Miscalculation

Miscalculation PDF Author: Harriette Bowra
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 488

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Book Description


The Politics of Miscalculation in the Middle East

The Politics of Miscalculation in the Middle East PDF Author: Richard Bordeaux Parker
Publisher: Indiana Series in Arab and Isl
ISBN: 9780253207814
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 273

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Book Description
Why do international crises seem to occur so often in the Middle East? Former U.S. diplomat Richard B. Parker presents three detailed studies of policy failures that he believes were precipitated by miscalculations on the part of diplomats and of government and military leaders in one or more Middle Eastern countries, the United States, and the former USSR. They are the Soviet-Egyptian miscalculation leading to the June 1967 war between Israel and the Arab states, the U.S.-Israeli miscalculation leading to Soviet military intervention in Egypt in 1970, and the U.S.-Israeli miscalculation leading to the disastrous Lebanese-Israeli peace agreement of May 17, 1983. Parker's many-sided, often gripping account of the way in which these crises unfolded illustrates how the same events can be viewed very differently by the observers and actors involved, and how political decisions can precipitate reactions that are often very different from those anticipated. Although the book highlights the unavoidably uncertain and contingent element in all diplomatic activity, it also shows that careful attention to history, to past performance, and to prevailing mindsets in the countries involved can be invaluable aids in diplomatic crisis management. The many sources assembled and the careful weighing of their accuracy and reliability, along with the combined perspective of the practitioner and the scholar, make this book an important resource for diplomats, policymakers, and students of diplomacy.

The Miscalculations of Lightning Girl

The Miscalculations of Lightning Girl PDF Author: Stacy McAnulty
Publisher: Random House Books for Young Readers
ISBN: 152476759X
Category : Juvenile Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 304

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Book Description
A lightning strike gave her a super power...but even a super genius can't solve the problem of middle school. This smart and funny novel is perfect for fans of The Fourteenth Goldfish, Rain Reign, and Counting by Sevens. Lucy Callahan was struck by lightning. She doesn't remember it, but it changed her life forever. The zap gave her genius-level math skills, and ever since, Lucy has been homeschooled. Now, at 12 years old, she's technically ready for college. She just has to pass 1 more test--middle school! Lucy's grandma insists: Go to middle school for 1 year. Make 1 friend. Join 1 activity. And read 1 book (that's not a math textbook!). Lucy's not sure what a girl who does calculus homework for fun can possibly learn in 7th grade. She has everything she needs at home, where nobody can make fun of her rigid routines or her superpowered brain. The equation of Lucy's life has already been solved. Unless there's been a miscalculation? A celebration of friendship, Stacy McAnulty's smart and thoughtful middle-grade debut reminds us all to get out of our comfort zones and embrace what makes us different. AN NPR BEST BOOK OF THE YEAR A KIRKUS REVIEWS BEST BOOK OF THE YEAR "An engaging story, full of heart and hope. Readers of all ages will root for Lucy, aka Lightning Girl. No miscalculations here!" --Kate Beasley, author of Gertie's Leap to Greatness

Hitler's Fatal Miscalculation

Hitler's Fatal Miscalculation PDF Author: Klaus H. Schmider
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108890326
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 615

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Book Description
Hitler's decision to declare war on the United States has baffled generations of historians. In this revisionist new history of those fateful months, Klaus H. Schmider seeks to uncover the chain of events which would incite the German leader to declare war on the United States in December 1941. He provides new insights not just on the problems afflicting German strategy, foreign policy and war production but, crucially, how they were perceived at the time at the top levels of the Third Reich. Schmider sees the declaration of war on the United States not as an admission of defeat or a gesture of solidarity with Japan, but as an opportunistic gamble by the German leader. This move may have appeared an excellent bet at the time, but would ultimately doom the Third Reich.

Khrushchev: The Man and His Era

Khrushchev: The Man and His Era PDF Author: William Taubman
Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company
ISBN: 0393081729
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 929

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Book Description
Winner of the Pulitzer Prize Winner of the National Book Critics Circle Award The definitive biography of the mercurial Soviet leader who succeeded and denounced Stalin. Nikita Khrushchev was one of the most complex and important political figures of the twentieth century. Ruler of the Soviet Union during the first decade after Stalin's death, Khrushchev left a contradictory stamp on his country and on the world. His life and career mirror the Soviet experience: revolution, civil war, famine, collectivization, industrialization, terror, world war, cold war, Stalinism, post-Stalinism. Complicit in terrible Stalinist crimes, Khrushchev nevertheless retained his humanity: his daring attempt to reform communism prepared the ground for its eventual collapse; and his awkward efforts to ease the cold war triggered its most dangerous crises. This is the first comprehensive biography of Khrushchev and the first of any Soviet leader to reflect the full range of sources that have become available since the USSR collapsed. Combining a page-turning historical narrative with penetrating political and psychological analysis, this book brims with the life and excitement of a man whose story personified his era.

Forecast and Solution

Forecast and Solution PDF Author: Ike Jeanes
Publisher: Ike Jeanes
ISBN: 9780936015620
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 804

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Book Description
EVERYONE'S GUIDE - FORECAST & SOLUTION introduces new, easy-to-use statistical methods so that the reader can answer the questions: How long will nuclear peace tend to continue? And, what can be done to extend it further? Dietrich Fischer, a past MacArthur Fellow at Princeton, was emphatic: "This is an original & highly readable contribution to the most important issue facing humanity today - surviving the nuclear threat. Jeanes combines lucid common sense with mathematical rigor in this landmark work. Anyone with an interest in having a future should read this work." Similarly, another distinguished scholar & author in the field declared, "It was more than interesting: it was completely fascinating." The general literate reader can assess when a nuclear use (small or otherwise) would tend to occur at probabilities from 1% to 99.9%, & what precisely can be done to forestall such use. Jeanes debunks deterrence theory, illustrates consequences of proliferation, & provides a unified explanation for warfare, conventional & nuclear. A comprehensive work - ethical, political, historical, analytical. 100+ Graphs & Tables, 1,500+ footnotes. TOLL-FREE, 24 hours-a-day, credit card line (800) 448-3330; Publisher: (800) 446-0467.

Why the UK Voted for Brexit

Why the UK Voted for Brexit PDF Author: Andrew Glencross
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137590017
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 91

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Book Description
This book studies the unprecedented decision of 23 June 2016, which saw the UK electorate vote to leave the EU, turning David Cameron’s referendum gamble into a great miscalculation. It analyzes the renegotiation that preceded the vote, before examining the campaign itself so as to understand why the government’s strategy for winning foundered. It then evaluates the implications that this decision has for the country’s international relations as well as for its domestic politics. The author’s final reflections are on the political philosophy of Brexit, which is founded on a critique of representative democracy. Yet the use of direct democracy to trigger EU withdrawal leaves the supposedly sovereign British people at an impasse. For it is up to the people’s representatives to negotiate the terms of Brexit. By engaging with a highly charged political debate in an accessible and non-partisan manner this book will appeal to a broad readership of academics, policy-makers, journalists, and interested citizens.

Rethinking Implicit Memory

Rethinking Implicit Memory PDF Author: Jeffrey S. Bowers
Publisher:
ISBN: 0192632329
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
Languages : en
Pages : 362

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Book Description
Implicit memory refers to a change in task performance due to an earlier experience that is not consciously remembered. The topic of implicit memory has been studied from two quite different perspectives for the past 20 years. On the one hand, researchers interested in memory have set out to characterize the memory system (or systems) underlying implicit memory, and see how they relate to those underlying other forms of memory. The alternative framework has considered implicit memory as a by-product of perceptual, conceptual, or motor systems that learn. That is, on this view the systems that support implicit memory are heavily constrained by pressures other than memory per se. Both approaches have yielded results that have been valuable in helping us to understand the nature of implicit memory, but studied somewhat in isolation and with little collaboration. This volume is unique in explicitly contrasting these approaches, bringing together world class scientists from both camps in an attempt to forge a new approach to understanding one of the most exciting and important issues in psychology and neuroscience. Written for postgraduate students and researchers in cognitive psychology and cognitive neuroscience, this is a book that will have an important influence on the direction that future research in this field takes.

British Miscalculations

British Miscalculations PDF Author: Isaiah Friedman
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351530674
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 359

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Book Description
In the aftermath of World War I there was furious agitation throughout Islam against the dismemberment of the Ottoman Empire. Coupled with the powerful effect of the principle of self-determination, British indifference to Muslim sentiments gave rise to militant nationalism in Islam-which became de facto anti-Western. This detailed and convincing account describes British indecisiveness, policy contradictions, and how militant nationalism was aggravated by the Greek invasion of Smyrna and its ambition to create a Hellenic Empire in Anatolia with Britain's connivance. Immediately after World War I there was a fair chance of mutual coexistence and good relations between Arabs and Jews in Palestine. This possibility was nipped in the bud by the military administration (1918-1920) responsible for the anti-Jewish riots in Jerusalem in April 1920. High Commissioner Herbert Samuel supported the Arab extremists in his misguided policy, and complicated the situation further. The appointment of Hajj Amin al-Husseini to the exalted post of Grand Mufti of Jerusalem, and subsequently to the presidency of the Supreme Moslem Council of the Palestinians, proved fatal to Arab-Jewish relations and to the possibility of peace. As Friedman shows, the British administration of Palestine bears a considerable share of responsibility for the Arab-Zionist conflict in Palestine. Against this diplomatic background Arab-Jewish hostilities thrived, with consequences that endure today.

Explaining the Iraq War

Explaining the Iraq War PDF Author: Frank P. Harvey
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139503626
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 361

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Book Description
The almost universally accepted explanation for the Iraq War is very clear and consistent - the US decision to attack Saddam Hussein's regime on March 19, 2003 was a product of the ideological agenda, misguided priorities, intentional deceptions and grand strategies of President George W. Bush and prominent 'neoconservatives' and 'unilateralists' on his national security team. Despite the widespread appeal of this version of history, Frank P. Harvey argues that it remains an unsubstantiated assertion and an underdeveloped argument without a logical foundation. His book aims to provide a historically grounded account of the events and strategies which pushed the US-UK coalition towards war. The analysis is based on both factual and counterfactual evidence, combines causal mechanisms derived from multiple levels of analysis and ultimately confirms the role of path dependence and momentum as a much stronger explanation for the sequence of decisions that led to war.