New Forecast Scenarios for UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions

New Forecast Scenarios for UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions PDF Author: Janine Aron
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781409834755
Category : Foreclosure
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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New Forecast Scenarios for UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions

New Forecast Scenarios for UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions PDF Author: Janine Aron
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781409834755
Category : Foreclosure
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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Mortgage Arrears and Possessions

Mortgage Arrears and Possessions PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781409843849
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Modelling and forecasting UK mortgage arrears and possessions

Modelling and forecasting UK mortgage arrears and possessions PDF Author: Janine Aron
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 81

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Modelling and Forecasting Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure in the UK

Modelling and Forecasting Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure in the UK PDF Author: Janine Aron
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreclosure
Languages : en
Pages : 44

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In the absence of micro-data in the public domain, new aggregate models for the UK's mortgage repossessions and arrears are estimated using quarterly data over 1983-2014, motivated by a conceptual double trigger frame framework for foreclosures and payment delinquencies. An innovation to improve on the flawed but widespread use of loan-to-value measures, is to estimate difficult-to-observe variations in loan quality and access to refinancing, and shifts in lenders' forbearance policy, by common latent variables in a system of equations for arrears and repossessions. We introduce, for the first time in the literature, a theory-justified estimate of the proportion of mortgages in negative equity as a key driver of aggregate repossessions and arrears. This is based on an average debt-equity ratio, corrected for regional deviations, and uses a functional form for the distribution of the debt-equity ratio checked on Irish micro-data from the Bank of Ireland, and Bank of England snapshots of negative equity. We systematically address serious measurement bias in the "months-in-arrears" measures, neglected in previous UK studies. Highly significant effects on aggregate rates of repossessions and arrears are found for the aggregate debt-service ratio, the proportion of mortgages in negative equity and the unemployment rate. Economic forecast scenarios to 2020 highlight risks faced by the UK and its mortgage lenders, illustrating the usefulness of the approach for bank stress-testing. For macroeconomics, our model traces an important part of the financial accelerator: the feedback from the housing market to bad loans and hence banks' ability to extend credit.

Mortgage Arrears and Possessions

Mortgage Arrears and Possessions PDF Author: Great Britain. Department of the Environment
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Finance
Languages : en
Pages : 124

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Mortgage arrears and access to mortgage finance

Mortgage arrears and access to mortgage finance PDF Author: Great Britain: Parliament: House of Commons: Treasury Committee
Publisher: The Stationery Office
ISBN: 9780215540805
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 220

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This report focuses on households affected by the recession, struggling with mortgage arrears or at risk of repossession. The role of the Financial Services Authority (FSA) is also scrutinised. The report notes that both mortgage arrears and repossession levels are on an upward trend and that both are expected to continue rising over the next few years as a result of the recession. The Committee acknowledges that many mainstream lenders are taking pro-active steps to support consumers in mortgage difficulties, but expresses concern at the lack of flexibility and forbearance shown by some lenders in the sub-prime, specialist and second charge sectors towards homeowners in arrears, and the fact that some lenders are charging high and excessive mortgage arrears fees to customers who fall into mortgage difficulties. The FSA should take a much more robust stance towards tackling and eliminating unfair arrears charges. The report criticises the seemingly leisurely approach of the FSA in terms of completing its mortgage arrears review and enforcing possible breaches in the mortgage arrears rules. It calls upon the FSA to spell out clearly in its forthcoming review how it will improve its performance in terms of bringing miscreant firms to book. The report recommends that the Government re-examine its longer-term strategy towards supporting homeowners in mortgage difficulties to ensure that adequate mechanisms to support homeowners are in place even once the current downturn has ended.

Mortgage Arrears and Possessions

Mortgage Arrears and Possessions PDF Author: Janet Ford
Publisher: Stationery Office Books (TSO)
ISBN: 9780117531079
Category : Debt
Languages : en
Pages : 124

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Mortgage Arrears and Possessions

Housing and the Credit Crunch

Housing and the Credit Crunch PDF Author: Great Britain. Parliament. House of Commons. Communities and Local Government Committee
Publisher: The Stationery Office
ISBN: 9780215526526
Category : Architecture
Languages : en
Pages : 276

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Book Description
In this report the Communities and Local Government Committee says the Government must stick to its long term house building targets, despite the credit crunch, but a greater proportion of the homes built should be social housing. The Committee is concerned that the £975 million borrowed by the Government from its 2010-11 budgets to build social rented housing now is not new money, and that the Government has been unable to say how that borrowing will be replaced. The Committee urges the Department for Communities and Local Government to: put pressure on the Treasury to ensure measures to revive the mortgage markets are implemented immediately; increase construction of new social housing, both to provide for housing need and as a means of maintaining capacity in the homebuilding industry whilst the market recovers; accelerate refurbishment programmes for social housing; acquire further social housing through the purchase of unsold stock and street properties; consider the purchase of unsold family homes which have been on the market for more than a year; encourage public sector bodies to make land available for the development of new homes. The report also urges the Government to do more to help those at risk of repossession by considering sanctions against lenders who repossess too quickly and by doing more to protect tenants and homeowners from unscrupulous landlords. An Office of Fair Trading recommendation for sale-and-rent back schemes should be implemented as a matter of urgency to protect the growing number of households falling behind in mortgage payments. The Committee would like to see more done to support housing associations, including increasing social housing grant where necessary.

Independent Commission on Banking final report

Independent Commission on Banking final report PDF Author: Independent Commission on Banking
Publisher: The Stationery Office
ISBN: 9780108510984
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 364

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Book Description
The Independent Commission on Banking's final recommendations aim to create a more stable and competitive basis for UK banking for the long term. The result would be a banking system that is much less likely to cause, or succumb to, financial crises and the huge costs they bring; is self-reliant, so that the taxpayer does not have to bear the losses that banks make; and is effective and efficient at providing the basic banking services of safeguarding retail deposits, operating secure payments systems, and efficiently channelling savings to productive investments in the economy. Stability is crucial and UK banks should have more equity capital and loss-absorbing debt - beyond what has so far been internationally agreed - and their retail banking activities should be structurally separated, by a ring-fence, from wholesale and investment banking activities. The Commission also address competition, which has not been properly effective in UK retail banking. They recommend a seamless switching system based on redirection for personal and small business current accounts, free of cost and risk, complemented by measures to enhance transparency. The new Financial Conduct Authority should have a clear duty to promote effective competition. Structural reform should be complete by the Basel implementation date of 2019 at the latest. These reforms would result in better-capitalised, less leveraged banking more focused on the needs of savers and borrowers in the domestic economy. At the same time UK banks would be free to flourish in global markets, but without UK taxpayer support.

Parliamentary Debates (Hansard).

Parliamentary Debates (Hansard). PDF Author: Great Britain. Parliament. House of Commons
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Great Britain
Languages : en
Pages : 776

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