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Author: Nazli Choucri
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780716700593
Category : International relations
Languages : en
Pages : 468
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Book Description
Author: Nazli Choucri
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780716700593
Category : International relations
Languages : en
Pages : 468
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Book Description
Author: Robert A. Young
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : International relations
Languages : en
Pages : 58
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Book Description
Author: Warren R. Phillips
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : International relations
Languages : en
Pages : 84
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Book Description
The Dimensionality of Nations Project (DON) is basic research on international relations attempting to determine the major patterns in the behavior and characteristics of nations and the linkages between these patterns. It is potentially relevant to practical problems which have to do with the nature and direction of international relations. The paper gives a brief overview of the project itself, lists the problems associated with prediction in international relations, and lays out the approaches to prediction and time series analysis employed on the Project. The final section discusses the relationship of DON to foreign and defense policies. (Author).
Author: Stuart Greenberg
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : International relations
Languages : en
Pages : 360
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Book Description
Author: Andreas Wenger
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000088367
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 417
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Book Description
This book inquires into the use of prediction at the intersection of politics and academia, and reflects upon the implications of future-oriented policy-making across different fields. The volume focuses on the key intricacies and fallacies of prevision in a time of complexity, uncertainty, and unpredictability. The first part of the book discusses different academic perspectives and contributions to future-oriented policy-making. The second part discusses the role of future knowledge in decision-making across different empirical issues such as climate, health, finance, bio- and nuclear weapons, civil war, and crime. It analyses how prediction is integrated into public policy and governance, and how in return governance structures influence the making of knowledge about the future. Contributors integrate two analytical dimensions in their chapters: the epistemology of prevision and the political and ethical implications of prevision. In this way, the volume contributes to a better understanding of the complex interaction and feedback loops between the processes of creating knowledge about the future and the application of this future knowledge in public policy and governance. This book will be of much interest to students of security studies, political science, sociology, technology studies, and International Relations. The Open Access version of this book, available at https://www.routledge.com/The-Politics-and-Science-of-Prevision-Governing-and-Probing/Wenger-Jasper-Cavelty/p/book/9780367900748, has been made available under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 license.
Author: Robert Arthur Young
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 730
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Book Description
Author: Gerald Schneider
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : de
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: Saul Friedländer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 112
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Book Description
Author: Rosanne C. Lipe
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 140
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Book Description
Author: R. J. Rummel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 44
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Book Description
Patterns, indicators, and forecasts of international environments and behavior are of interest to policymakers as they try to link national goals and policy alternatives and to scholars as they try to develop a 'meteorology' of international relations. A problem exists in delineating trend patterns so that precise and reliable forecasts can be made. Research is proposed on three-mode factor analysis as a possible solution to this problem. The research should improve judgement on how well three-mode factor analysis contributes to clarifying patterns, indicators and forecasts of international environments and behavior. (Author).
