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Author: Hugh Courtney
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780674005044
Category : Northeastern States
Languages : en
Pages : 207
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Book Description
"Based on an international review of the key strategy problems faced by over one hundred leading companies, Courtney reveals how executives can develop 20/20 foresight - a view of the future that separates what can be known from what can't. While executives with 20/20 foresight can rarely develop perfect forecasts of the future, says Courtney, they can isolate the "residual uncertainty" they face and use this insight to create competitive advantage in today's turbulent markets."--BOOK JACKET.
Author: Hugh Courtney
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780674005044
Category : Northeastern States
Languages : en
Pages : 207
Get Book Here
Book Description
"Based on an international review of the key strategy problems faced by over one hundred leading companies, Courtney reveals how executives can develop 20/20 foresight - a view of the future that separates what can be known from what can't. While executives with 20/20 foresight can rarely develop perfect forecasts of the future, says Courtney, they can isolate the "residual uncertainty" they face and use this insight to create competitive advantage in today's turbulent markets."--BOOK JACKET.
Author: Jack Uldrich
Publisher: Bookhouse Fulfillment
ISBN: 9781592988945
Category : Technological forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
The forces transforming tomorrow are profound, powerful and accelerating. The Internet, social networks, crowd-sourcing, gaming dynamics, new information and communication technologies, robotics, biotechnology and nanotechnology are all converging to transform everything from agriculture, energy, education and law enforcement to healthcare, manufacturing, banking and finance, retail and transportation. In Foresight 20/20, professional futurists and business forecasters Jack Uldrich and Simon Anderson have developed thirteen scenarios designed to aid the reader in understanding how a variety of technological trends are transforming the world of tomorrow. The trends are exciting and scary, positive or negative, prosaic and profound, and will impact both one's personal or professional life. As Cervantes said centuries ago, "Forewarned, forearmed; to be prepared is half the victory" Foresight 20/20 goes one step further and not only prepares the reader for victory but also instills in th
Author: Nathan Lancry
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781678080471
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 208
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Book Description
We've all been told the key to greater success is to set bigger goals and put in longer hours, but the truth is a bit more complex. We actually need realistic goals and a system for achieving them. We need better foresight. If you don't have the life you want, the problem isn't you. The problem is your approach and the people you allow to influence you. Working harder, waking up earlier, and making more sacrifices alone won't get you there-you need to break the unproductive habits of your past before you can create the future you want. Nathan Lancry has spent nearly 30 years developing a system for achieving better foresight, and it's backed by modern neuroscience, social psychology, and his own experiences. In Foresight is 20/20 you'll meet the motorcycle collector who made a $250,000 mistake, the airline pilot who killed the world's top musician, the cult leader who convinced dozens to sell everything, and the president who hired his worst enemies. You'll learn how to: Set better goals Find the perfect mentors Stay humble on the path to success Understand your shortcomings Improve your relationships And much more Foresight is 20/20 will change how you think about talent. Whether you're a business owner looking to level up your team, a world-class performer working to break through a plateau, or anyone looking to get more out of life, the system laid out in this book will help you. Hindsight has always been 20/20. Thanks to Nathan's framework, foresight can finally be just as clear.
Author: Alexander L. Vuving
Publisher: Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies
ISBN: 0977324664
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 374
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Book Description
Hindsight, Insight, Foresight is a tour d’horizon of security issues in the Indo-Pacific. Written by 20 current and former members of the faculty at the Daniel K. Inouye Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies, its 21 chapters provide hindsight, insight, and foresight on numerous aspects of security in the region. This book will help readers to understand the big picture, grasp the changing faces, and comprehend the local dynamics of regional security.
Author: Patrick van der Duin
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317543149
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 355
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Book Description
Foresight for Organizations will acquaint the reader with various foresight methods and tools, to show the reader how these methods are used, what the pitfalls are and how the methods relate to each other. This innovative volume offers the reader the ability to carry out a study of the future by him- or herself and apply the results in a decision-making strategy process. The author addresses the following methods: scenarios, trend analysis, the Delphi method, quantitative trend extrapolation, technology assessment, backcasting and roadmapping; the most relevant and popular methods that also cover the range of approaches from predictive, via normative to explorative. Every chapter also contains references to additional literature about the methods being discussed. This book is essential reading for researchers, academics and students in the areas of Community Development, Sociology of organizations, Change management, Social entrepreneurship, Sustainable development and participative planning.
Author: Daniel Burrus
Publisher: Harper Collins
ISBN: 0062036556
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 304
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Book Description
Flash Foresight offers seven radical principles you need to transform your business today. From internationally renowned technology forecaster Daniel Burrus—a leading consultant to Google, Proctor & Gamble, IBM, and many other Fortune 500 firms—with John David Mann, co-author of the Wall Street Journal bestseller The Go-Giver, comes this systematic, easy-to-implement method for identifying new business opportunities and solving difficult problems in the twenty-first century marketplace.
Author: Patricia Lustig
Publisher: Triarchy Press
ISBN: 1909470686
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 188
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Book Description
This is a practical (field) guide to foresight and foresight tools for leaders in business, the public sector and NGOs, to aid their practice in strategy, decision making and change.
Author: Alberto F. De Toni
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000216128
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 234
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Book Description
The world changes like the patterns in a kaleidoscope: trends expand, contract, break up, melt, disintegrate and disappear, while others are formed. Change – as opposed to stasis – is our normal condition, the only certainty in our lives, hence the need to create tools that provide organizations with the means to tackle change and navigate complexity. We must accept the reality of constant change and be prepared for a heavy shift in perspective: interconnection versus separation, acceleration versus linearity and discontinuity versus continuity. Anticipating the future requires more than the traditional predictive models (forecasting) based on the forward projection of past experiences. Advanced methods use anticipation logic (foresight) and build probable scenarios taking into account weak signals, emerging trends, coexisting presents and potential paths of evolution. Corporate foresight is fundamental to interpret and lead change. The two cornerstones of foresight are organization and management. As concerns organization, the authors advocate the separation of research (oriented to the market of tomorrow) from development (oriented to the market of today), the establishment of a foresight unit and the concentration of research activities mainly on the acquisition and recombination of external know-how. As regards management, after an overview of state-of-the-art literature on forecasting methods, the authors propose the implementation of a "future coverage" methodology, which enables companies to measure and verify the consistency between trends, strategic vision and offered products. These organizational and managing tools are then tested in a case study: the Italian company Eurotech SpA, a leader in the ICT sector.
Author: Mike Lauder
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317117999
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 240
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Book Description
Many inquiry reports blame management for their failures of foresight. These reports are based on the premise that, with a little more thought, these oversights, and so the crisis, would have been avoided. Is it really that simple? The important question is whether, without hindsight, it would have even been possible to identify the actual factors that lead to the failure. This book explores this issue as a practical problem. The book takes Barry Turner’s Disaster Incubation Theory as its central theme. The first chapter explores the way Turner structured his theory and the way it has been used, before re-imagining it as a way to fostering foresight. The next three chapters examine key issues in detail. They explain why Turner's model was chosen, outline the issues that need to be considered when seeking to prevent such failures and how to use the proposed frameworks. Chapter 5 examines the lessons learnt from this study and, in particular, looks at the mental approach required when seeking such foresight. Finally, Chapter 6 provides a fully worked example. It uses work by Frank Stech who has applied Turner's theory to a past case. Crises occur everywhere and we continue to struggle to avoid them. In this book Mike Lauder provides executives with thinking tools to help them avoid missing the warning signs of their next crisis.
Author: Marjolein van Asselt
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1136536973
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 194
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Book Description
Assessing the future is vital in informing public policy decisions. One of the most widespread approaches is the development of scenarios, which are alternative hypothetical futures. Research has indicated, however, that the reality of how professionals go about employing scenarios is often starkly at odds with the theory - a finding that has important ramifications for how the resulting images of the future should be interpreted. It also shows the need for rewriting and updating theory. This book, based on an intensive five year study of how experts actually go about assessing the future, provides a groundbreaking examination of foresighting in action. Obtained via ethnographic techniques, the results lay bare for the first time the real processes by which scenarios are made. It is also the first book to examine foresighting for public policy, which is so often overlooked in favour of business practice. From handling of discontinuity to historical determinism, the analysis reveals and explains why foresight is difficult and what the major pitfalls are. Each chapter ends with a toolkit of recommendations for practice. The book aims to help readers to reflect on their own practices of public-oriented foresight and thus to foster a deeper understanding of the key principles and challenges. Ultimately, this will lead to better informed decision making.
