Author: Walter A Friedman
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691159114
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 288
Book Description
A gripping history of the pioneers who sought to use science to predict financial markets The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic forecasters, pioneers who sought to use the tools of science to predict the future, with the aim of profiting from their forecasts. This book chronicles the lives and careers of the men who defined this first wave of economic fortune tellers, men such as Roger Babson, Irving Fisher, John Moody, C. J. Bullock, and Warren Persons. They competed to sell their distinctive methods of prediction to investors and businesses, and thrived in the boom years that followed World War I. Yet, almost to a man, they failed to predict the devastating crash of 1929. Walter Friedman paints vivid portraits of entrepreneurs who shared a belief that the rational world of numbers and reason could tame--or at least foresee--the irrational gyrations of the market. Despite their failures, this first generation of economic forecasters helped to make the prediction of economic trends a central economic activity, and shed light on the mechanics of financial markets by providing a range of statistics and information about individual firms. They also raised questions that are still relevant today. What is science and what is merely guesswork in forecasting? What motivates people to buy forecasts? Does the act of forecasting set in motion unforeseen events that can counteract the forecast made? Masterful and compelling, Fortune Tellers highlights the risk and uncertainty that are inherent to capitalism itself.
Fortune Tellers
Author: Walter A Friedman
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691159114
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 288
Book Description
A gripping history of the pioneers who sought to use science to predict financial markets The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic forecasters, pioneers who sought to use the tools of science to predict the future, with the aim of profiting from their forecasts. This book chronicles the lives and careers of the men who defined this first wave of economic fortune tellers, men such as Roger Babson, Irving Fisher, John Moody, C. J. Bullock, and Warren Persons. They competed to sell their distinctive methods of prediction to investors and businesses, and thrived in the boom years that followed World War I. Yet, almost to a man, they failed to predict the devastating crash of 1929. Walter Friedman paints vivid portraits of entrepreneurs who shared a belief that the rational world of numbers and reason could tame--or at least foresee--the irrational gyrations of the market. Despite their failures, this first generation of economic forecasters helped to make the prediction of economic trends a central economic activity, and shed light on the mechanics of financial markets by providing a range of statistics and information about individual firms. They also raised questions that are still relevant today. What is science and what is merely guesswork in forecasting? What motivates people to buy forecasts? Does the act of forecasting set in motion unforeseen events that can counteract the forecast made? Masterful and compelling, Fortune Tellers highlights the risk and uncertainty that are inherent to capitalism itself.
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691159114
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 288
Book Description
A gripping history of the pioneers who sought to use science to predict financial markets The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic forecasters, pioneers who sought to use the tools of science to predict the future, with the aim of profiting from their forecasts. This book chronicles the lives and careers of the men who defined this first wave of economic fortune tellers, men such as Roger Babson, Irving Fisher, John Moody, C. J. Bullock, and Warren Persons. They competed to sell their distinctive methods of prediction to investors and businesses, and thrived in the boom years that followed World War I. Yet, almost to a man, they failed to predict the devastating crash of 1929. Walter Friedman paints vivid portraits of entrepreneurs who shared a belief that the rational world of numbers and reason could tame--or at least foresee--the irrational gyrations of the market. Despite their failures, this first generation of economic forecasters helped to make the prediction of economic trends a central economic activity, and shed light on the mechanics of financial markets by providing a range of statistics and information about individual firms. They also raised questions that are still relevant today. What is science and what is merely guesswork in forecasting? What motivates people to buy forecasts? Does the act of forecasting set in motion unforeseen events that can counteract the forecast made? Masterful and compelling, Fortune Tellers highlights the risk and uncertainty that are inherent to capitalism itself.
Fortune-Telling Book of Dreams
Author: Chronicle Books
Publisher: Chronicle Books
ISBN: 0811870723
Category : Body, Mind & Spirit
Languages : en
Pages : 205
Book Description
A handy little reference guide packed with information to help you predict your future through interpreting your dreams. Inspired by a vintage book, this delightful guide deciphers dreams to predict the future. It compiles more than one thousand dream symbols and reveals what they portend for the dreamer. This handy little book is irresistible to pick up; its content is so compelling, it’s impossible to put down.
Publisher: Chronicle Books
ISBN: 0811870723
Category : Body, Mind & Spirit
Languages : en
Pages : 205
Book Description
A handy little reference guide packed with information to help you predict your future through interpreting your dreams. Inspired by a vintage book, this delightful guide deciphers dreams to predict the future. It compiles more than one thousand dream symbols and reveals what they portend for the dreamer. This handy little book is irresistible to pick up; its content is so compelling, it’s impossible to put down.
The Golden Book of Fortune-Telling
Author: K.C. Jones
Publisher: Chronicle Books
ISBN: 1452158193
Category : Body, Mind & Spirit
Languages : en
Pages : 370
Book Description
A compendium of fun and entertaining ways to understand your future, taken from entries in the bestselling Fortune-Telling series. In this book lie the answers to your future. Reveal the meanings of your name, birthday, zodiac sign, and dreams. Unveil the significance of your color choices, friendships, and love interests. Discover what is foretold, learn to read auspicious omens, and divine the gift of attracting good fortune. Consult The Golden Book of Fortune-Telling and uncover the wisdom of the ages—and the power to shape your destiny.
Publisher: Chronicle Books
ISBN: 1452158193
Category : Body, Mind & Spirit
Languages : en
Pages : 370
Book Description
A compendium of fun and entertaining ways to understand your future, taken from entries in the bestselling Fortune-Telling series. In this book lie the answers to your future. Reveal the meanings of your name, birthday, zodiac sign, and dreams. Unveil the significance of your color choices, friendships, and love interests. Discover what is foretold, learn to read auspicious omens, and divine the gift of attracting good fortune. Consult The Golden Book of Fortune-Telling and uncover the wisdom of the ages—and the power to shape your destiny.
Fortune-Telling Birthday Book
Author: Chronicle Books
Publisher: Chronicle Books
ISBN: 081187074X
Category : Body, Mind & Spirit
Languages : en
Pages : 205
Book Description
Discover the meaning behind your birthday, identify your ideal mate, and more with this handy little guide. Forget cookies and crystal balls—this little book has a personalized fortune for you and everyone you love. Harkening back to the 1930s, the nostalgic illustrations in the Fortune-Telling Birthday Book accompany a perennial calendar for you to keep track of (and interpret) the birthdays of all your friends and family. Other traditions and folklore are also included—birthstones and their meanings, astrological signs, ideal mates, flowers of the month, and anniversary symbols.
Publisher: Chronicle Books
ISBN: 081187074X
Category : Body, Mind & Spirit
Languages : en
Pages : 205
Book Description
Discover the meaning behind your birthday, identify your ideal mate, and more with this handy little guide. Forget cookies and crystal balls—this little book has a personalized fortune for you and everyone you love. Harkening back to the 1930s, the nostalgic illustrations in the Fortune-Telling Birthday Book accompany a perennial calendar for you to keep track of (and interpret) the birthdays of all your friends and family. Other traditions and folklore are also included—birthstones and their meanings, astrological signs, ideal mates, flowers of the month, and anniversary symbols.
Fortune Tellers
Author: Lucy BOWMAN
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781474927994
Category : Family & Relationships
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
Create 80 unique fortune tellers, a form of origami used in children's games, with this beautifully illustrated, tear-out pad. There are fortune tellers on lots of different themes, including the circus, robots and dreams, plus blank sheets for children to invent their own games. Perfect for playing alone or with friends and family.
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781474927994
Category : Family & Relationships
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
Create 80 unique fortune tellers, a form of origami used in children's games, with this beautifully illustrated, tear-out pad. There are fortune tellers on lots of different themes, including the circus, robots and dreams, plus blank sheets for children to invent their own games. Perfect for playing alone or with friends and family.
Plight of the Fortune Tellers
Author: Riccardo Rebonato
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400824370
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 303
Book Description
Today's top financial-risk professionals have come to rely on ever-more sophisticated mathematics in their attempts to come to grips with financial risk. But this excessive reliance on quantitative precision is misleading--and it puts us all at risk. This is the case that Riccardo Rebonato makes in Plight of the Fortune Tellers--and coming from someone who is both an experienced market professional and an academic, this heresy is worth listening to. Rebonato forcefully argues that we must restore genuine decision making to our financial planning, and he shows us how to do it using probability, experimental psychology, and decision theory. This is the only way to effectively manage financial risk in a manner congruent with how human beings actually react to chance. Rebonato challenges us to rethink the standard wisdom about probability in financial-risk management. Risk managers have become obsessed with measuring risk and believe that these quantitative results by themselves can guide sound financial choices--but they can't. In this book, Rebonato offers a radical yet surprisingly commonsense solution, one that seeks to remind us that managing risk comes down to real people making decisions under uncertainty. Plight of the Fortune Tellers is not only a book for the decision makers of Wall Street, it's a must-read for anyone concerned about how today's financial markets are run. The stakes have never been higher--can you risk it?
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400824370
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 303
Book Description
Today's top financial-risk professionals have come to rely on ever-more sophisticated mathematics in their attempts to come to grips with financial risk. But this excessive reliance on quantitative precision is misleading--and it puts us all at risk. This is the case that Riccardo Rebonato makes in Plight of the Fortune Tellers--and coming from someone who is both an experienced market professional and an academic, this heresy is worth listening to. Rebonato forcefully argues that we must restore genuine decision making to our financial planning, and he shows us how to do it using probability, experimental psychology, and decision theory. This is the only way to effectively manage financial risk in a manner congruent with how human beings actually react to chance. Rebonato challenges us to rethink the standard wisdom about probability in financial-risk management. Risk managers have become obsessed with measuring risk and believe that these quantitative results by themselves can guide sound financial choices--but they can't. In this book, Rebonato offers a radical yet surprisingly commonsense solution, one that seeks to remind us that managing risk comes down to real people making decisions under uncertainty. Plight of the Fortune Tellers is not only a book for the decision makers of Wall Street, it's a must-read for anyone concerned about how today's financial markets are run. The stakes have never been higher--can you risk it?
The Fortune-Tellers
Author: Lloyd Alexander
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0140562338
Category : Juvenile Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
This original folktale set in Cameroon is full of adventure and sly humor. Lloyd Alexander's story of a young man visiting -- and then becoming -- the village fortune-teller is brought to vibrant life with some of Caldecott Medalist Trina Schart Hyman's most memorable artwork. Both children and adults will relish The Fortune-tellers."A funny, playful story that evokes the irony of the human condition." -- Booklist,starred review"Alexander narrates his original tale with folkloric verve and his own mellow brand of irony;Hyman realizes the African setting in...splendid illustrations. A winning tale, superlatively presented." -- Kirkus Reviews,pointerreviewLloyd Alexander's many achievements include a Newbery Medal, a Newbery Honor Medal, and the National Book Award.Trina Schart Hyman won the Caldecott Medal for Saint George and the Dragon and a Caldecott Honor Medal for Little Red Riding Hood, among numerous other awards.
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0140562338
Category : Juvenile Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
This original folktale set in Cameroon is full of adventure and sly humor. Lloyd Alexander's story of a young man visiting -- and then becoming -- the village fortune-teller is brought to vibrant life with some of Caldecott Medalist Trina Schart Hyman's most memorable artwork. Both children and adults will relish The Fortune-tellers."A funny, playful story that evokes the irony of the human condition." -- Booklist,starred review"Alexander narrates his original tale with folkloric verve and his own mellow brand of irony;Hyman realizes the African setting in...splendid illustrations. A winning tale, superlatively presented." -- Kirkus Reviews,pointerreviewLloyd Alexander's many achievements include a Newbery Medal, a Newbery Honor Medal, and the National Book Award.Trina Schart Hyman won the Caldecott Medal for Saint George and the Dragon and a Caldecott Honor Medal for Little Red Riding Hood, among numerous other awards.
Origami Fortune Tellers
Author: Diane Heiman
Publisher: Courier Corporation
ISBN: 0486478262
Category : Juvenile Nonfiction
Languages : en
Pages : 20
Book Description
Fifteen colorful origami fortune tellers offer kids loads of fun as they predict their futures at playdates, sleepovers, birthday parties, camp, or even by themselves. Pre-printed, perforated, and easy to fold, the paper toys feature themes ranging from Birthday Bash to Vacation Destination, plus 3 fill-in-the-blanks fortune tellers for personalized predictions.
Publisher: Courier Corporation
ISBN: 0486478262
Category : Juvenile Nonfiction
Languages : en
Pages : 20
Book Description
Fifteen colorful origami fortune tellers offer kids loads of fun as they predict their futures at playdates, sleepovers, birthday parties, camp, or even by themselves. Pre-printed, perforated, and easy to fold, the paper toys feature themes ranging from Birthday Bash to Vacation Destination, plus 3 fill-in-the-blanks fortune tellers for personalized predictions.
The Fortune Teller
Author: Gwendolyn Womack
Publisher: Picador USA
ISBN: 1250099773
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 369
Book Description
NOW A USA TODAY AND LOS ANGELES TIMES BESTSELLER From the award-winning author of The Memory Painter comes a sweeping and suspenseful tale of romance, fate, and fortune. Semele Cavnow appraises antiquities for an exclusive Manhattan auction house, deciphering ancient texts—and when she discovers a manuscript written in the time of Cleopatra, she knows it will be the find of her career. Its author tells the story of a priceless tarot deck, now lost to history, but as Semele delves further, she realizes the manuscript is more than it seems. Both a memoir and a prophecy, it appears to be the work of a powerful seer, describing devastating wars and natural disasters in detail thousands of years before they occurred. The more she reads, the more the manuscript begins to affect Semele’s life. But what happened to the tarot deck? As the mystery of her connection to its story deepens, Semele can’t shake the feeling that she’s being followed. Only one person can help her make sense of it all: her client, Theo Bossard. Yet Theo is arrogant and elusive, concealing secrets of his own, and there’s more to Semele’s desire to speak with him than she would like to admit. Can Semele even trust him? The auction date is swiftly approaching, and someone wants to interfere—someone who knows the cards exist, and that the Bossard manuscript is tied to her. Semele realizes it’s up to her to stop them: the manuscript holds the key to a two-thousand-year-old secret, a secret someone will do anything to possess.
Publisher: Picador USA
ISBN: 1250099773
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 369
Book Description
NOW A USA TODAY AND LOS ANGELES TIMES BESTSELLER From the award-winning author of The Memory Painter comes a sweeping and suspenseful tale of romance, fate, and fortune. Semele Cavnow appraises antiquities for an exclusive Manhattan auction house, deciphering ancient texts—and when she discovers a manuscript written in the time of Cleopatra, she knows it will be the find of her career. Its author tells the story of a priceless tarot deck, now lost to history, but as Semele delves further, she realizes the manuscript is more than it seems. Both a memoir and a prophecy, it appears to be the work of a powerful seer, describing devastating wars and natural disasters in detail thousands of years before they occurred. The more she reads, the more the manuscript begins to affect Semele’s life. But what happened to the tarot deck? As the mystery of her connection to its story deepens, Semele can’t shake the feeling that she’s being followed. Only one person can help her make sense of it all: her client, Theo Bossard. Yet Theo is arrogant and elusive, concealing secrets of his own, and there’s more to Semele’s desire to speak with him than she would like to admit. Can Semele even trust him? The auction date is swiftly approaching, and someone wants to interfere—someone who knows the cards exist, and that the Bossard manuscript is tied to her. Semele realizes it’s up to her to stop them: the manuscript holds the key to a two-thousand-year-old secret, a secret someone will do anything to possess.
The Fortune Teller's Kiss
Author: Brenda Serotte
Publisher: U of Nebraska Press
ISBN: 080324326X
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 246
Book Description
This is the memoir of a Sephardic Jewish girl living among Ashkenazi neighbors in the Bronx. She comes down with polio just before her eighth birthday. She begins a fight against immobility set within a cultural realm where Catholic and Jew and Turkish Moslem once met. Where a beautiful aunt could be abducted into a Turkish harem and another aunt could still keep the 400-year-old iron key to the family house in the Cordoba of the Spanish Inquisition.
Publisher: U of Nebraska Press
ISBN: 080324326X
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 246
Book Description
This is the memoir of a Sephardic Jewish girl living among Ashkenazi neighbors in the Bronx. She comes down with polio just before her eighth birthday. She begins a fight against immobility set within a cultural realm where Catholic and Jew and Turkish Moslem once met. Where a beautiful aunt could be abducted into a Turkish harem and another aunt could still keep the 400-year-old iron key to the family house in the Cordoba of the Spanish Inquisition.