Applied Uncertainty Analysis for Flood Risk Management PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Applied Uncertainty Analysis for Flood Risk Management PDF full book. Access full book title Applied Uncertainty Analysis for Flood Risk Management by Keith Beven. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Keith Beven
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 1783263121
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 684
Get Book
Book Description
This volume provides an introduction for flood risk management practitioners, up-to-date methods for analysis of uncertainty and its use in risk-based decision making. It addresses decision making for both short-term (real-time forecasting) and long-term (flood risk planning under change) situations. It aims primarily at technical practitioners involved in flood risk analysis and flood warning, including hydrologists, engineers, flood modelers, risk analysts and those involved in the design and operation of flood warning systems. Many experienced practitioners are now expected to modify their way of working to fit into the new philosophy of flood risk management. This volume helps them to undertake that task with appropriate attention to the surrounding uncertainties. The book will also interest and benefit researchers and graduate students hoping to improve their knowledge of modern uncertainty analysis. Contents:Introduction:Flood Risk Management: Decision Making Under Uncertainty (Jim W Hall)Use of Models in Flood Risk Management (Keith Beven)Theoretical Perspectives:A Framework for Uncertainty Analysis (Keith Beven)Classical Approaches for Statistical Inference in Model Calibration with Uncertainty (R E Chandler)Formal Bayes Methods for Model Calibration with Uncertainty (Jonathan Rougier)The GLUE Methodology for Model Calibration with Uncertainty (Keith Beven)Uncertainties in Flood Modelling and Risk Analysis:Uncertainty in Rainfall Inputs (R E Chandler, V S Isham, P J Northrop, H S Wheater, C J Onof and N A Leith)Uncertainty in Flood Frequency Analysis (Thomas R Kjeldsen, Rob Lamb and Sarka D Blazkova)Minimising Uncertainty in Statistical Analysis of Extreme Values (C Keef)Uncertainty in Flood Inundation Modelling (Paul D Bates, Florian Pappenberger and Renata J Romanowicz)Flood Defence Reliability Analysis (Pieter van Gelder and Han Vrijling)Uncertainties in Flood Modelling in Urban Areas (Slobodan Djordjević, Zoran Vojinović, Richard Dawson and Dragan A Savić)The Many Uncertainties in Flood Loss Assessments (John Chatterton, Edmund Penning-Rowsell and Sally Priest)Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of Current and Future Flood Risk in the Thames Estuary (Jim W Hall, Hamish Harvey and Owen Tarrant)Uncertainties in Real-Time Flood Forecasting:Operational Hydrologic Ensemble Forecasting (Albrecht H Weerts, Dong-Jun Seo, Micha Werner and John Schaake)A Data-Based Mechanistic Modelling Approach to Real-Time Flood Forecasting (Peter C Young, Renata J Romanowicz and Keith Beven)Uncertainty Estimation in Fluvial Flood Forecasting Applications (Kevin Sene, Albrecht H Weerts, Keith Beven, Robert J Moore, Chris Whitlow, Stefan Laeger and Richard Cross)Case Study: Decision Making for Flood Forecasting in the US National Weather Service (Robert Hartman and John Schaake)Quantifying and Reducing Uncertainties in Operational Forecasting: Examples from the Delft FEWS Forecasting System (Micha Werner, Paolo Reggiani and Albrecht H Weerts)Real-Time Coastal Flood Forecasting (Kevin Horsburgh and Jonathan Flowerdew)Uncertainties in Long-Term Change in Flood Risk:Detecting Long-Term Change in Flood Risk (Cíntia B Uvo and Robin T Clarke)Detecting Changes in Winter Precipitation Extremes and Fluvial Flood Risk (Robert L Wilby, Hayley J Fowler and Bill Donovan)Flood Risk in Eastern Australia — Climate Variability and Change (Stewart W Franks)Communicating Uncertainties:Translating Uncertainty in Flood Risk Science (Hazel Faulkner, Meghan Alexander and David Leedal) Readership: Hydrologists, civil engineers, meteorologists, flood risk managers, environmental scientists, hydraulic engineers and consultants. Key Features:Dedicated to the important problem of uncertainty in flood risk analysisTakes an applied perspective with a range of case studiesProvides a comprehensive coverage of uncertainties in flood risk analysis, including flood forecasting, simulation modeling and impacts assessmentKeywords:Floods;Flood Risk Management;Uncertainty Estimation;Flood Frequency;Rainfall Models
Author: Keith Beven
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 1783263121
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 684
Get Book
Book Description
This volume provides an introduction for flood risk management practitioners, up-to-date methods for analysis of uncertainty and its use in risk-based decision making. It addresses decision making for both short-term (real-time forecasting) and long-term (flood risk planning under change) situations. It aims primarily at technical practitioners involved in flood risk analysis and flood warning, including hydrologists, engineers, flood modelers, risk analysts and those involved in the design and operation of flood warning systems. Many experienced practitioners are now expected to modify their way of working to fit into the new philosophy of flood risk management. This volume helps them to undertake that task with appropriate attention to the surrounding uncertainties. The book will also interest and benefit researchers and graduate students hoping to improve their knowledge of modern uncertainty analysis. Contents:Introduction:Flood Risk Management: Decision Making Under Uncertainty (Jim W Hall)Use of Models in Flood Risk Management (Keith Beven)Theoretical Perspectives:A Framework for Uncertainty Analysis (Keith Beven)Classical Approaches for Statistical Inference in Model Calibration with Uncertainty (R E Chandler)Formal Bayes Methods for Model Calibration with Uncertainty (Jonathan Rougier)The GLUE Methodology for Model Calibration with Uncertainty (Keith Beven)Uncertainties in Flood Modelling and Risk Analysis:Uncertainty in Rainfall Inputs (R E Chandler, V S Isham, P J Northrop, H S Wheater, C J Onof and N A Leith)Uncertainty in Flood Frequency Analysis (Thomas R Kjeldsen, Rob Lamb and Sarka D Blazkova)Minimising Uncertainty in Statistical Analysis of Extreme Values (C Keef)Uncertainty in Flood Inundation Modelling (Paul D Bates, Florian Pappenberger and Renata J Romanowicz)Flood Defence Reliability Analysis (Pieter van Gelder and Han Vrijling)Uncertainties in Flood Modelling in Urban Areas (Slobodan Djordjević, Zoran Vojinović, Richard Dawson and Dragan A Savić)The Many Uncertainties in Flood Loss Assessments (John Chatterton, Edmund Penning-Rowsell and Sally Priest)Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of Current and Future Flood Risk in the Thames Estuary (Jim W Hall, Hamish Harvey and Owen Tarrant)Uncertainties in Real-Time Flood Forecasting:Operational Hydrologic Ensemble Forecasting (Albrecht H Weerts, Dong-Jun Seo, Micha Werner and John Schaake)A Data-Based Mechanistic Modelling Approach to Real-Time Flood Forecasting (Peter C Young, Renata J Romanowicz and Keith Beven)Uncertainty Estimation in Fluvial Flood Forecasting Applications (Kevin Sene, Albrecht H Weerts, Keith Beven, Robert J Moore, Chris Whitlow, Stefan Laeger and Richard Cross)Case Study: Decision Making for Flood Forecasting in the US National Weather Service (Robert Hartman and John Schaake)Quantifying and Reducing Uncertainties in Operational Forecasting: Examples from the Delft FEWS Forecasting System (Micha Werner, Paolo Reggiani and Albrecht H Weerts)Real-Time Coastal Flood Forecasting (Kevin Horsburgh and Jonathan Flowerdew)Uncertainties in Long-Term Change in Flood Risk:Detecting Long-Term Change in Flood Risk (Cíntia B Uvo and Robin T Clarke)Detecting Changes in Winter Precipitation Extremes and Fluvial Flood Risk (Robert L Wilby, Hayley J Fowler and Bill Donovan)Flood Risk in Eastern Australia — Climate Variability and Change (Stewart W Franks)Communicating Uncertainties:Translating Uncertainty in Flood Risk Science (Hazel Faulkner, Meghan Alexander and David Leedal) Readership: Hydrologists, civil engineers, meteorologists, flood risk managers, environmental scientists, hydraulic engineers and consultants. Key Features:Dedicated to the important problem of uncertainty in flood risk analysisTakes an applied perspective with a range of case studiesProvides a comprehensive coverage of uncertainties in flood risk analysis, including flood forecasting, simulation modeling and impacts assessmentKeywords:Floods;Flood Risk Management;Uncertainty Estimation;Flood Frequency;Rainfall Models
Author: Wing-Huen Ip
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814479632
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 312
Get Book
Book Description
Advances in Geosciences is the result of a concerted effort in bringing the latest results and planning activities related to earth and space science in Asia and the international arena. The volume editors are all leading scientists in their research fields covering five sections: Solid Earth (SE), Solar Terrestrial (ST), Planetary Science (PS), Hydrological Science (HS), and Oceans and Atmospheres (OA). The main purpose is to highlight the scientific issues essential to the study of earthquakes, tsunamis, climate change, drought, flood, typhoons, space weathers, and planetary exploration. This volume is abstracted in NASA's Astrophysics Data System: http://ads.harvard.edu Contents:Volume 1: Solid Earth (SE) Source Process of the 2004 Sumatra–Andaman Earthquake (L S XU & Y T Chen)Fuzzy Logic Model for Multi-Reservoir Operation (S Mohan & M A Prasad)Test of Inner Core Super Rotation Using Gravity Variation (W Shen & J Ning)The Earth-Mantle Model Using a Seismogram Analysis on Halmahera Earthquake C112597C with the PMG Observation Station (B J Santosa)GPS Estimate of the Tectonic Activity and Deformation in North China (C Xu & Z Li)Large-Scale Silicic Volcanism — The Result of Thermal Maturation of the Crust (S de Silva et al.)and other papersVolume 2: Solar Terrestrial (ST)Solar Coronal Plumes: Theoretical Concepts and Results (M Cuntz)Observational Study of Solar Magnetic Active Phenomena by Huairou Vector Magnetograph (H Zhang)Sector Boundary Crossings and Geomagnetic Activities (S Watari & T Watanabe)Aurora-Associated Phenomena and the ePOP Mission (L M Kagan)Ultra Long Range Aircraft Operations and Space Weather (I L Getley & M L Duldig)Link Between Cosmic Rays and Clouds on Different Time Scales (I G Usoskin & G A Kovaltsov)Effects of Typhoon on the Ionosphere (Y-M Liu et al.)A Mission Called SAPPORO (W-H Ip et al.)and other papersVolume 3: Planetary Science (PS)Review of Mariner 10 Observations: Mercury Surface Impact Processes (C R Chapman)On the Dynamics of Charged Particles in the Magnetosphere of Mercury (D C Delcourt & K Seki)Neutral Atom Emission from Mercury (A Mura et al.)Diagnosing the Mercury Plasma Environment Using Low-Frequency Electric Field Measurements (L G Blomberg & J A Cumnock)Low Energy Ion Observation by Mercury Magnetospheric Orbiter: MMO (Y Saito et al.)Ice on the Moon and Mercury (D H Crider et al.)The Bulk Density of Cometary Nuclei (B J R Davidsson)A Mission Called SAPPORO (W-H Ip et al.)and other papersVolume 4: Hydrological Science (HS)Simulation Korea Summer Monsoon Rainfall with NCAR Regional Climate Model (F P Singh et al.)Urban Flood Analysis with Underground Space (K Toda et al.)Climate Variability and Drought in Rajasthan (A Goel & R B Singh)Modeling of Floodplain Inundation Process in Low-Lying Areas (P T Hai et al.)Oxygen Transfer by Flow Characteristics at Stepped Drop Structure (J-H Kim)Inter and Intra Neuronal Systems for Reservoir Operation (R B Varadharajan)Sensitivity Analysis for Optimization Model for Coastal Groundwater (S-H Hong & N Park)and other papersVolume 5: Oceans and Atmospheres (OA)Sabah Shoreline Management Plan (F Jakobsen et al.)Potential for Sulfide Mineral Deposits in Australian Waters (T F McConachy)Local to Long-Range Dust Transport over Central Eastern Australia (M S Speer & L M Leslie)Interannual Variations in Pacific SST Deviations through AVHRR (J Yu & P Gloersen)An Investigation of Winter Rainfall and Snowfall in the Mountain and Coast (H Choi)Impact of Regional Circulation and Heat Budget to Tropical Night (H Choi & D S Choi)and other papers Readership: Academics, researchers and postgraduate students in geosciences.Keywords:Planetary Science;Atmosphere;Ionosphere;Magnetosphere
Author: Paul D. Bates
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780470843598
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 548
Get Book
Book Description
Uniquely outlines CFD theory in a manner relevant to environmental applications. This book addresses the basic topics in CFD modelling in a thematic manner to provided the necessary theoretical background, as well as providing global cases studies showing how CFD models can be used in practice demonstrating how good practice can be achieved, with reference to both established and new applications. First book to apply CFD to the environmental sciences Written at a level suitable for non-mathematicians
Author: Praveen Kumar
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000611582
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 619
Get Book
Book Description
Modern hydrology is more interdisciplinary than ever. Staggering amounts and varieties of information pour in from GIS and remote sensing systems every day, and this information must be collected, interpreted, and shared efficiently. Hydroinformatics: Data Integrative Approaches in Computation, Analysis, and Modeling introduces the tools, approache
Author: Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319419234
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 418
Get Book
Book Description
This pioneering book addresses the entirety of river flooding issues in the Upper Vistula Basin, where considerable flood generation potential exists. It analyses the factors influencing flood risk, investigates variations in observation records and discusses projections for the future and adaptation to changing risk. It serves the general interest in understanding the floods that cause massive destruction in Europe, with dozens of fatalities and tremendous material damages. This interdisciplinary book, which covers aspects of climatology, geomorphology, hydrology, and water and flood risk management, unveils the complexity of the current situation. Access to reliable and accurate information can help solve important practical problems related to flood risk reduction strategies, and is at the core of the EU Floods Directive. As such, the book offers a valuable resource for scientists, educators and practitioners involved in water management, natural disaster reduction and adaptation to climate change.
Author: Saeid Eslamian
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0128219521
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 422
Get Book
Book Description
Handbook of HydroInformatics Volume III: Water Data Management Best Practices presents the latest and most updated data processing techniques that are fundamental to Water Science and Engineering disciplines. These include a wide range of the new methods that are used in hydro-modeling such as Atmospheric Teleconnection Pattern, CONUS-Scale Hydrologic Modeling, Copula Function, Decision Support System, Downscaling Methods, Dynamic System Modeling, Economic Impacts and Models, Geostatistics and Geospatial Frameworks, Hydrologic Similarity Indices, Hydropower/Renewable Energy Models, Sediment Transport Dynamics Advanced Models, Social Data Mining, and Wavelet Transforms. This volume is an example of true interdisciplinary work. The audience includes postgraduates and above interested in Water Science, Geotechnical Engineering, Soil Science, Civil Engineering, Chemical Engineering, Computer Engineering, Engineering, Applied Science, Earth and Geoscience, Atmospheric Science, Geography, Environment Science, Natural Resources, Mathematical Science, and Social Sciences. It is a fully comprehensive handbook which provides all the information needed related to the best practices for managing water data. Contributions from global experts in the fields of data management research, climate change and resilience, insufficient data problem, etc. Thorough applied examples and case studies in each chapter, providing the reader with real world scenarios for comparison. Includes a wide range of new methods that are used in hydro-modeling, with step-by-step guides on how to use them.
Author: Gasmelseid, Tagelsir Mohamed
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 1615209085
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 618
Get Book
Book Description
"This book provides relevant theoretical frameworks and empirical research findings in the area hydroinformatics to assist professionals to improve their understanding of the development and use of decision support tools to support decision making and integrated water management at different organizational levels and domains"--Provided by publisher.
Author: Praveen Kumar
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 9780849328947
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 552
Get Book
Book Description
Modern hydrology is more interdisciplinary than ever. Staggering amounts and varieties of information pour in from GIS and remote sensing systems every day, and this information must be collected, interpreted, and shared efficiently. Hydroinformatics: Data Integrative Approaches in Computation, Analysis, and Modeling introduces the tools, approaches, and system considerations necessary to take full advantage of the abundant hydrological data available today. Linking hydrological science with computer engineering, networking, and database science, this book lays a pedagogical foundation in the concepts underlying developments in hydroinformatics. It begins with an introduction to data representation through Unified Modeling Language (UML), followed by digital libraries, metadata, the basics of data models, and Modelshed, a new hydrological data model. Building on this platform, the book discusses integrating and managing diverse data in large datasets, data communication issues such as XML and Grid computing, the basic principles of data processing and analysis including feature extraction and spatial registration, and modern methods of soft computing such as neural networks and genetic algorithms. Today, hydrological data are increasingly rich, complex, and multidimensional. Providing a thorough compendium of techniques and methodologies, Hydroinformatics: Data Integrative Approaches in Computation, Analysis, and Modeling is the first reference to supply the tools necessary to confront these challenges successfully.
Author: Roland K. Price
Publisher: IWA Publishing
ISBN: 1843392747
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 553
Get Book
Book Description
This book is an introduction to hydroinformatics applied to urban water management. It shows how to make the best use of information and communication technologies for manipulating information to manage water in the urban environment. The book covers the acquisition and analysis of data from urban water systems to instantiate mathematical models or calculations, which describe identified physical processes. The models are operated within prescribed management procedures to inform decision makers, who are responsible to recognized stakeholders. The application is to the major components of the urban water environment, namely water supply, treatment and distribution, wastewater and stormwater collection, treatment and impact on receiving waters, and groundwater and urban flooding. Urban Hydroinformatics pays particular attention to modeling, decision support through procedures, economics and management, and implementation in both developed and developing countries. The book is written with post-graduates, researchers and practicing engineers who are involved in urban water management and want to improve the scope and reliability of their systems.
Author: M. G. Anderson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Hydrology
Languages : en
Pages : 776
Get Book
Book Description
