Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Climatic changes
Languages : en
Pages : 92
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Book Description
Resume -- Introduction -- Goals and Objectives -- OMNR's Strategic Plan for Responding to Climate Change -- Methods -- Step 1: Literature Review -- Step 2: Historical Climate Analysis and Climate Change Projections for Ontario's Provincial Parks -- Step 3: Terrestrial Vegetation Change Modelling Analysis -- Step 4: Fire Severity Change Modelling Analysis -- Step 5: Implications for Protected Areas Planning, Policy and Management in Ontario -- Results -- Step 1: Literature Review -- Step 2: Historical Climate Analysis and Climate Change Projections for Ontario Provincial Parks -- Step 3: Biome Type Representation Change in Ontario's Provincial Parks -- Step 4: Climate Change and Fire Severity in Ontario's Provincial Parks -- Step 5: Implications for Ontario Parks' Planning, Policy and Management Frameworks -- Implications of Climate Change for Ontario Parks' System Planning, Policy and Management Frameworks -- References -- Appendix 1: Historical Climate Variability and Trends in Ontario Provincial Parks -- Appendix 2: Summary of SRES (Special Report on Emission Scenarios) -- Appendix 3: Special Report on Emission Scenario (SRES) Global Circulation Model (GCM) Scatterplots for Each Provincial Park Analyzed.
Author: Canada
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780662705093
Category :
Languages : fr
Pages : 4
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Book Description
Author: Mike Wotton
Publisher: Sault Ste Marie : Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, Applied Research and Development
ISBN:
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
The increased fi re load is expected to increase the cost of fi re management in the province 16% by the year 2040 and 54% by the year 2090 over year 2000 costs, exclusive of infl ation or other factors. [...] In addition to increases in seasonal fi re severity indices, a number of these studies also predict increases in the frequency of occurrence of extreme fi re danger in some areas of the country (e.g., Stocks et al. [...] This study uses lightning- and people-caused fi re occurrence models developed specifi cally for Ontario with GCM projections of future climate and Ontario's level of protection analysis software, LEOPARDS (see McAlpine and Hirsch 1999) to estimate the impacts of climate change on the fi re management organization both in terms of numbers of escaped fi res and with respect to changes in operationa [...] The sites of the GCM grid cell centres and OMNR weather stations used are shown in Figure 1. Fire Weather and Fire Danger To create the fi re climate of a future decade, the monthly anomalies were applied to the daily data from the OMNR fi re weather station archive from the years 1992-2001 (corresponding to the period over which lightning records were available). [...] The Fire Behaviour Prediction (FBP) System (Forestry Canada Fire Danger Group 1992) was used in conjunction with the Initial Spread Index (ISI), the Build-up Index (BUI) (calculated on the detection date of the fi re using the FWI System), and the fuel type associated with the fi re to estimate an initial rate of spread for each fi re.
Author: Regina Varrin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Animal populations
Languages : en
Pages : 60
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Book Description
On- strategies organized according to the need to understand climate site land use planning and management techniques must be change, mitigate the impacts of rapid climate change, and help designed to protect the ecological and social pieces, patterns, Ontarians adapt to climate change: and processes. [...] Given the uncertainty in the amount of emissions and associated effects, natural resource management agencies around the world are using a number of climate models and scenarios of human behaviour to depict a range of potential climatic conditions and impacts that may appear in the next 100 years. [...] It is notable that the countries attending the 2005 climate change conference in Montreal to review and discuss future programs under the auspices of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Kyoto Protocol agreed that the development of adaptation tools and techniques should receive significant attention during the next 5 years. [...] Species Distribution and Abundance in Response to Climate Change The distribution and abundance of a species across its geographic range is related to both biotic (e.g., food, competition, and disease) and abiotic (e.g., climate and substrate) factors. [...] There are several ways to examine the effects of climate on terrestrial fauna, and to determine how climate change may affect species and their habitat in the future.
Author: Stephen John Colombo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Atmospheric circulation
Languages : en
Pages : 52
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Book Description
And Resume -- Acknowledgements -- Foreword -- Introduction -- Methods -- Climate Projections -- Southern Ontario -- Northeastern Ontario -- Northwestern Ontario -- Discussion -- Conclusions -- References.
Author: Charles Kenneth Minns
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
Acknowledgements -- Introduction -- Methods -- Future Ontario Climates -- Morphometry of Ontario Lakes and Presence/Absence of Lake Trout -- Estimating Lake Stratification Patterns -- Thermal Specialization of Lake Trout -- Assessment of Impacts of Climate Change -- Results -- Conclusions -- References.
Author: Stephen John Colombo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
This report updates a review of literature about the effects of global climate change on forest plants and communities published in 1998. The focus is on changes in Ontario predicted for forest fires, insect outbreaks, disease, forest growth, species composition, harvest rates, wood supply, genetics and regeneration, and carbon-based forest management.--Includes text from document.
Author: Ngaire Eskelin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
Assisted migration of tree species populations, or seed sources, is one of few adaptive strategies available to mitigate the projected effects of climate change on the structure, productivity, and distribution of forest ecosystems. In this report, the authors present the goals and objectives of a study intiated in 2008 to assess the potential of assisted migration as an adaptation strategy to manage for climate change in Ontario. In support of this study, they conducted a literature search on assisted migration and genetic variation in climatic response of forest tree species, through which were identified several hundred related scientific and technical publications. Citations and keywords for publications of greatest significance to using assisted migration as a climate change adaptation strategy are presented in the accompanying bibliography.--Document.
Author: Daniel William McKenney
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
Finally, to introduce the concept of climate-related movement of flora and fauna, current and future climate envelopes are generated for 12 Ontario tree species that have a range of climate and site type preferences. [...] Between the monthly temperature and precipitation estimates and subsequently derived bioclimatic variables, a total of 55 climate variables were available to use in characterizing the climate of the ecoregions. [...] Given that the size and shape of maps of the climate envelope for each ecoregion will vary depending on the climate variables included in the analysis (Beaumont et al. [...] Finally, the current and future climate for each of the selected natural heritage areas was summarized for the 14 climate variables outlined above. [...] This map is a product of the Applied Research and Development Branch, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources and the Toronto Canadian Forest Service.
Author: Jean-Noël Candau
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 24
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Book Description
Predicting the effect of climate change on insect populations can be used to estimate the costs and benefits of protecting forests from potential damage. In this report, the authors present an analysis of potential changes in the distribution of spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana Clem.) defoliation under climate change in Ontario. They use an empirical model that relates defoliation to historical bioclimatic variables, and then apply climate change data to this model to predict potential changes in the distribution of defoliation.--Includes text from document.
