A Surprise Party

A Surprise Party PDF Author: Milo McGivern
Publisher: Troubador Publishing Ltd
ISBN: 1800466269
Category : Juvenile Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 78

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Book Description
On a mysterious and far away island, strange things are happening. With no people in sight, a wonderful collection of talking animals are having extraordinary, funny adventures

Bernoulli's Fallacy

Bernoulli's Fallacy PDF Author: Aubrey Clayton
Publisher: Columbia University Press
ISBN: 0231553358
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 641

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Book Description
There is a logical flaw in the statistical methods used across experimental science. This fault is not a minor academic quibble: it underlies a reproducibility crisis now threatening entire disciplines. In an increasingly statistics-reliant society, this same deeply rooted error shapes decisions in medicine, law, and public policy with profound consequences. The foundation of the problem is a misunderstanding of probability and its role in making inferences from observations. Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the seventeenth-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it. He highlights how influential nineteenth- and twentieth-century figures developed a statistical methodology they claimed was purely objective in order to silence critics of their political agendas, including eugenics. Clayton provides a clear account of the mathematics and logic of probability, conveying complex concepts accessibly for readers interested in the statistical methods that frame our understanding of the world. He contends that we need to take a Bayesian approach—that is, to incorporate prior knowledge when reasoning with incomplete information—in order to resolve the crisis. Ranging across math, philosophy, and culture, Bernoulli’s Fallacy explains why something has gone wrong with how we use data—and how to fix it.

A Surprise Party

A Surprise Party PDF Author: Milo McGivern
Publisher: Troubador Publishing Ltd
ISBN: 1800466269
Category : Juvenile Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 78

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Book Description
On a mysterious and far away island, strange things are happening. With no people in sight, a wonderful collection of talking animals are having extraordinary, funny adventures

The Truest of Words

The Truest of Words PDF Author: Georgina Guthrie
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 1623420792
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 315

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Book Description
With the end of term finally behind them, Aubrey and Daniel look forward to building a life together. A painful realization that they can’t truly embrace the future until they’ve come to terms with the past leads them to discover the healing potential of forgiveness and the power of unconditional love. Like the first two books in the series, The Truest of Words is a romantic tale that blends witty banter with passion and drama.

Aubrey

Aubrey PDF Author: Anne Marsh-Caldwell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 180

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Book Description


Broadcast Ratings

Broadcast Ratings PDF Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Radio programs
Languages : en
Pages : 428

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Book Description


The Family Herald

The Family Herald PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 850

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Book Description


Ten Thousand A-year

Ten Thousand A-year PDF Author: Samuel Warren
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 224

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Book Description


Representative American Dramas, National and Local

Representative American Dramas, National and Local PDF Author: Montrose Jonas Moses
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : American drama
Languages : en
Pages : 706

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Book Description


The Captive Saga Book One - ''Captive Hearts”

The Captive Saga Book One - ''Captive Hearts” PDF Author: Amazing Grace Williams
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
ISBN: 1462890652
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 172

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Book Description
Anxiously awaiting her return home on the train ride, Aubrey Whitton sees a bright future ahead of her in Moline. However a gang of robbers interrupt her dreams of home by kidnapping her because of a secret she carries, and dragging her along for miles of endless riding. When all of her hope is lost, will she be rescued? Or will her shattered faith be enough to help her survive? When Sheriff Breu Lawrence hears about the train robbery and kidnapping, he immediately gets on the case. With his faith in God, will he be able to rescue Aubrey before it is too late, or will his own secret fail him in his search?

The Captive Saga - Book Two

The Captive Saga - Book Two PDF Author: Amazing Grace Williams
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
ISBN: 1469177153
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 183

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Book Description
Feeling stunned and sorrow in the sudden loss of her robber brother, Aubrey Whitton begins to blame herself for his death and forget about God's promises. Will she allow guilt to ruin her relationships along with her engagement with Sheriff Breu?Ethan Bennett has a secret he is keeping from his mother Rose, but as time goes on someone discovers his secret and threatens to kill him. Jim Starks returns to town to visit with his father. Will he take advantage of Aubrey's sorrow to convince her to return with him? Will Aubrey feel so much guilt that she decides to?