Modeling Travel Time in Urban Arterial Networks with Time-variant Turning Movements Using State-space Neural Networks PDF Download
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Author: Timothy Joseph Likens
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Neural networks (Computer science)
Languages : en
Pages : 320
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Author: Timothy Joseph Likens
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Neural networks (Computer science)
Languages : en
Pages : 320
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Author: Ajay Kumar Singh (Graduate of Michigan State University)
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : City traffic
Languages : en
Pages : 420
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Author: Azza Abdallah
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Neural networks (Computer science)
Languages : en
Pages : 245
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"Bottlenecks along signalized arterials are a major cause of capacity reduction and delay, which directly impact travel time along specific routes within an urban network. This research addresses the impacts of bottlenecks on arterial travel time under different traffic demand and geometric conditions. Neural network models are developed that quantify the impact of different types of bottlenecks on travel time. Different combinations of conditions are studied including variation in number of lanes, traffic demand (volume), length and position of bottlenecks, and presence of heavy vehicles. An extensive database of synthetic traffic data generated from microscopic traffic simulation is used. Link travel times are observed for different traffic demand levels/geometrics/bottleneck combinations. Different architectures of a back propagation neural network are evaluated. Results show that the neural network models are able to capture travel time with high accuracy. For comparison purposes, linear regression models are developed as well. The neural network models significantly outperformed the regression models. The results are a clear demonstration that neural network models can be a valuable tool for predicting travel time, a necessary piece of information for traffic routing and emergency evacuations under different traffic and geometric conditions."--Abstract.
Author: Harini Mangilipally
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 98
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Book Description
Traffic system performance can be measured in various ways, but from the user perspective, congestion is the major criterion. To assess the congestion levels for arterials with numerous signalized intersections and access points, travel time and speed are considered as the key performance measures. Collecting these data for all links in the transportation network is expensive, laborious and time-consuming. Literature, however, documents limited efforts to model and assess performance based on these measures for urban arterials.The objective of this research is to develop and validate models to estimate these key measures for assessment of urban arterial street performance. Road network characteristics, traffic characteristics, traffic control devices and signal parameters were considered as explanatory variables to evaluate delay in link travel time and average network speed. Five models: 1) average speed including length, 2) average speed excluding length, 3) delay in travel time using the basic equation, 4) delay in travel time using Bureau of Public Roads (BPR) equation with standard a and P parameters, and 5) delay in travel time using BPR equation with a and P parameters obtained from a regional travel demand forecasting model were developed. Models were developed including and excluding intercept to show the effect of intercept or constant in the model. Results indicate that average speed models are comparatively better statistical models than travel time models to assess urban arterials performance. The average speed models including length are comparatively better statistical models than the models excluding length.To closely understand the effect of signal spacing on link travel time and average travel speed, statistical analysis on the influence of signal spacing on link travel time and average travel speed was also done and the results show that the increase in the number of signals per mile has a negative effect on arterial performance.
Author: Hao Liu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Travel time (Traffic engineering)
Languages : en
Pages : 172
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Author: Anas Mohammad Mahmoud
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Neural networks (Computer science)
Languages : en
Pages :
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A model for estimating travel time on short arterial links of congested urban networks, using currently available technology, is introduced in this thesis. The objective is to estimate travel time, with an acceptable level of accuracy for real-life traffic problems, such as congestion management and emergency evacuation. To achieve this research objective, various travel time estimation methods, including highway trajectories, multiple linear regression (MLR), artificial neural networks (ANN) and K-nearest neighbor (K-NN) were applied and tested on the same dataset. The results demonstrate that ANN and K-NN methods outperform linear methods by a significant margin, also, show particularly good rformance in detecting congested intervals. To ensure the quality of the analysis results, set of procedures and algorithms based on traffic flow theory and test field information, were introduced to validate and clean the data used to build, train and test the different models.
Author: Prony Bonnaire Fils
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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After validation many scenarios are developed to evaluate the influencing factors and determine appropriate travel times reliability. The linear regression model will help 1) evaluate strategies and tactics to satisfy the travel time reliability requirements of users of the roadway network--those engaged in person transport in urban areas 2) monitor the performance of road network 3) evaluate future options 4) provide guidance on transportation planning, roadway design, traffic design, and traffic operations features.
Author: Xiaosi Zeng
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
The artificial neural network (ANN) approach has been recognized as a capable technique to model the highly complex and nonlinear problem of travel time prediction. In addition to the nonlinearity, a traffic system is also temporally and spatially dynamic. Addressing the temporal-spatial relationships of a traffic system in the context of neural networks, however, has not received much attention. Furthermore, many of the past studies have not fully explored the inclusion of incident information into the ANN model development, despite that incident might be a major source of prediction degradations. Additionally, directly deriving corridor travel times in a one-step manner raises some intractable problems, such as pairing input-target data, which have not yet been adequately discussed. In this study, the corridor travel time prediction problem has been divided into two stages with the first stage on prediction of the segment travel time and the second stage on corridor travel time aggregation methodologies of the predicted segmental results. To address the dynamic nature of traffic system that are often under the influence of incidents, time delay neural network (TDNN), state-space neural network (SSNN), and an extended state-space neural network (ExtSSNN) that incorporates incident inputs are evaluated for travel time prediction along with a traditional back propagation neural network (BP) and compared with baseline methods based on historical data. In the first stage, the empirical results show that the SSNN and ExtSSNN, which are both trained with Bayesian regulated Levenberg Marquardt algorithm, outperform other models. It is also concluded that the incident information is redundant to the travel time prediction problem with speed and volume data as inputs. In the second stage, the evaluations on the applications of the SSNN model to predict snapshot travel times and experienced travel times are made. The outcomes of these evaluations are satisfactory and the method is found to be practically significant in that it (1) explicitly reconstructs the temporalspatial traffic dynamics in the model, (2) is extendable to arbitrary O-D pairs without complete retraining of the model, and (3) can be used to predict both traveler experiences and system overall conditions.
Author: Susilawati
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Roads
Languages : en
Pages : 562
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Author: Charles D. Mark
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 390
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