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Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589064488
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 224
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Book Description
This paper examines contractionary currency crashes in developing countries. It explores the causes of India’s productivity surge around 1980, more than a decade before serious economic reforms were initiated. The paper finds evidence that the trigger may have been an attitudinal shift by the government in the early 1980s that, unlike the reforms of the 1990s, was pro-business rather than pro-market in character, favoring the interests of existing businesses rather than new entrants or consumers. A relatively small shift elicited a large productivity response, because India was far away from its income possibility frontier.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589064488
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 224
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Book Description
This paper examines contractionary currency crashes in developing countries. It explores the causes of India’s productivity surge around 1980, more than a decade before serious economic reforms were initiated. The paper finds evidence that the trigger may have been an attitudinal shift by the government in the early 1980s that, unlike the reforms of the 1990s, was pro-business rather than pro-market in character, favoring the interests of existing businesses rather than new entrants or consumers. A relatively small shift elicited a large productivity response, because India was far away from its income possibility frontier.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589064195
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 156
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Book Description
This first issue of IMF Staff Papers for 2005 contains 7 papers that discuss: whether output recovered after the Asian crisis; the value of a country's trading partners to its own economic growth; whether interdependence is a factor in understanding the spread of currency crises; can remittance payments from expatriates be a reliable source of capital for economic development?; total factor productivity; designing a VAT for the energy trade in Russia and Ukraine; and lastly, a discussion of the reasons for central bank intervention in ERM-I since 1993
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589064755
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 193
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Book Description
This last issue for 2005 comprises seven new papers, including a contribution to the journal's occasional Special Data Section about domestic debt markets in Sub-Saharan Africa, and also an in-depth look at the internal job market for entry-level economists at the IMF. The remaining articles cover toics as diverse as: modeling of asset markets, exchange rates in developing countries, international bank claims on Latin America, the effectiveness of "early warning" systems, and the use (by emerging market countries) of the IMF's Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS).
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589069102
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 296
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Book Description
This paper empirically evaluates four types of costs that may result from an international sovereign default: reputational costs, international trade exclusion costs, costs to the domestic economy through the financial system, and political costs to the authorities. It finds that the economic costs are generally significant but short-lived, and sometimes do not operate through conventional channels. The political consequences of a debt crisis, by contrast, seem to be particularly dire for incumbent governments and finance ministers, broadly in line with what happens in currency crises.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589068203
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 248
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Book Description
Studies of the impact of trade openness on growth are based either on crosscountry analysis—which lacks transparency—or case studies—which lack statistical rigor. This paper applies a transparent econometric method drawn from the treatment evaluation literature (matching estimators) to make the comparison between treated (that is, open) and control (that is, closed) countries explicit while remaining within a statistical framework. Matching estimators highlight that common cross-country evidence is based on rather far-fetched country comparisons, which stem from the lack of common support of treated and control countries in the covariate space. The paper therefore advocates paying more attention to appropriate sample restriction in crosscountry macro research.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589064478
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 196
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Book Description
This paper focuses on expectations for the American economy focused on the likelihood of secular stagnation, which continued to be debated throughout the post-war period. Concerns rose during the late 1960s and early 1970s about rapid population growth smothering the potential for economic growth in developing countries were contradicted when, during the mid- and late-1970s, fertility rates began to decline rapidly. In policy-oriented institutions (and in most businesses and individual decision making), policymaking decisions are often guided by projections and forward-looking indicators. The case of Michael Mussa has been one of great anticipation, and of great accomplishment, and all the early optimistic forecasts about him have turned out to be correct. Within the sphere of economics, undoubtedly the most famous and widely used forecast—one, incidentally, that thus far has often been incorrect—is that based on the Malthusian doctrine of the relationship between resources and population.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589067940
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 248
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Book Description
This special issue brings together world-renowned experts to provide a systematic and critical analysis of the costs and benefits of financial globalization. Contributors include Kenneth Rogoff, Maurice Obstfeld, Dani Rodrik, and Frederic S. Mishkin.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455211737
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 58
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Book Description
This paper highlights that central banks from Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru (the LA5 countries) reaped the benefits of what they sowed in successfully weathering the global crisis. The adoption of far-reaching institutional, policy, and operational reforms during the last two decades enabled central banks to build credibility about their commitment with the objective of price stability. Thus, when the 2007 - 08 supply shock and the financial crisis hit the world, the LA5 central banks reacted swiftly and effectively based on a flexible policy framework and with the support of strong macroeconomic and financial foundations. Building on the experience of the LA5 central banks and complementing with recommendations from the IMF’s technical advice, the paper provides several suggestions for countries seeking to strengthen the effectiveness of monetary policy.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589069110
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 288
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Book Description
Do highly indebted countries suffer from a debt overhang? Can debt relief foster their growth rates? To answer these important questions, this article looks at how the debt-growth relation varies with indebtedness levels, as well as with the quality of policies and institutions, in a panel of developing countries. The main findings are that, in countries with good policies and institutions, there is evidence of debt overhang when the net present value of debt rises above 20–25 percent of GDP; however, debt becomes irrelevant above 70–80 percent. In countries with bad policies and institutions, thresholds appear to be lower, but the evidence of debt overhang is weaker and we cannot rule out that debt is always irrelevant. Indeed, in such countries, as well as in countries with high indebtedness levels, investment does not depend on debt levels. The analysis suggests that not all countries are likely to profit from debt relief, and thus that a one-size-fits-all debt relief approach might not be the most appropriate one.
Author: Peterson Institute for International Economics
Publisher: Peterson Institute
ISBN: 9780881324044
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 260
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Book Description
Perhaps the most popular of all Institute products, selected Working Papers are now available in a print format. These papers contain the preliminary results of ongoing Institute research. The book covers a wide range of topics including offshoring, central banks, Eurasian growth, Europe, and international reserves. Included in the book are papers by Edwin M. Truman, Adam Posen, J. Bradford Jensen, Anders slund, C. Randall Henning, and Jacob Kirkegaard. Volume II contains papers from 2006. Future volumes will be published on a semi-regular schedule as material is available.
