Author: John Mink
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781736841013
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 108
Book Description
Forecasting business is one of the biggest challenges all companies face. It requires dealing with a significant number of variables that are unknown, uncontrollable, and difficult to manage. Implementing a formal Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) process promises the company better alignment, financial benefits, and improved customer satisfaction. But often, the process falls short of expectations. So, to improve forecasting, leaders invest in consulting, systems, and tools, only to find themselves frustrated with the results. This frustration contributes to a "blame culture" that drives forecast bias and apathy, thus giving forecasting little chance to succeed. As a seasoned professional who has implemented and managed S&OP at several firms, I have found ways to break through barriers that prevent organizations from succeeding. By sharing experiences you can relate to, I provide you with tips and a unique perspective on how to better manage the forecasting challenges you face. In the pages of this book, you'll find insights on why the forecasting and execution processes fail to improve while it provides solutions that can dramatically improve your processes - and your results. As a successful supply chain leader and expert in S&OP, John Mink developed the concept of this book early in his career. He has been working on continually improving the forecasting processes through trial and error while discovering successes along way-ones that benefit customer experiences and bring improved financial results. John resides with his family in the Chicagoland area. A self-proclaimed King of the Dad Jokes, John plays the French horn, enjoys motor sports with a passion, and loves family outings at the beach.
Forecasting With Out-Liars
Author: John Mink
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781736841013
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 108
Book Description
Forecasting business is one of the biggest challenges all companies face. It requires dealing with a significant number of variables that are unknown, uncontrollable, and difficult to manage. Implementing a formal Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) process promises the company better alignment, financial benefits, and improved customer satisfaction. But often, the process falls short of expectations. So, to improve forecasting, leaders invest in consulting, systems, and tools, only to find themselves frustrated with the results. This frustration contributes to a "blame culture" that drives forecast bias and apathy, thus giving forecasting little chance to succeed. As a seasoned professional who has implemented and managed S&OP at several firms, I have found ways to break through barriers that prevent organizations from succeeding. By sharing experiences you can relate to, I provide you with tips and a unique perspective on how to better manage the forecasting challenges you face. In the pages of this book, you'll find insights on why the forecasting and execution processes fail to improve while it provides solutions that can dramatically improve your processes - and your results. As a successful supply chain leader and expert in S&OP, John Mink developed the concept of this book early in his career. He has been working on continually improving the forecasting processes through trial and error while discovering successes along way-ones that benefit customer experiences and bring improved financial results. John resides with his family in the Chicagoland area. A self-proclaimed King of the Dad Jokes, John plays the French horn, enjoys motor sports with a passion, and loves family outings at the beach.
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781736841013
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 108
Book Description
Forecasting business is one of the biggest challenges all companies face. It requires dealing with a significant number of variables that are unknown, uncontrollable, and difficult to manage. Implementing a formal Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) process promises the company better alignment, financial benefits, and improved customer satisfaction. But often, the process falls short of expectations. So, to improve forecasting, leaders invest in consulting, systems, and tools, only to find themselves frustrated with the results. This frustration contributes to a "blame culture" that drives forecast bias and apathy, thus giving forecasting little chance to succeed. As a seasoned professional who has implemented and managed S&OP at several firms, I have found ways to break through barriers that prevent organizations from succeeding. By sharing experiences you can relate to, I provide you with tips and a unique perspective on how to better manage the forecasting challenges you face. In the pages of this book, you'll find insights on why the forecasting and execution processes fail to improve while it provides solutions that can dramatically improve your processes - and your results. As a successful supply chain leader and expert in S&OP, John Mink developed the concept of this book early in his career. He has been working on continually improving the forecasting processes through trial and error while discovering successes along way-ones that benefit customer experiences and bring improved financial results. John resides with his family in the Chicagoland area. A self-proclaimed King of the Dad Jokes, John plays the French horn, enjoys motor sports with a passion, and loves family outings at the beach.
Forecasting Non-stationary Economic Time Series
Author: Michael P. Clements
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262531894
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 398
Book Description
This text on economic forecasting asks why some practices seem to work empirically despite a lack of formal support from theory. After reviewing the conventional approach to forecasting, it looks at the implications for causal modelling, presents forecast errors and delineates sources of failure.
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262531894
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 398
Book Description
This text on economic forecasting asks why some practices seem to work empirically despite a lack of formal support from theory. After reviewing the conventional approach to forecasting, it looks at the implications for causal modelling, presents forecast errors and delineates sources of failure.
Third Annual FAA Forecast Conference Proceedings : [December, 1977, Reston, Virginia].
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aircraft industry
Languages : en
Pages : 72
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aircraft industry
Languages : en
Pages : 72
Book Description
Liar's Paradise
Author: Graham Edmonds
Publisher: Oldcastle Books Ltd
ISBN: 1904915450
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 180
Book Description
We are living in an age where we are constantly bombarded with lies, fakery and spin. This is especially true of the work place. Liars Paradise exposes the techniques used by liars and corporate cheats.
Publisher: Oldcastle Books Ltd
ISBN: 1904915450
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 180
Book Description
We are living in an age where we are constantly bombarded with lies, fakery and spin. This is especially true of the work place. Liars Paradise exposes the techniques used by liars and corporate cheats.
Predicting the Unpredictable
Author: Susan Elizabeth Hough
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691173303
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 276
Book Description
Why seismologists still can't predict earthquakes An earthquake can strike without warning and wreak horrific destruction and death, whether it's the catastrophic 2010 quake that took a devastating toll on the island nation of Haiti or a future great earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in California, which scientists know is inevitable. Yet despite rapid advances in earthquake science, seismologists still can’t predict when the Big One will hit. Predicting the Unpredictable explains why, exploring the fact and fiction behind the science—and pseudoscience—of earthquake prediction. Susan Hough traces the continuing quest by seismologists to forecast the time, location, and magnitude of future quakes. She brings readers into the laboratory and out into the field—describing attempts that have raised hopes only to collapse under scrutiny, as well as approaches that seem to hold future promise. She also ventures to the fringes of pseudoscience to consider ideas outside the scientific mainstream. An entertaining and accessible foray into the world of earthquake prediction, Predicting the Unpredictable illuminates the unique challenges of predicting earthquakes.
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691173303
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 276
Book Description
Why seismologists still can't predict earthquakes An earthquake can strike without warning and wreak horrific destruction and death, whether it's the catastrophic 2010 quake that took a devastating toll on the island nation of Haiti or a future great earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in California, which scientists know is inevitable. Yet despite rapid advances in earthquake science, seismologists still can’t predict when the Big One will hit. Predicting the Unpredictable explains why, exploring the fact and fiction behind the science—and pseudoscience—of earthquake prediction. Susan Hough traces the continuing quest by seismologists to forecast the time, location, and magnitude of future quakes. She brings readers into the laboratory and out into the field—describing attempts that have raised hopes only to collapse under scrutiny, as well as approaches that seem to hold future promise. She also ventures to the fringes of pseudoscience to consider ideas outside the scientific mainstream. An entertaining and accessible foray into the world of earthquake prediction, Predicting the Unpredictable illuminates the unique challenges of predicting earthquakes.
Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologiesâ¬"Report 2
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309157455
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 341
Book Description
The term "disruptive technology" describes a technology that results in a sudden change affecting already established technologies or markets. Disruptive technologies cause one or more discontinuities in the normal evolutionary life cycle of technology. This may lead to an unexpected destabilization of an older technology order and an opportunity for new competitors to displace incumbents. Frequently cited examples include digital photography and desktop publishing. The first report of the series, Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies, discussed how technology forecasts were historically made, assessed various existing forecasting systems, and identified desirable attributes of a next-generation persistent long-term forecasting system for disruptive technologies. This second book attempts to sketch out high-level forecasting system designs. In addition, the book provides further evaluation of the system attributes defined in the first report, and evidence of the feasibility of creating a system with those attributes. Together, the reports are intended to help the Department of Defense and the intelligence community identify and develop a forecasting system that will assist in detecting and tracking global technology trends, producing persistent long-term forecasts of disruptive technologies, and characterizing their potential impact on future U.S. warfighting and homeland defense capabilities.
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309157455
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 341
Book Description
The term "disruptive technology" describes a technology that results in a sudden change affecting already established technologies or markets. Disruptive technologies cause one or more discontinuities in the normal evolutionary life cycle of technology. This may lead to an unexpected destabilization of an older technology order and an opportunity for new competitors to displace incumbents. Frequently cited examples include digital photography and desktop publishing. The first report of the series, Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies, discussed how technology forecasts were historically made, assessed various existing forecasting systems, and identified desirable attributes of a next-generation persistent long-term forecasting system for disruptive technologies. This second book attempts to sketch out high-level forecasting system designs. In addition, the book provides further evaluation of the system attributes defined in the first report, and evidence of the feasibility of creating a system with those attributes. Together, the reports are intended to help the Department of Defense and the intelligence community identify and develop a forecasting system that will assist in detecting and tracking global technology trends, producing persistent long-term forecasts of disruptive technologies, and characterizing their potential impact on future U.S. warfighting and homeland defense capabilities.
Dishonest Behavior: From Theory to Practice
Author: Guy Hochman
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
ISBN: 2889450279
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 162
Book Description
The rapidly growing field of behavioral ethics shows that dishonest acts are highly prevalent in all walks of life, from corruption among politicians through flagrant cases of doping in sports, to everyday slips and misdemeanors of ordinary people who nevertheless perceive themselves as highly moral. When considered cumulatively, these seemingly innocuous and ordinary unethical behaviors cause considerable societal damage and add up to billions of dollars annually. Research in behavioral ethics has made tremendous advances in characterizing many contextual and social factors that promote or hinder dishonesty. These findings have prompted the development of interventions to curb dishonesty and to help individuals become more committed to ethical standards. The current e-book includes studies that test and advance current theory and deepen our understanding of the cognitive and physiological processes underlying dishonest behavior, discuss possible implications of findings in behavioral ethics research for real life situations, document dishonest behavior in the field and/or directly examines interventions to reduce it.
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
ISBN: 2889450279
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 162
Book Description
The rapidly growing field of behavioral ethics shows that dishonest acts are highly prevalent in all walks of life, from corruption among politicians through flagrant cases of doping in sports, to everyday slips and misdemeanors of ordinary people who nevertheless perceive themselves as highly moral. When considered cumulatively, these seemingly innocuous and ordinary unethical behaviors cause considerable societal damage and add up to billions of dollars annually. Research in behavioral ethics has made tremendous advances in characterizing many contextual and social factors that promote or hinder dishonesty. These findings have prompted the development of interventions to curb dishonesty and to help individuals become more committed to ethical standards. The current e-book includes studies that test and advance current theory and deepen our understanding of the cognitive and physiological processes underlying dishonest behavior, discuss possible implications of findings in behavioral ethics research for real life situations, document dishonest behavior in the field and/or directly examines interventions to reduce it.
Annual FAA Forecast Conference Proceedings
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aeronautics, Commercial
Languages : en
Pages : 72
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aeronautics, Commercial
Languages : en
Pages : 72
Book Description
Economic Forecasting: The State of the Art
Author: Elia Xacapyr
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1315480670
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 200
Book Description
An overview of the macroeconomic forecasting industry in the United States that explains and evaluates the forecasting techniques used to make predictions about various aspects of the national economy.
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1315480670
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 200
Book Description
An overview of the macroeconomic forecasting industry in the United States that explains and evaluates the forecasting techniques used to make predictions about various aspects of the national economy.
Fire Control Notes
Author: United States. Forest Service
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Forest fires
Languages : en
Pages : 824
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Forest fires
Languages : en
Pages : 824
Book Description