Macroeconomic Fluctuations and the Timing of Labour Market Reforms

Macroeconomic Fluctuations and the Timing of Labour Market Reforms PDF Author: Gilles Saint-Paul
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 22

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Macroeconomic Fluctuations and the Timing of Labour Market Reforms

Macroeconomic Fluctuations and the Timing of Labour Market Reforms PDF Author: Gilles Saint-Paul
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 22

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Book Description


Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies

Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies PDF Author: Mr.Romain A Duval
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513570749
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 31

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Book Description
We explore the impact of major labor and product market reforms on current account dynamics using a new “narrative” database of major changes in employment protection for regular workers and product market regulation for non-manufacturing industries covering 26 advanced economies over the past four decades. Our main finding is that product market deregulation is associated with a weakening of the current account, while labor market deregulation is associated with an improvement. These effects are transitory and driven by both saving and investment responses. Labor and product market reforms both have a more positive impact on the current account balance when implemented under weak macroeconomic conditions. Our results are broadly consistent with predictions from recent DSGE models with endogenous producer entry and labor market frictions.

Structural Reforms

Structural Reforms PDF Author: Jakob de Haan
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319744003
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 293

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Book Description
This book presents a selection of contributions on the timely topic of structural reforms in Western economies, written by experts from central banks, the International Monetary Fund, and leading universities. It includes latest research on the impacts of structural reforms on the market economy, especially on the labor market, and investigates the results of collective bargaining in theory and practice. The book also comprises case studies of structural reforms. A literature survey on the topic serves as a valuable source for further research. The book is written by and targeted at both academics and policy makers.

Labor Market Reforms and Earnings Dynamics: the Italian Case

Labor Market Reforms and Earnings Dynamics: the Italian Case PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513573748
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 49

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Book Description
This paper summarizes statistics on the key aspects of the distribution of earnings levels and earnings changes using administrative (social security) data from Italy between 1985 and 2016. During the time covered by our data, earnings inequality and earnings volatility increased, while earnings mobility did not change significantly. We connect these trends with some salient facts about the Italian labor market, in particular the labor market reforms of the 1990s and 2000s which induced a substantial rise in fixedterm and part-time employment. The rise in parttime work explains much of the rise in earnings inequality, while the rise in fixed-term contracts explains much of the rise in volatility. Both these trends affect the earnings distribution through hours worked: part-time jobs reduce hours worked within a week, while fixed-term contracts reduce the number of weeks worked during the year as well as increase their volatility. We find weak evidence that fixed-term contracts represent a "stepping-stone" to permanent employment. Finally, we offer suggestive evidence that the labor market reforms contributed to the slowdown in labor productivity in Italy by delaying human capital accumulation (in the form of general and firm-specific experience) of recent cohorts.

Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies

Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies PDF Author: Angana Banerji
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475583974
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 120

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Book Description
Product and labor market reforms are needed to lift persistently sluggish growth in advanced economies. But reforms have progressed slowly because of concerns about their distributive and short-term economic effects. Our analysis, based on new empirical and numerical analysis and country case-studies shows that most labor and product market reforms can improve public debt dynamics over the medium-term. This because reforms raise output by boosting employment and/or labor productivity. But the effect of some labor market reforms on budgetary outcomes and fiscal sustainability depends critically on business cycle conditions. Our evidence also suggests that some temporary and well-designed up-front fiscal stimulus can help enhance the economic impact of reforms. In the past, countries have used fiscal incentives in the past to facilitate reforms by alleviating transition and social costs. But strong ownership of reforms was crucial for their successful implementation.

When Do Structural Reforms Work? On the Role of the Business Cycle and Macroeconomic Policies

When Do Structural Reforms Work? On the Role of the Business Cycle and Macroeconomic Policies PDF Author: MissAnna Rose Bordon
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 151358992X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 28

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Book Description
Structural reforms are expected to lift growth and employment, but their effects are surprisingly difficult to pin down empirically. One reason is their potential endogeneity to the economic environment in which they are conducted. For example, the impact of a reform implemented shortly before a cyclical upswing is difficult to distinguish from the recovery itself. Similarly, macroeconomic policies conducted along a structural reform could affect the estimated impact. Exploring various options, this paper develops robust estimates of the impact of labor and product market reforms by using local projection techniques while controlling for endogeneity of reforms and other biases. The results suggest that labor and product market reforms have a lagged but positive impact on employment creation, and the positive effect remains even after controlling for the endogeneity of the decision to reform. Supportive macroeconomic policies are found to increase the effect of labor and product market reforms, consistent with the view that some structural reforms are best initiated in conjunction with supportive fiscal or monetary policy.

The German Labor Market Reforms and Post-Unemployment Earnings

The German Labor Market Reforms and Post-Unemployment Earnings PDF Author: Niklas Engbom
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513531255
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26

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Book Description
In 2003–05, Germany undertook extensive labor market reforms which were followed by a large and persistent decline in unemployment. Key elements of the reforms were a drastic cut in benefits for the long-term unemployed and tighter job search and acceptance obligations. Using a large confidential data set from the German social security administration, we find that the reforms were associated with a fall in the earnings of workers returning to work from short-term unemployment relative to workers in long-term employment of about 10 percent. We interpret this as evidence that the reforms strengthened incentives to return to work but, in doing so, they adversely affected post re-entry earnings.

Essays on the Macroeconomics of Market Reforms and Self-employment

Essays on the Macroeconomics of Market Reforms and Self-employment PDF Author: Yurim Lee
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 156

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Book Description
The labor market is undoubtedly the closest and most intimate aspect of the economy that the individuals face. The type of employment has also evolved over time alongside the labor market. While much study has been focused on the labor market, not enough light has been shed on self-employment, which is unique in that it is a form of employment at the borderline of workers and firms. Relating the motivation for starting one's own business to the possibility of finding wage-paying jobs is even rarer, as much of previous literature see self-employment from the perspective of credit constraints or avoiding costly labor and tax regulations. As the share of self-employment is non-negligible (which is especially true in developing, small open economies), a proper understanding of self-employment is crucial in successfully carrying out structural reforms as well. With this agenda in mind, this dissertation seeks to understand two main issues. First is exploring how individuals' decisions towards choosing into self-employment can be tied to the state of the labor market (i.e. the probability of finding wage-paying work). This additional source of employment eventually affects the composition of the labor market and thus the business cycle dynamics. The second topic of the dissertation is studying the consequences of such self-employment on the macroeconomic efficiency and the outcomes of structural reforms on the product and labor markets. The first chapter focuses on the consequences of different decisions regarding the international financial market integration and exchange rate policy in a small open economy, Korea. The chapter is targeted towards a deeper understanding of a combination of policies under two important ingredients in a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model: producer entry into domestic and export markets and labor market frictions. Results show that under flexible exchange rates, access to international financial markets increases the volatility of both business creation and the number of exporting plants, with the effects on employment volatility being more modest. The exchange rate peg can have unfavorable consequences for the effects of terms of trade appreciation, and more financial integration is not necessarily beneficial under a peg. The combination of a floating exchange rate and internationally complete markets would be the best scenario for Korea among those the chapter focuses on. The second chapter introduces workers' endogenous transition in and out of self-employment in the traditional Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides (DMP) framework, while keeping the crucial ingredients in a closed economy DSGE framework as explored in \autoref{chp:fmkorea}. Under such settings, labor market composition becomes more volatile, leading to greater fluctuations and higher welfare costs from business cycles. A comparison with a centrally planned economy shows that self-employment becomes an additional source of inefficiency in the economy. The lack of job creation by the self-employed implies reforms being less effective when targeted towards them. The third chapter brings together the first two chapters by allowing self-employment in a small open economy, calibrated for Korea. Specifically, the hiring firms produce tradable goods and engage in exporting, while the self-employed produce nontradable goods and only serve the domestic market. The model displays a much higher rate of self-employment (around 36% of employment) compared to the closed economy calibrated for the U.S. in the second chapter. It also shows the real exchange rate appreciating and terms of trade depreciating under financial autarky after a productivity shock, where the size of the fluctuations depends on the firm creation in both tradable and nontradable sectors. Allowing international borrowing leads to more consumption smoothing but relatively less entry in both hiring and self-employed firms, with unemployment becoming less volatile and terms of trade initially appreciating.

Macroeconomic Fluctuations and the Labor Market

Macroeconomic Fluctuations and the Labor Market PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


The Labor Market and Economic Adjustment

The Labor Market and Economic Adjustment PDF Author: Pierre-Richard Agénor
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451854781
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 98

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Book Description
This paper examines the role of the labor market in the transmission process of adjustment policies in developing countries. It begins by reviewing the recent evidence regarding the functioning of these markets. It then studies the implications of wage inertia, nominal contracts, labor market segmentation, and impediments to labor mobility for stabilization policies. The effect of labor market reforms on economic flexibility and the channels through which labor market imperfections alter the effects of structural adjustment measures are discussed next. The last part of the paper identifies a variety of issues that may require further investigation, such as the link between changes in relative wages and the distributional effects of adjustment policies.