Inferential Models

Inferential Models PDF Author: Ryan Martin
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1439886512
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 274

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Book Description
A New Approach to Sound Statistical ReasoningInferential Models: Reasoning with Uncertainty introduces the authors' recently developed approach to inference: the inferential model (IM) framework. This logical framework for exact probabilistic inference does not require the user to input prior information. The authors show how an IM produces meaning

Inferential Models

Inferential Models PDF Author: Ryan Martin
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1439886512
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 274

Get Book Here

Book Description
A New Approach to Sound Statistical ReasoningInferential Models: Reasoning with Uncertainty introduces the authors' recently developed approach to inference: the inferential model (IM) framework. This logical framework for exact probabilistic inference does not require the user to input prior information. The authors show how an IM produces meaning

Models for Probability and Statistical Inference

Models for Probability and Statistical Inference PDF Author: James H. Stapleton
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470183403
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 466

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Book Description
This concise, yet thorough, book is enhanced with simulations and graphs to build the intuition of readers Models for Probability and Statistical Inference was written over a five-year period and serves as a comprehensive treatment of the fundamentals of probability and statistical inference. With detailed theoretical coverage found throughout the book, readers acquire the fundamentals needed to advance to more specialized topics, such as sampling, linear models, design of experiments, statistical computing, survival analysis, and bootstrapping. Ideal as a textbook for a two-semester sequence on probability and statistical inference, early chapters provide coverage on probability and include discussions of: discrete models and random variables; discrete distributions including binomial, hypergeometric, geometric, and Poisson; continuous, normal, gamma, and conditional distributions; and limit theory. Since limit theory is usually the most difficult topic for readers to master, the author thoroughly discusses modes of convergence of sequences of random variables, with special attention to convergence in distribution. The second half of the book addresses statistical inference, beginning with a discussion on point estimation and followed by coverage of consistency and confidence intervals. Further areas of exploration include: distributions defined in terms of the multivariate normal, chi-square, t, and F (central and non-central); the one- and two-sample Wilcoxon test, together with methods of estimation based on both; linear models with a linear space-projection approach; and logistic regression. Each section contains a set of problems ranging in difficulty from simple to more complex, and selected answers as well as proofs to almost all statements are provided. An abundant amount of figures in addition to helpful simulations and graphs produced by the statistical package S-Plus(r) are included to help build the intuition of readers.

Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Technology

Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Technology PDF Author: Ángel Nepomuceno-Fernández
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030327221
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 502

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Book Description
This book discusses how scientific and other types of cognition make use of models, abduction, and explanatory reasoning in order to produce important and innovative changes in theories and concepts. Gathering revised contributions presented at the international conference on Model-Based Reasoning (MBR18), held on October 24–26 2018 in Seville, Spain, the book is divided into three main parts. The first focuses on models, reasoning, and representation. It highlights key theoretical concepts from an applied perspective, and addresses issues concerning information visualization, experimental methods, and design. The second part goes a step further, examining abduction, problem solving, and reasoning. The respective papers assess different types of reasoning, and discuss various concepts of inference and creativity and their relationship with experimental data. In turn, the third part reports on a number of epistemological and technological issues. By analyzing possible contradictions in modern research and describing representative case studies, this part is intended to foster new discussions and stimulate new ideas. All in all, the book provides researchers and graduate students in the fields of applied philosophy, epistemology, cognitive science, and artificial intelligence alike with an authoritative snapshot of the latest theories and applications of model-based reasoning.

A Dictionary of Media and Communication

A Dictionary of Media and Communication PDF Author: Daniel Chandler
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 019105755X
Category : Performing Arts
Languages : en
Pages : 722

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Book Description
The most accessible and up-to-date dictionary of its kind, this wide-ranging A-Z covers both interpersonal and mass communication, in all their myriad forms, encompassing advertising, digital culture, journalism, new media, telecommunications, and visual culture, among many other topics. This new edition includes over 200 new complete entries and revises hundreds of others, as well as including hundreds of new cross-references. The biographical appendix has also been fully cross-referenced to the rest of the text. This dictionary is an indispensable guide for undergraduate students on degree courses in media or communication studies, and also for those taking related subjects such as film studies, visual culture, and cultural studies.

An Introduction to Bayesian Inference, Methods and Computation

An Introduction to Bayesian Inference, Methods and Computation PDF Author: Nick Heard
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030828085
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 177

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Book Description
These lecture notes provide a rapid, accessible introduction to Bayesian statistical methods. The course covers the fundamental philosophy and principles of Bayesian inference, including the reasoning behind the prior/likelihood model construction synonymous with Bayesian methods, through to advanced topics such as nonparametrics, Gaussian processes and latent factor models. These advanced modelling techniques can easily be applied using computer code samples written in Python and Stan which are integrated into the main text. Importantly, the reader will learn methods for assessing model fit, and to choose between rival modelling approaches.

Statistical Inference via Data Science: A ModernDive into R and the Tidyverse

Statistical Inference via Data Science: A ModernDive into R and the Tidyverse PDF Author: Chester Ismay
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000763463
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 461

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Book Description
Statistical Inference via Data Science: A ModernDive into R and the Tidyverse provides a pathway for learning about statistical inference using data science tools widely used in industry, academia, and government. It introduces the tidyverse suite of R packages, including the ggplot2 package for data visualization, and the dplyr package for data wrangling. After equipping readers with just enough of these data science tools to perform effective exploratory data analyses, the book covers traditional introductory statistics topics like confidence intervals, hypothesis testing, and multiple regression modeling, while focusing on visualization throughout. Features: ● Assumes minimal prerequisites, notably, no prior calculus nor coding experience ● Motivates theory using real-world data, including all domestic flights leaving New York City in 2013, the Gapminder project, and the data journalism website, FiveThirtyEight.com ● Centers on simulation-based approaches to statistical inference rather than mathematical formulas ● Uses the infer package for "tidy" and transparent statistical inference to construct confidence intervals and conduct hypothesis tests via the bootstrap and permutation methods ● Provides all code and output embedded directly in the text; also available in the online version at moderndive.com This book is intended for individuals who would like to simultaneously start developing their data science toolbox and start learning about the inferential and modeling tools used in much of modern-day research. The book can be used in methods and data science courses and first courses in statistics, at both the undergraduate and graduate levels.

Inferential Network Analysis

Inferential Network Analysis PDF Author: Skyler J. Cranmer
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107158125
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 317

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Book Description
Pioneering introduction of unprecedented breadth and scope to inferential and statistical methods for network analysis.

A Formal Theory of Commonsense Psychology

A Formal Theory of Commonsense Psychology PDF Author: Andrew S. Gordon
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108509630
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 585

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Book Description
Commonsense psychology refers to the implicit theories that we all use to make sense of people's behavior in terms of their beliefs, goals, plans, and emotions. These are also the theories we employ when we anthropomorphize complex machines and computers as if they had humanlike mental lives. In order to successfully cooperate and communicate with people, these theories will need to be represented explicitly in future artificial intelligence systems. This book provides a large-scale logical formalization of commonsense psychology in support of humanlike artificial intelligence. It uses formal logic to encode the deep lexical semantics of the full breadth of psychological words and phrases, providing fourteen hundred axioms of first-order logic organized into twenty-nine commonsense psychology theories and sixteen background theories. This in-depth exploration of human commonsense reasoning for artificial intelligence researchers, linguists, and cognitive and social psychologists will serve as a foundation for the development of humanlike artificial intelligence.

Probability and Statistical Inference

Probability and Statistical Inference PDF Author: Miltiadis C. Mavrakakis
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 131536204X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 444

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Book Description
Probability and Statistical Inference: From Basic Principles to Advanced Models covers aspects of probability, distribution theory, and inference that are fundamental to a proper understanding of data analysis and statistical modelling. It presents these topics in an accessible manner without sacrificing mathematical rigour, bridging the gap between the many excellent introductory books and the more advanced, graduate-level texts. The book introduces and explores techniques that are relevant to modern practitioners, while being respectful to the history of statistical inference. It seeks to provide a thorough grounding in both the theory and application of statistics, with even the more abstract parts placed in the context of a practical setting. Features: •Complete introduction to mathematical probability, random variables, and distribution theory. •Concise but broad account of statistical modelling, covering topics such as generalised linear models, survival analysis, time series, and random processes. •Extensive discussion of the key concepts in classical statistics (point estimation, interval estimation, hypothesis testing) and the main techniques in likelihood-based inference. •Detailed introduction to Bayesian statistics and associated topics. •Practical illustration of some of the main computational methods used in modern statistical inference (simulation, boostrap, MCMC). This book is for students who have already completed a first course in probability and statistics, and now wish to deepen and broaden their understanding of the subject. It can serve as a foundation for advanced undergraduate or postgraduate courses. Our aim is to challenge and excite the more mathematically able students, while providing explanations of statistical concepts that are more detailed and approachable than those in advanced texts. This book is also useful for data scientists, researchers, and other applied practitioners who want to understand the theory behind the statistical methods used in their fields.

Inferential Problems in Survey Sampling

Inferential Problems in Survey Sampling PDF Author: Parimal Mukhopadhyay
Publisher: New Age International
ISBN: 9788122407549
Category : Demographic surveys
Languages : en
Pages : 266

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Book Description
This Book Provides A Comprehensive Account Of Survey Sampling Theory In Fixed Population Approach And Model Based Approach. After Making A Critical Review Of Different Results In Fixed Population Set Up It Shows How Super Population Models Can Be Exploited To Produce Optimal And Robust Sampling Strategies, Specially In Large Scale Sample Surveys. The Central Theme Of The Book Is The Use Of Super Population Models In Making Inference From Sample Surveys. The Book Also Gives Suitable Emphasis On Different Practical Aspects, Like Choice Of Sampling Designs, Variance Estimation, Different Replication And Resampling Procedures.The Author Has Taken Care To Presuppose Nothing More On The Part Of The Reader Than A First Course In Statistical Inference, Sampling Theory And Regression Analysis. He Has Systematically Arranged The Main Results, Supplied Short Proofs, Examples, Explanatory Notes And Remarks And Indicated Research Areas. The Book Will Be Very Useful To Researchers. The Survey Practitioners Will Also Find Some Part Of The Book Very Helpful.