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Author: Vicenç Torra
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540687912
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 284
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Book Description
This book covers the underlying science and application issues related to aggregation operators, focusing on tools used in practical applications that involve numerical information. It will thus be required reading for engineers, statisticians and computer scientists of all kinds. Starting with detailed introductions to information fusion and integration, measurement and probability theory, fuzzy sets, and functional equations, the authors then cover numerous topics in detail, including the synthesis of judgements, fuzzy measures, weighted means and fuzzy integrals.
Author: Vicenç Torra
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540687912
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 284
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book covers the underlying science and application issues related to aggregation operators, focusing on tools used in practical applications that involve numerical information. It will thus be required reading for engineers, statisticians and computer scientists of all kinds. Starting with detailed introductions to information fusion and integration, measurement and probability theory, fuzzy sets, and functional equations, the authors then cover numerous topics in detail, including the synthesis of judgements, fuzzy measures, weighted means and fuzzy integrals.
Author: Andrew Briggs
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0191004952
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 269
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Book Description
In financially constrained health systems across the world, increasing emphasis is being placed on the ability to demonstrate that health care interventions are not only effective, but also cost-effective. This book deals with decision modelling techniques that can be used to estimate the value for money of various interventions including medical devices, surgical procedures, diagnostic technologies, and pharmaceuticals. Particular emphasis is placed on the importance of the appropriate representation of uncertainty in the evaluative process and the implication this uncertainty has for decision making and the need for future research. This highly practical guide takes the reader through the key principles and approaches of modelling techniques. It begins with the basics of constructing different forms of the model, the population of the model with input parameter estimates, analysis of the results, and progression to the holistic view of models as a valuable tool for informing future research exercises. Case studies and exercises are supported with online templates and solutions. This book will help analysts understand the contribution of decision-analytic modelling to the evaluation of health care programmes. ABOUT THE SERIES: Economic evaluation of health interventions is a growing specialist field, and this series of practical handbooks will tackle, in-depth, topics superficially addressed in more general health economics books. Each volume will include illustrative material, case histories and worked examples to encourage the reader to apply the methods discussed, with supporting material provided online. This series is aimed at health economists in academia, the pharmaceutical industry and the health sector, those on advanced health economics courses, and health researchers in associated fields.
Author: Roger B. Myerson
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262355604
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 569
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Book Description
An introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risk and economic decisions, using spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty. This textbook offers an introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risks and economic decisions. It takes a learn-by-doing approach, teaching the student to use spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty and to analyze the effect of such uncertainty on an economic decision. Students in applied business and economics can more easily grasp difficult analytical methods with Excel spreadsheets. The book covers the basic ideas of probability, how to simulate random variables, and how to compute conditional probabilities via Monte Carlo simulation. The first four chapters use a large collection of probability distributions to simulate a range of problems involving worker efficiency, market entry, oil exploration, repeated investment, and subjective belief elicitation. The book then covers correlation and multivariate normal random variables; conditional expectation; optimization of decision variables, with discussions of the strategic value of information, decision trees, game theory, and adverse selection; risk sharing and finance; dynamic models of growth; dynamic models of arrivals; and model risk. New material in this second edition includes two new chapters on additional dynamic models and model risk; new sections in every chapter; many new end-of-chapter exercises; and coverage of such topics as simulation model workflow, models of probabilistic electoral forecasting, and real options. The book comes equipped with Simtools, an open-source, free software used througout the book, which allows students to conduct Monte Carlo simulations seamlessly in Excel.
Author: Dimitris Bertsimas
Publisher: Ingram
ISBN: 9780975914601
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 530
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Book Description
Combines topics from two traditionally distinct quantitative subjects, probability/statistics and management science/optimization, in a unified treatment of quantitative methods and models for management. Stresses those fundamental concepts that are most important for the practical analysis of management decisions: modeling and evaluating uncertainty explicitly, understanding the dynamic nature of decision-making, using historical data and limited information effectively, simulating complex systems, and allocating scarce resources optimally.
Author: Vicenc Torra
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319232401
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 260
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Book Description
This book constitutes the proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence, MDAI 2015, held in Skövde, Sweden, in September 2015. The 18 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 38 submissions. They discuss theory and tools for modeling decisions, as well as applications that encompass decision making processes and information fusion techniques.
Author: James Taylor
Publisher: Jtonedm
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Organizations make thousands of automated, operational decisions every week. How well they make these decisions drives profitability, reputation and customer satisfaction. Decision modeling helps them understand, automate and improve them
Author: Vicenç Torra
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540737286
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 511
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Book Description
Decision modeling is a key area in the developing field of AI, and this timely work connects researchers and professionals with the very latest research. It constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence, held in Kitakyushu, Japan, in August 2007. The 42 revised full papers presented together with 4 invited lectures are devoted to theory and tools, as well as applications.
Author: Yasuo Narukawa
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 364204820X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 382
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Book Description
This book constitutes the proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence, MDAI 2009, held on Awaji Island, Japan, in November/December 2009. The 28 papers presented in this book together with 5 invited talks were carefully reviewed and selected from 61 submissions. The topics covered are aggregation operators, fuzzy measures and game theory; decision making; clustering and similarity; computational intelligence and optimization; and machine learning.
Author: Vincenc Torra
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3642346200
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 433
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Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence, MDAI 2012, held in Girona, Catalonia, Spain, in November 2012. The 32 revised full papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 49 submissions and are presented with 4 plenary talks. The papers are organized in topical sections on aggregation operators, integrals, data privacy and security, reasoning, applications, and clustering and similarity.
Author: Nagraj (Raju) Balakrishnan
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN: 1501506315
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1009
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Book Description
This book fills a void for a balanced approach to spreadsheet-based decision modeling. In addition to using spreadsheets as a tool to quickly set up and solve decision models, the authors show how and why the methods work and combine the user's power to logically model and analyze diverse decision-making scenarios with software-based solutions. The book discusses the fundamental concepts, assumptions and limitations behind each decision modeling technique, shows how each decision model works, and illustrates the real-world usefulness of each technique with many applications from both profit and nonprofit organizations. The authors provide an introduction to managerial decision modeling, linear programming models, modeling applications and sensitivity analysis, transportation, assignment and network models, integer, goal, and nonlinear programming models, project management, decision theory, queuing models, simulation modeling, forecasting models and inventory control models. The additional material files Chapter 12 Excel files for each chapter Excel modules for Windows Excel modules for Mac 4th edition errata can be found at https://www.degruyter.com/view/product/486941
