GARCH Option Pricing of Illiquid Foreign Currencies

GARCH Option Pricing of Illiquid Foreign Currencies PDF Author: Malefane Harry Molibeli
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange rates
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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GARCH Option Pricing of Illiquid Foreign Currencies

GARCH Option Pricing of Illiquid Foreign Currencies PDF Author: Malefane Harry Molibeli
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange rates
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description


Pricing Foreign Currency and Cross-Currency Options Under GARCH.

Pricing Foreign Currency and Cross-Currency Options Under GARCH. PDF Author: Jin-Chuan Duan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
This paper generalizes the GARCH option pricing methodology in Duan (1995, Mathematical Finance) to a two-country setting. Specifically, we assume a bivariate nonlinear GARCH system for the exchange rate and the foreign asset price, and generalize the local risk-neutral valuation relationship in Duan (1995). We derive the equilibrium GARCH processes for the exchange rate and the foreign asset price in the two-country economy. Foreign currency options and cross-currency options can then be valued using the well-known risk-neutral valuation technique. Our setup allows rich empirical regularities such as stochastic volatility, fat tails, and the so-called leverage effect. We also run simulations to price quanto options and find that when the true environment is GARCH a constant variance model is not reliable in most cases. The proposed equilibrium valuation framework to price foreign currency and cross-currency options is the first of its kind in the literature.

Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework

Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework PDF Author: Romain Lafarguette
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513569406
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 33

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Book Description
This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.

Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion

Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion PDF Author: Jens Carsten Jackwerth
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Liquidity and Asset Prices

Liquidity and Asset Prices PDF Author: Yakov Amihud
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1933019123
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 109

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Book Description
Liquidity and Asset Prices reviews the literature that studies the relationship between liquidity and asset prices. The authors review the theoretical literature that predicts how liquidity affects a security's required return and discuss the empirical connection between the two. Liquidity and Asset Prices surveys the theory of liquidity-based asset pricing followed by the empirical evidence. The theory section proceeds from basic models with exogenous holding periods to those that incorporate additional elements of risk and endogenous holding periods. The empirical section reviews the evidence on the liquidity premium for stocks, bonds, and other financial assets.

Dynamic Hedging

Dynamic Hedging PDF Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471152804
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 536

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Book Description
Destined to become a market classic, Dynamic Hedging is the only practical reference in exotic options hedgingand arbitrage for professional traders and money managers Watch the professionals. From central banks to brokerages to multinationals, institutional investors are flocking to a new generation of exotic and complex options contracts and derivatives. But the promise of ever larger profits also creates the potential for catastrophic trading losses. Now more than ever, the key to trading derivatives lies in implementing preventive risk management techniques that plan for and avoid these appalling downturns. Unlike other books that offer risk management for corporate treasurers, Dynamic Hedging targets the real-world needs of professional traders and money managers. Written by a leading options trader and derivatives risk advisor to global banks and exchanges, this book provides a practical, real-world methodology for monitoring and managing all the risks associated with portfolio management. Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the founder of Empirica Capital LLC, a hedge fund operator, and a fellow at the Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences of New York University. He has held a variety of senior derivative trading positions in New York and London and worked as an independent floor trader in Chicago. Dr. Taleb was inducted in February 2001 in the Derivatives Strategy Hall of Fame. He received an MBA from the Wharton School and a Ph.D. from University Paris-Dauphine.

Official Foreign Exchange Intervention

Official Foreign Exchange Intervention PDF Author: Mr.Jorge Iván Canales Kriljenko
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589064218
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 58

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Book Description
Despite increasing exchange rate flexibility, central banks in emerging markets still intervene in their foreign exchange markets for several reasons. In doing so, they face many operational questions, including on the degree of transparency and the choice of markets and counterparties. This paper identifies elements of best practice in official foreign exchange intervention, presents survey evidence on intervention practices in developing countries, and assesses the effectiveness of intervention in Mexico and Turkey.

The Complete Guide to Option Pricing Formulas

The Complete Guide to Option Pricing Formulas PDF Author: Espen Gaarder Haug
Publisher: Professional Finance & Investment
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 586

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Book Description
Accompanying CD-ROM contains ... "all pricing formulas, with VBA code and ready-to-use Excel spreadsheets and 3D charts for Greeks (or Option Sensitivities)."--Jacket.

Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management

Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management PDF Author: Söhnke M. Bartram
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN: 195292703X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 95

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Book Description
Artificial intelligence (AI) has grown in presence in asset management and has revolutionized the sector in many ways. It has improved portfolio management, trading, and risk management practices by increasing efficiency, accuracy, and compliance. In particular, AI techniques help construct portfolios based on more accurate risk and return forecasts and more complex constraints. Trading algorithms use AI to devise novel trading signals and execute trades with lower transaction costs. AI also improves risk modeling and forecasting by generating insights from new data sources. Finally, robo-advisors owe a large part of their success to AI techniques. Yet the use of AI can also create new risks and challenges, such as those resulting from model opacity, complexity, and reliance on data integrity.

Financial Derivatives Pricing: Selected Works Of Robert Jarrow

Financial Derivatives Pricing: Selected Works Of Robert Jarrow PDF Author: Robert A Jarrow
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814470635
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 609

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Book Description
This book is a collection of original papers by Robert Jarrow that contributed to significant advances in financial economics. Divided into three parts, Part I concerns option pricing theory and its foundations. The papers here deal with the famous Black-Scholes-Merton model, characterizations of the American put option, and the first applications of arbitrage pricing theory to market manipulation and liquidity risk.Part II relates to pricing derivatives under stochastic interest rates. Included is the paper introducing the famous Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) model, together with papers on topics like the characterization of the difference between forward and futures prices, the forward price martingale measure, and applications of the HJM model to foreign currencies and commodities.Part III deals with the pricing of financial derivatives considering both stochastic interest rates and the likelihood of default. Papers cover the reduced form credit risk model, in particular the original Jarrow and Turnbull model, the Markov model for credit rating transitions, counterparty risk, and diversifiable default risk.