International Policy Coordination in Dynamic Macroeconomic Models

International Policy Coordination in Dynamic Macroeconomic Models PDF Author: Gilles Oudiz
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic policy
Languages : en
Pages : 86

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Book Description
Recent analyses of the gains to policy coordination have focussed on the strategic aspects of macroeconomic policy making in a static setting. A major theme is that noncooperative policy making is likely to be Pareto inefficient because of the presence of beggar-thy-neighbor policies. This paper extends the analysis to a dynamic setting, thereby introducing three important points of realism to the static game. First, the payoffs to beggar-thy-neighbor policies look very different in one-period and multiperiod games, and thus so do the gains to coordination. Second, we show that policy coordination may reduce economic welfare if governments are nyopic in their policy making, as is sometimes claimed. Third, governments act under a fundamental constraint that they cannot bind the actions of later governments, and we investigate how this constraint alters the gains to policy coordination.

International Policy Coordination in Dynamic Macroeconomic Models

International Policy Coordination in Dynamic Macroeconomic Models PDF Author: Gilles Oudiz
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic policy
Languages : en
Pages : 86

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Book Description
Recent analyses of the gains to policy coordination have focussed on the strategic aspects of macroeconomic policy making in a static setting. A major theme is that noncooperative policy making is likely to be Pareto inefficient because of the presence of beggar-thy-neighbor policies. This paper extends the analysis to a dynamic setting, thereby introducing three important points of realism to the static game. First, the payoffs to beggar-thy-neighbor policies look very different in one-period and multiperiod games, and thus so do the gains to coordination. Second, we show that policy coordination may reduce economic welfare if governments are nyopic in their policy making, as is sometimes claimed. Third, governments act under a fundamental constraint that they cannot bind the actions of later governments, and we investigate how this constraint alters the gains to policy coordination.

International Policy Coordination in a Dynamic Macroeconomic Model

International Policy Coordination in a Dynamic Macroeconomic Model PDF Author: Jeffrey Sachs
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic policy
Languages : en
Pages : 25

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Book Description
This paper illustrates the role for macroeconomic policy coordination when interdependent economies are pursuing disinflationary policies. Under flexible exchangerates, policy makers have an incentive to reduce inflation by pursuing contractionary policies that yield a currency appreciation. In a Nash, perfect foresight equilibrium, policy authorities in the model pursue contractionary policies to achieve currency appreciation, but these attempts cancel out, with the result that all countries end up pursuing excessively contractionary policies (relative to asymmetric Pareto optimum). The paper presents these resultsin a two-country, infinite-horizon difference game

Rules, Reputation and Macroeconomic Policy Coordination

Rules, Reputation and Macroeconomic Policy Coordination PDF Author: David A. Currie
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 052144196X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 441

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Book Description
In this book David Currie and Paul Levine address a broad range of issues concerning the design and conduct of macroeconomic policy in open economies. Adopting neo-Keynesian models for which monetary and fiscal policy have short-term real effects, they analyse active stabilisation policies in both a single- and multi-country context. Questions addressed include: the merits of simple policy rules, policy design in the face of uncertainty and international policy coordination. A central feature of the book is the treatment of credibility and the effect of a policy-maker's reputation for sticking to announced policies. These considerations are integrated with coordination issues to produce a unique synthesis. The volume develops optimal control methods and dynamic game theory to handle relationships between governments and a conscious rational private sector and produces a unified, coherent approach to the subject. This book will be of interest to students and teachers of open economy macroeconomics and to professional economists interested in using macroeconomic models to design policy.

International Economic Policy Coordination

International Economic Policy Coordination PDF Author: Centre for Economic Policy Research (Great Britain)
Publisher: CUP Archive
ISBN: 9780521337809
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 408

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Book Description
This volume presents some of the best current research on international economic policy coordination.

International Macroeconomic Modelling for Policy Decisions

International Macroeconomic Modelling for Policy Decisions PDF Author: P. Artus
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9400943474
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 268

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Book Description
This book is based on an international conference organised by the Applied Econo metric Association (AEA) on International Macroeconomic Modelling which was held in Brussels at the Commission of the European Communities in December 1983. On behalf of the Applied Econometric Association, we would like to extend our thanks to all participants and contributors. This conference would not have been possible without the cooperation and support of the Commission of the European Economic Communities and of its Directorate General for Economics and Financial Affairs (DGII) staff, in particular M. Emerson, A. Dramais, and also H. Serbat of the Paris Chamber of Commerce and Industry. Our thanks go also to J.P. Ancot for his constructive comments concerning the structure of this book. We are grateful to M. Russo, R. Maldague and Y. Ullmo for opening the con ference with their stimulating review and comments on the use of international macroeconomic models; and to R. Bird, A.M. Costa, A. Crockett, H. Guitton, J.C. Milleron, J. Paelinck, J. Waelbroeck for chairing the scientific sessions. P. Artus F. Gagey O. Guvenen vi INTRODUCTION The main focus of this book is to present recent developments in the construction and use of international macroeconometric models. Four main aspects are selected: (i) analysis of trade linkages and exchange rate determination; (ii) modelling and simulating the international economy; (iii) international policy coordination; (iv) the use of international macroeconomic models.

Macroeconomic models and the international coordination of fiscal and monetary policy

Macroeconomic models and the international coordination of fiscal and monetary policy PDF Author: Paul J. Besseling
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : nl
Pages :

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Book Description


International Macroeconomic Dynamics

International Macroeconomic Dynamics PDF Author: Stephen J. Turnovsky
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262201117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 514

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Book Description
International Macroeconomic Dynamics provides extensive applications of important macroeconomic dynamic models to the international economy. For a long time, the study of macroeconomics has focused almost exclusively on a closed economy and downplayed the role of international transactions. Today, however, researchers recognize that one cannot fully understand domestic macroeconomic relationships without considering the global economy within which each country operates. Increasingly, economists are treating international transactions as an integral part of the macroeconomic system, and international macroeconomics has become an area of intensive research activity. International Macroeconomic Dynamics provides extensive applications of important macroeconomic dynamic models to the international economy. It adopts the main contemporary macroeconomic framework, the representative agent model, and develops a series of models of increasing complexity. The author considers both small and large economies and analyzes them in both deterministic and stochastic contexts. The emphasis is very much on the development of the analytical models; a novel feature is the extensive use of continuous-time stochastic methods. While the author applies the models to a range of important policy issues, particularly issues of fiscal policy, the reader is invited to view the analyses as blueprints for other applications.

Macroeconomic Policy Coordination in Europe

Macroeconomic Policy Coordination in Europe PDF Author: Ray Barrell
Publisher: SAGE Publications Limited
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 308

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Book Description
This book is designed to contribute to this debate on monetary union in Europe by using large scale macroeconomic models of the world economy, including the OECD Interlink model and the widely used NiGEM model, to evaluate the EMU, the EMS and the floating exchange rate policies. Various modelling groups address the issues facing Europe and the implications for policy analysis.

International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination when Policy-makers Disagree on the Model

International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination when Policy-makers Disagree on the Model PDF Author: Jeffrey A. Frankel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Macroeconomics
Languages : en
Pages : 27

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Book Description


International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination When Policy-Makers Disa Gree on the Model

International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination When Policy-Makers Disa Gree on the Model PDF Author: K. E. Rockett
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 39

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Book Description
The existing literature on international macroeconomic policy coordination makes the unrealistic assumption that policy-makers all know the true model, from which it follows in general that the Nash bargaining solution is superior to the Nash non-cooperative solution. But everything changes once we recognize that policy-makers' models differ from each other and therefore from the "true" model. It is still true that the two countries will in general be able to agree on a cooperative policy package that each believes will improve the objective function relative to the Nash non-cooperative solution. However, the bargaining solution is as likely to move the target variables in the wrong direction as in the right direction, in the light of a third true model. This paper illustrates these theoretical points with monetary and fiscal multipliers taken from simulations of eight leading international econometric models. (It is a sequel to NBER Working Paper 1925, which considered coordination between the domestic monetary and fiscal authorities.) Here we first consider coordination between U.S. and non-U.S. central banks. We find that out of 512 possible combinations of models that could represent U.S. beliefs, non-U.S. beliefs and the true model, coordination improves U.S. welfare in only 289 cases, reducing it in 206, and improves the welfare of other OECD countries in only 297 cases, reducing it in 198. Then we consider coordination with both monetary and fiscal policy. We find that out of 512 combinations, coordination improves U.S. welfare in 183 cases, reducing it in 228, and improves the welfare of other OECD countries in 283 cases, reducing it in 219. A final section of the paper considers possible extensions of the framework, dealing with uncertainty