, Numerical Issues in Statistical Computing for the SocialScientist seeks to provide readers with a unique practicalguidebook to the numerical methods underlying computerizedstatistical calculations specific to these fields. The authorsdemonstrate that knowledge of these numerical methods and how theyare used in statistical packages is essential for making accurateinferences. With the aid of key contributors from both the socialand behavioral sciences, the authors have assembled a rich set ofinterrelated chapters designed to guide empirical social scientiststhrough the potential minefield of modern statisticalcomputing. Uniquely accessible and abounding in modern-day tools, tricks,and advice, the text successfully bridges the gap between thecurrent level of social science methodology and the moresophisticated technical coverage usually associated with thestatistical field. Highlights include: A focus on problems occurring in maximum likelihoodestimation Integrated examples of statistical computing (using softwarepackages such as the SAS, Gauss, Splus, R, Stata, LIMDEP, SPSS,WinBUGS, and MATLAB®) A guide to choosing accurate statistical packages Discussions of a multitude of computationally intensivestatistical approaches such as ecological inference, Markov chainMonte Carlo, and spatial regression analysis Emphasis on specific numerical problems, statisticalprocedures, and their applications in the field Replications and re-analysis of published social scienceresearch, using innovative numerical methods Key numerical estimation issues along with the means ofavoiding common pitfalls A related Web site includes test data for use in demonstratingnumerical problems, code for applying the original methodsdescribed in the book, and an online bibliography of Web resourcesfor the statistical computation Designed as an independent research tool, a professionalreference, or a classroom supplement, the book presents awell-thought-out treatment of a complex and multifaceted field.

A Treatise on Probability

A Treatise on Probability PDF Author: John Maynard Keynes
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Probabilities
Languages : en
Pages : 494

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Book Description


Philosophical Theories of Probability

Philosophical Theories of Probability PDF Author: Donald Gillies
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134672462
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 238

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Book Description
The Twentieth Century has seen a dramatic rise in the use of probability and statistics in almost all fields of research. This has stimulated many new philosophical ideas on probability. Philosophical Theories of Probability is the first book to present a clear, comprehensive and systematic account of these various theories and to explain how they relate to one another. Gillies also offers a distinctive version of the propensity theory of probability, and the intersubjective interpretation, which develops the subjective theory.

Exploring Probability in School

Exploring Probability in School PDF Author: Graham A. Jones
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387245308
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 394

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Book Description
Exploring Probability in School provides a new perspective into research on the teaching and learning of probability. It creates this perspective by recognizing and analysing the special challenges faced by teachers and learners in contemporary classrooms where probability has recently become a mainstream part of the curriculum from early childhood through high school. The authors of the book discuss the nature of probability, look at the meaning of probabilistic literacy, and examine student access to powerful ideas in probability during the elementary, middle, and high school years. Moreover, they assemble and analyse research-based pedagogical knowledge for teachers that can enhance the learning of probability throughout these school years. With the book’s rich application of probability research to classroom practice, it will not only be essential reading for researchers and graduate students involved in probability education; it will also capture the interest of educational policy makers, curriculum personnel, teacher educators, and teachers.

Reviewing the Reviewer's of Keynes's a Treatise on Probability

Reviewing the Reviewer's of Keynes's a Treatise on Probability PDF Author: Michael Brady
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
ISBN: 1524544892
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 159

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Book Description
The standard view of the economics profession is that Keynes was a brilliant, intuitive, nonrigorous innovator. These essays show that Keynes backed up his intuitions with a rigorous mathematical and logical supporting analysis, which has been overlooked.

Introduction to Probability

Introduction to Probability PDF Author: Joseph K. Blitzstein
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1466575573
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 599

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Book Description
Developed from celebrated Harvard statistics lectures, Introduction to Probability provides essential language and tools for understanding statistics, randomness, and uncertainty. The book explores a wide variety of applications and examples, ranging from coincidences and paradoxes to Google PageRank and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Additional application areas explored include genetics, medicine, computer science, and information theory. The print book version includes a code that provides free access to an eBook version. The authors present the material in an accessible style and motivate concepts using real-world examples. Throughout, they use stories to uncover connections between the fundamental distributions in statistics and conditioning to reduce complicated problems to manageable pieces. The book includes many intuitive explanations, diagrams, and practice problems. Each chapter ends with a section showing how to perform relevant simulations and calculations in R, a free statistical software environment.

Probability

Probability PDF Author: D. H. Mellor
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 9780415282505
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 176

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Book Description
This work presents the basic concepts of probability to philosophy students who are new to this area of the subject.

Reflections on the Foundations of Probability and Statistics

Reflections on the Foundations of Probability and Statistics PDF Author: Thomas Augustin
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031154363
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 350

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Book Description
This Festschrift celebrates Teddy Seidenfeld and his seminal contributions to philosophy, statistics, probability, game theory and related areas. The 13 contributions in this volume, written by leading researchers in these fields, are supplemented by an interview with Teddy Seidenfeld that offers an abbreviated intellectual autobiography, touching on topics of timeless interest concerning truth and uncertainty. Indeed, as the eminent philosopher Isaac Levi writes in this volume: "In a world dominated by Alternative Facts and Fake News, it is hard to believe that many of us have spent our life’s work, as has Teddy Seidenfeld, in discussing truth and uncertainty." The reader is invited to share this celebration of Teddy Seidenfeld’s work uncovering truths about uncertainty and the penetrating insights they offer to our common pursuit of truth in the face of uncertainty.