Forecasting from Multi-equation Econometric Micromodels PDF Download
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Author: Jerzy Witold Wiśniewski
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783031274930
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Forecasting from multi-equation models has very rarely been the focus in econometric literature. In response, this book presents a range of methodologies to approach this complex field and offers readers essential information on forecasting from multi-equation econometric micromodels. In the twentieth century, significant interest in econometric macromodels emerged. These multi-equation models are mostly systems of interdependent equations, most often used to describe the national economies of various countries. The book analyzes econometric forecasting procedures and illustrates them with empirical examples that are based on real economic (mostly business-derived) data. The procedure of forecast building from systems of interdependent equations is presented for two categories of econometric models: models with a feedback effect and models with closed-loop links between interdependent variables. The forecasts obtained via this technique are compared with the results derived from reduced-form equations of the respective econometric model. The author also generalizes the rules of the reduced-recursive (helical, iterative) procedure application, against the backdrop of the proposed method of forecast building from reduced-form equations of systems of interdependent equations. Given its scope, the book will appeal not only to PhD students and researchers, but also undergraduate students and academics in general.
Author: Jerzy Witold Wiśniewski
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783031274930
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Forecasting from multi-equation models has very rarely been the focus in econometric literature. In response, this book presents a range of methodologies to approach this complex field and offers readers essential information on forecasting from multi-equation econometric micromodels. In the twentieth century, significant interest in econometric macromodels emerged. These multi-equation models are mostly systems of interdependent equations, most often used to describe the national economies of various countries. The book analyzes econometric forecasting procedures and illustrates them with empirical examples that are based on real economic (mostly business-derived) data. The procedure of forecast building from systems of interdependent equations is presented for two categories of econometric models: models with a feedback effect and models with closed-loop links between interdependent variables. The forecasts obtained via this technique are compared with the results derived from reduced-form equations of the respective econometric model. The author also generalizes the rules of the reduced-recursive (helical, iterative) procedure application, against the backdrop of the proposed method of forecast building from reduced-form equations of systems of interdependent equations. Given its scope, the book will appeal not only to PhD students and researchers, but also undergraduate students and academics in general.
Author: Jerzy Witold Wiśniewski
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 303127492X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 153
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Book Description
Forecasting from multi-equation models has very rarely been the focus in econometric literature. In response, this book presents a range of methodologies to approach this complex field and offers readers essential information on forecasting from multi-equation econometric micromodels. In the twentieth century, significant interest in econometric macromodels emerged. These multi-equation models are mostly systems of interdependent equations, most often used to describe the national economies of various countries. The book analyzes econometric forecasting procedures and illustrates them with empirical examples that are based on real economic (mostly business-derived) data. The procedure of forecast building from systems of interdependent equations is presented for two categories of econometric models: models with a feedback effect and models with closed-loop links between interdependent variables. The forecasts obtained via this technique are compared with the results derived from reduced-form equations of the respective econometric model. The author also generalizes the rules of the reduced-recursive (helical, iterative) procedure application, against the backdrop of the proposed method of forecast building from reduced-form equations of systems of interdependent equations. Given its scope, the book will appeal not only to PhD students and researchers, but also undergraduate students and academics in general.
Author: Robert S. Pindyck
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 664
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Book Description
This updated edition of the text has been restructured into four parts: multiple regression model; single-equation regression models; revised exposition and a small macroeconomic model; and a revised treatment of time-series analysis.
Author: Jerzy Witold Wisniewski
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119096812
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 216
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Book Description
This book introduces the application of microeconometric methods for modelling various aspects of economic activity for small to large size enterprises, using methods that are based on both time-series and cross-section approaches. The information obtained from using these estimated models can then be used to inform business decisions that improve the efficiency of operations and planning. Basic models used in the modelling of the business (single-equation and multiple-equation systems) are introduced whilst a wide range of economic activity including major aspects of financial management, demand for labour, administrative staff and labour productivity are also explored. Microeconometrics in Business Management: Introduces econometric methods which can be used in the modelling of economic activity and forecasting, to help improve the efficiency of business operations and planning. Describes econometric entities through multiple-equation and single-equation microeconometric models. Explores the process of building and adapting basic microeconometric tools. Presents numerous micromodels based on time-series data and statistical cross-sectional sequences, which can be used in any enterprise. Features numerous real –world applications along with examples drawn from the authors own experience. Is supported by a companion website featuring practice problems and statistical data to aid students to construct and estimate micro models. Features end of chapter exercises with examples present in free software GRETL. This book serves as a valuable resource for students, business management practitioners and researchers in econometric micro-model construction and various decision-making processes.
Author: Aaart R. Heesterman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401031398
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 165
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Book Description
This book is about the specification of linear econometric models, and for this reason some important related fields have been deliberately omitted. I did not want to discuss the problems of parameter-estimation, at least not in any detail, as there are other books on these problems written by specialized statisticians. This book is about the models them selves and macro-economic models in particular. A second related sub ject is the policy decision that can be made with the help of a model. While I did write a chapter on policy decisions, I limited myself to some extent because of my views on planning as such. The logical approach to this problem is in terms of mathematical programming, but our models and our ideas about the policies we want are too crude for its effective utilisation. A realistic formulation of the problem should involve non linearities in an essential way, the models I consider (and most existing models) are linear. At the present state of econometrics, I do not really believe in such a thing as the 'optimal' plan. The possible result of bad planning or no planning at all, for instance massive unemployment, sudden financial crises, unused capital equipment, or the production of unsalable goods is agreed to be undesirable. Programming methods may of course be needed, if only for having a systematic algorithm to find a solution that avoids this kind of 'obvious' non-optimality. However, the main emphasis is on forecasting models.
Author: Roberto S. Mariano
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9812778950
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 200
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Book Description
This important book consists of surveys of high-frequency financial data analysis and econometric forecasting, written by pioneers in these areas including Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein. Some of the chapters were presented as tutorials to an audience in the Econometric Forecasting and High-Frequency Data Analysis Workshop at the Institute for Mathematical Science, National University of Singapore in May 2006. They will be of interest to researchers working in macroeconometrics as well as financial econometrics. Moreover, readers will find these chapters useful as a guide to the literature as well as suggestions for future research.
Author: Rodney D. Green
Publisher: Praeger Publishers
ISBN:
Category : Computer simulation
Languages : en
Pages : 280
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Book Description
Author: Ronald G. Bodkin
Publisher: Aldershot, Hants, England : E. Elgar
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 600
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Book Description
This major book presents, for the first time, an authoritative history of developments in macroeconometric modelling since the 1930s. It focuses in particular on the construction of mathematico-statistical models of entire economies, estimated from national accounts and other macroeconomic data. International and comparative in scope, the book contains chapters prepared by specialists from the different countries concerned. This landmark book is indispensable to an understanding of the history and development of large scale econometric models of modern economies.
Author: Lawrence Robert Klein
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometrics
Languages : en
Pages : 155
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Book Description
Author: Kenneth J. White
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Companies
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 268
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Book Description
