Measuring Economic Slack

Measuring Economic Slack PDF Author: James Morley
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 40

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Measuring Economic Slack in Asia and the Pacific

Measuring Economic Slack in Asia and the Pacific PDF Author: James Morley
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 16

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Book Description
Economic “slack” directly implies the ability for an economy to grow quickly without any necessary reversal in the future. This implication motivates a forecast-based approach to measuring economic slack. Given this approach, estimated output gaps for most of the major economies in Asia and the Pacific display strong asymmetry, with larger negative levels during recessions than positive levels during expansions. The estimated output gaps are also strongly correlated with narrower measures of slack given by the unemployment rate and capacity utilisation when these are available for a given economy. In terms of a Phillips Curve relationship with future inflation, there are important non-linearities and evidence of changes across policy regimes for some of the economies, arguing against imposing a fixed linear Phillips Curve when measuring slack. Finally, the output gaps appear to have important dynamic linkages across many of the economies in the Asia-Pacific region.Full publication: "http://ssrn.com/abstract=2420025" Globalisation, Inflation and Monetary Policy in Asia and the Pacific.

Labor Market Slack and the Output Gap: The Case of Korea

Labor Market Slack and the Output Gap: The Case of Korea PDF Author: Mr.Niels-Jakob H Hansen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513511130
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 23

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Book Description
Output gap estimates are widely used to inform macroeconomic policy decisions, including in Korea. The main determinant of these estimates is the measure of labor market slack. The traditional measure of unemployment in Korea yields an incomplete estimate of labor market slack, given that many workers prefer involuntary part-time jobs or leaving the labor force rather than registering as unemployed. This paper discusses a way in which the measure of unemployment can be broadened to yield a more accurate measure of labor market slack. This broader measure is then used to estimate the output gap using a multivariate filter, yielding a more meaningful measure of the output gap.

No Slack

No Slack PDF Author: Michael S. Barr
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
ISBN: 0815722338
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 308

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Book Description
The financial crisis exposed unsavory results of interactions between low- and moderate-income households and alternative and mainstream financial institutions: overleveraged incomes, high cost for financial services, and lack of access to useful financial products that can cushion against economic instability. It revealed a financial services system that is not well designed to serve these households, leaving them without financial slack. Pivotal analysis, focusing on metropolitan Detroit's low- and moderate-income neighborhoods, examines household decision making processes, behaviors, and attitudes toward a full range of financial transactions during the subprime lending boom. The author advocates helping families seek financial stability in three primary ways: enhancing individuals' financial capability, using technology to promote access to financial products and services that meet their needs, and establishing strong protections for consumers.

Prices and Quantities

Prices and Quantities PDF Author: Rakesh V. Vohra
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108806317
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 225

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Book Description
Rakesh V. Vohra offers a unique approach to studying and understanding intermediate microeconomics by reversing the conventional order of treatment, starting with topics that are mathematically simpler and progressing to the more complex. The book begins with monopoly, which requires single variable rather than multivariable calculus and allows students to focus clearly on the fundamental trade-off at the heart of economics: margin versus volume. Imperfect competition and the contrast with monopoly follows, introducing the notion of Nash equilibrium. Perfect competition is addressed toward the end of the book, and framed as a model of non-strategic behavior by firms and agents. The last chapter is devoted to externalities, with an emphasis on how one might design competitive markets to price externalities and linking the difficulties to the problem of efficient provision of public goods. Real-life examples engage the reader while encouraging them to think critically about the interplay between model and reality.

The Budget and Economic Outlook

The Budget and Economic Outlook PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Budget
Languages : en
Pages : 196

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Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Hysteresis and Business Cycles PDF Author: Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513536990
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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Book Description
Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Strategic Change

Strategic Change PDF Author: Colin A. Carnall
Publisher: Digital Press
ISBN: 9780750619325
Category : Business planning
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Managing major or strategic change now demands the ability to visualise the future, to see what might happen, and to estimate how the organization might respond. Through a selection of key articles on strategic change from authors such as Senge, Handy, Argyris and Prahalad and Doz, Carnall examines how we can understand the process of change and how we can use this knowledge to create the future. These articles look at: *networked organizations *market induced changes for internal and external markets *culture change *learning organization *globalisation This book also includes new material on how to create programmes of change to maximise learning as well as topical approaches such as process re-engineering, time-based management and corporate bench-marking. Students on MBA and other post-graduate business courses, and practitioners in the field of strategic change will find this book essential reading. Colin Carnall is Professor of Management Studies and Director of Programmes at Henley Management College. Top-flight editor from one of the best British Business Schools Includes articles from leading authors -Senge, Handy, Argyris and Prahalad and Doz to name a few Includes new material on how to create programmes of change to maximise learning

The Deficit Myth

The Deficit Myth PDF Author: Stephanie Kelton
Publisher: PublicAffairs
ISBN: 1541736206
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 311

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Book Description
A New York Times Bestseller The leading thinker and most visible public advocate of modern monetary theory -- the freshest and most important idea about economics in decades -- delivers a radically different, bold, new understanding for how to build a just and prosperous society. Stephanie Kelton's brilliant exploration of modern monetary theory (MMT) dramatically changes our understanding of how we can best deal with crucial issues ranging from poverty and inequality to creating jobs, expanding health care coverage, climate change, and building resilient infrastructure. Any ambitious proposal, however, inevitably runs into the buzz saw of how to find the money to pay for it, rooted in myths about deficits that are hobbling us as a country. Kelton busts through the myths that prevent us from taking action: that the federal government should budget like a household, that deficits will harm the next generation, crowd out private investment, and undermine long-term growth, and that entitlements are propelling us toward a grave fiscal crisis. MMT, as Kelton shows, shifts the terrain from narrow budgetary questions to one of broader economic and social benefits. With its important new ways of understanding money, taxes, and the critical role of deficit spending, MMT redefines how to responsibly use our resources so that we can maximize our potential as a society. MMT gives us the power to imagine a new politics and a new economy and move from a narrative of scarcity to one of opportunity.

A Phillips Curve with Anchored Expectations and Short-Term Unemployment

A Phillips Curve with Anchored Expectations and Short-Term Unemployment PDF Author: Laurence M. Ball
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498321070
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description
This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve’s target, and that labor-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good when we measure core inflation with the Cleveland Fed’s series on weighted median inflation. We also propose a more general Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the Survey of Professional Forecasters. This specification fits U.S. inflation since 1985, including both the anchored-expectations period of the 2000s and the preceding period when expectations were determined by past levels of inflation.