Author: Joelle H. Fong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
We apply generalized linear models to evaluate disability transitions for individuals in old age based on a large sample of U.S. elderly. We estimate a multi-state model for long-term care insurance applications, and find significant differences in disability rate patterns and levels from the commonly-used Robinson (1996) model. Our results suggest that the elderly face a 10% chance of becoming long-term care disabled only at ages past 90, rather than in their 80s. Furthermore, age patterns of recovery are found to differ significantly between the sexes. These estimates of transition probability are sensitive to the definition of 'long-term care disability', which has implications for the design of benefit triggers for private and public long-term care insurance programs.
Author: S Haberman
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351469045
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 280
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Book Description
Disability insurance, long-term care insurance, and critical illness cover are becoming increasingly important in developed countries as the problems of demographic aging come to the fore. The private sector insurance industry is providing solutions to problems resulting from these pressures and other demands of better educated and more prosperous
Author: Michael Sherris
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41
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Book Description
This paper proposes a multi-state model of both functional disability and health status in the presence of systematic trend and uncertainty. We classify each individual observation along two dimensions: health status (other than disability) and disability and use the multi-state latent factor intensity (MLFI) model to estimate the transitions rates. The model is then used to calculate (healthy) life expectancy and price a variety of insurance products. We illustrate the importance of various factors and quantify the potential losses from model misspecification. Our results suggest that insurers should pay great attention to health status, trend, and systematic uncertainty in disability/mortality modeling and insurance pricing. We also find that integrating LTC insurance with life annuity can help to reduce the systematic uncertainties.
Author: E Pitacco
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781315136622
Category : Electronic books
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
"Disability insurance, long-term care insurance, and critical illness cover are becoming increasingly important in developed countries as the problems of demographic aging come to the fore. The private sector insurance industry is providing solutions to problems resulting from these pressures and other demands of better educated and more prosperous populations. Actuarial Models for Disability Insurance examines the actuarial structure of disability insurance, long-term care insurance, and critical illness cover, including problems encountered in the design and development of such insurances. Actuarial problems such as pricing and reserving are considered within the context of multiple state modeling, providing a vigorous and sound framework for analyzing personal insurances."--Provided by publisher.
Author: S Haberman
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351469037
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 162
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Book Description
Disability insurance, long-term care insurance, and critical illness cover are becoming increasingly important in developed countries as the problems of demographic aging come to the fore. The private sector insurance industry is providing solutions to problems resulting from these pressures and other demands of better educated and more prosperous
Author: Marco Corazza
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030789659
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 389
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Book Description
The cooperation and contamination between mathematicians, statisticians and econometricians working in actuarial sciences and finance is improving the research on these topics and producing numerous meaningful scientific results. This volume presents new ideas, in the form of four- to six-page papers, presented at the International Conference eMAF2020 – Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance. Due to the now sadly famous COVID-19 pandemic, the conference was held remotely through the Zoom platform offered by the Department of Economics of the Ca’ Foscari University of Venice on September 18, 22 and 25, 2020. eMAF2020 is the ninth edition of an international biennial series of scientific meetings, started in 2004 at the initiative of the Department of Economics and Statistics of the University of Salerno. The effectiveness of this idea has been proven by wide participation in all editions, which have been held in Salerno (2004, 2006, 2010 and 2014), Venice (2008, 2012 and 2020), Paris (2016) and Madrid (2018). This book covers a wide variety of subjects: artificial intelligence and machine learning in finance and insurance, behavioral finance, credit risk methods and models, dynamic optimization in finance, financial data analytics, forecasting dynamics of actuarial and financial phenomena, foreign exchange markets, insurance models, interest rate models, longevity risk, models and methods for financial time series analysis, multivariate techniques for financial markets analysis, pension systems, portfolio selection and management, real-world finance, risk analysis and management, trading systems, and others. This volume is a valuable resource for academics, PhD students, practitioners, professionals and researchers. Moreover, it is also of interest to other readers with quantitative background knowledge.
Author: Yang Lu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Multi-state models are widely used in the actuarial modeling of mortality and disability. To account for longevity and time variations in transition rates, the existing literature relies on (parameter-driven) state-space models. Despite its flexibility, the state-space model is computationally intensive as it requires the evaluation of a high-dimensional integral to compute the likelihood function. This research proposes an alternative (observation-driven) multi-state model with time-varying transition rates for mortality and disability modeling based on the generalized autoregressive score (GAS) models. The proposed model is still very flexible and is superior to existing methods in terms of computational efficiency. We illustrate our model using the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) data by discussing estimation and simulation issues.
Author: Stephen J. Camilli, ASA
Publisher: ACTEX Publications
ISBN: 1625423470
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 538
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Book Description
This book is used in many university courses for SOA Exam MLC preparation. The Fifth Edition is the official reference for CAS Exam LC. The Sixth Edition of this textbook presents a variety of stochastic models for the actuary to use in undertaking the analysis of risk. It is designed to be appropriate for use in a two or three semester university course in basic actuarial science. It was written with the SOA Exam MLC and CAS Exam LC in mind. Models are evaluated in a generic form with life contingencies included as one of many applications of the science. Students will find this book to be a valuable reference due to its easy-to-understand explanations and end-of-chapter exercises. In 2013 the Society of Actuaries announced a change to Exam MLC's format, incorporating 60% written answer questions and new standard notation and terminology to be used for the exam. There are several areas of expanded content in the Sixth Edition due to these changes. Six important changes to the Sixth Edition: WRITTEN-ANSWER EXAMPLES This edition offers additional written-answer examples in order to better prepare the reader for the new SOA eam format. NOTATION AND TERMINOLOGY CONFORMS TO EXAM MLC MQR 6 fully incorporates all standard notation and terminology for exam MLC, as detailed by the SOA in their document Notation and Terminology Used on Exam MLC. MULTI-STATE MODELS Extension of multi-state model representationt to almost all topics covered in the text. FOCUS ON NORTH AMERICAN MARKET AND ACTUARIAL PROFESSION This book is written specifically for the multi-disciplinary needs of the North American Market. This is reflected in both content and terminology. PROFIT TESTING, PARTICIPATING INSURANCE, AND UNIVERSAL LIFE MQR 6 contains an expanded treatment of these topics. THIELE'S EQUATION Additional applications of this important equation are presented, to more fully prepare the reader for exam day. A separate solutions manual with detailed solutions to all of the text exercises is also available. Please see the Related Items Tab for a direct link I selected Models for Quantifying Risk as the text for my class. Given that the syllabus had changed quite dramatically from prior years, I was looking for a text that would cover all the material in the new syllabus in a way that was rigorous, easy to understand, and would prepare students for the May 2012 MLC exam. To me, the text with the accompanying solutions manual does precisely that. --Jay Vadiveloo, Ph.D., FSA, MAAA, CFA, Math Department, University of Connecticut I found that the exposition of the material is thorough while the concepts are readily accessible and well illustrated with examples. The book was an invaluable source of practice problems when I was preparing for the Exam MLC. Studying from it enabled me to pass this exam." -- Dmitry Glotov, Math Department, University of Connecticut "This book is extremely well written and structured." -- Kate Li, Student, University of Connecticut "Overall, the text is thorough, understandable, and well-organized. The clear exposition and excellent use of examples will benefit the student and help her avoid 'missing the forest for the trees'. I was impressed by the quality and quantity of examples and exercises throughout the text; students will find this collection of problems sorted by topic valuable for their exam preparation. Overall, I strongly recommend the book." -- Kristin Moore, Ph.D., ASA, University of Michigan
Author: Faruk Balli
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9464630523
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1691
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Book Description
This is an open access book. As a leading role in the global megatrend of scientific innovation, China has been creating a more and more open environment for scientific innovation, increasing the depth and breadth of academic cooperation, and building a community of innovation that benefits all. Such endeavors are making new contributions to the globalization and creating a community of shared future. To adapt to this changing world and China's fast development in the new era, The 2022 International Conference on Economics, Smart Finance and Contemporary Trade to be held in July 2022. This conference takes "bringing together global wisdom in scientific innovation to promote high-quality development" as the theme and focuses on cutting-edge research fields including Economics, Smart Finance and Contemporary Trade. This conference aims to boost development of the Greater Bay Area, expand channels of international academic exchange in science and technology, build a sharing platform of academic resources, promote scientific innovation on the global scale, strengthen academic cooperation between China and the outside world, enhance development of new energy and materials and IT, AI, and biomedicine industries. It also aims to encourage exchange of information on frontiers of research in different areas, connect the most advanced academic resources in China and the world, turn research results into industrial solutions, and bring together talents, technologies and capital to boost development.
Author: Etienne Dupourqué
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3030056600
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 336
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Book Description
This book proposes a review of Long-Term Care insurance; this issue is addressed both from a global point of view (through a presentation of the risk of dependence associated with the aging of the population) and an actuarial point of view (with the presentation of existing insurance products and actuarial techniques for pricing and reserving). It proposes a cross-view of American and European experiences for this risk. This book is the first dedicated entirely to long-term care insurance and aims to provide a useful reference for all actuaries facing this issue. It is intended for both professionals and academics.
