Financial Forecasting, Analysis, and Modelling

Financial Forecasting, Analysis, and Modelling PDF Author: Michael Samonas
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118921097
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 242

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Book Description
Risk analysis has become critical to modern financial planning Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling provides a complete framework of long-term financial forecasts in a practical and accessible way, helping finance professionals include uncertainty in their planning and budgeting process. With thorough coverage of financial statement simulation models and clear, concise implementation instruction, this book guides readers step-by-step through the entire projection plan development process. Readers learn the tools, techniques, and special considerations that increase accuracy and smooth the workflow, and develop a more robust analysis process that improves financial strategy. The companion website provides a complete operational model that can be customised to develop financial projections or a range of other key financial measures, giving readers an immediately-applicable tool to facilitate effective decision-making. In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the need for experienced financial modelling professionals has steadily increased as organisations rush to adjust to economic volatility and uncertainty. This book provides the deeper level of understanding needed to develop stronger financial planning, with techniques tailored to real-life situations. Develop long-term projection plans using Excel Use appropriate models to develop a more proactive strategy Apply risk and uncertainty projections more accurately Master the Excel Scenario Manager, Sensitivity Analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation, and more Risk plays a larger role in financial planning than ever before, and possible outcomes must be measured before decisions are made. Uncertainty has become a critical component in financial planning, and accuracy demands it be used appropriately. With special focus on uncertainty in modelling and planning, Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling is a comprehensive guide to the mechanics of modern finance.

Financial Forecasting, Analysis, and Modelling

Financial Forecasting, Analysis, and Modelling PDF Author: Michael Samonas
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118921097
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 242

Get Book Here

Book Description
Risk analysis has become critical to modern financial planning Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling provides a complete framework of long-term financial forecasts in a practical and accessible way, helping finance professionals include uncertainty in their planning and budgeting process. With thorough coverage of financial statement simulation models and clear, concise implementation instruction, this book guides readers step-by-step through the entire projection plan development process. Readers learn the tools, techniques, and special considerations that increase accuracy and smooth the workflow, and develop a more robust analysis process that improves financial strategy. The companion website provides a complete operational model that can be customised to develop financial projections or a range of other key financial measures, giving readers an immediately-applicable tool to facilitate effective decision-making. In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the need for experienced financial modelling professionals has steadily increased as organisations rush to adjust to economic volatility and uncertainty. This book provides the deeper level of understanding needed to develop stronger financial planning, with techniques tailored to real-life situations. Develop long-term projection plans using Excel Use appropriate models to develop a more proactive strategy Apply risk and uncertainty projections more accurately Master the Excel Scenario Manager, Sensitivity Analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation, and more Risk plays a larger role in financial planning than ever before, and possible outcomes must be measured before decisions are made. Uncertainty has become a critical component in financial planning, and accuracy demands it be used appropriately. With special focus on uncertainty in modelling and planning, Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling is a comprehensive guide to the mechanics of modern finance.

Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis

Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis PDF Author: John B. Guerard, Jr.
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461452392
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 245

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Book Description
Forecasting—the art and science of predicting future outcomes—has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis on "earnings per share" (eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial futures. The opening chapters explain how to understand economic fluctuations and how the stock market leads the general economic trend; introduce the concept of portfolio construction and how movements in the economy influence stock price movements; and introduce the reader to the forecasting process, including exponential smoothing and time series model estimations. Subsequent chapters examine the composite index of leading economic indicators (LEI); review financial statement analysis and mean-variance efficient portfolios; and assess the effectiveness of analysts’ earnings forecasts. Using data from such firms as Intel, General Electric, and Hitachi, Guerard demonstrates how forecasting tools can be applied to understand the business cycle, evaluate market risk, and demonstrate the impact of global stock selection modeling and portfolio construction.

Financial Forecasting and Data Analysis

Financial Forecasting and Data Analysis PDF Author: Greg Dickman
Publisher: Nelson Australia
ISBN: 9780170121552
Category : Business forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 718

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Book Description
Greg Dickmana s Financial Forecasting and Data Analysis is another in his series of well received textbooks. His popular approach provides students with a complete, easily comprehensible overview of the principles of forecasting and data analysis. Using an engaging and accessible writing style, this text gives students a detailed grasp of the theory underlying the computations. Readers are taken step by step through the basic financial, mathematical and statistical concepts. Each new principle is reinforced with worked examples and a variety of meaningful problems to try. Case studies throughout simulate work situations and make the student appreciate the importance of both the calculation and its interpretation as applied to the real world. This text is intended to meet the needs of the National Training Package Competencies FNSICORG517A: Prepare financial forecasts and projections and analyse market data.

An Introduction to Analysis of Financial Data with R

An Introduction to Analysis of Financial Data with R PDF Author: Ruey S. Tsay
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119013461
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 388

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Book Description
A complete set of statistical tools for beginning financial analysts from a leading authority Written by one of the leading experts on the topic, An Introduction to Analysis of Financial Data with R explores basic concepts of visualization of financial data. Through a fundamental balance between theory and applications, the book supplies readers with an accessible approach to financial econometric models and their applications to real-world empirical research. The author supplies a hands-on introduction to the analysis of financial data using the freely available R software package and case studies to illustrate actual implementations of the discussed methods. The book begins with the basics of financial data, discussing their summary statistics and related visualization methods. Subsequent chapters explore basic time series analysis and simple econometric models for business, finance, and economics as well as related topics including: Linear time series analysis, with coverage of exponential smoothing for forecasting and methods for model comparison Different approaches to calculating asset volatility and various volatility models High-frequency financial data and simple models for price changes, trading intensity, and realized volatility Quantitative methods for risk management, including value at risk and conditional value at risk Econometric and statistical methods for risk assessment based on extreme value theory and quantile regression Throughout the book, the visual nature of the topic is showcased through graphical representations in R, and two detailed case studies demonstrate the relevance of statistics in finance. A related website features additional data sets and R scripts so readers can create their own simulations and test their comprehension of the presented techniques. An Introduction to Analysis of Financial Data with R is an excellent book for introductory courses on time series and business statistics at the upper-undergraduate and graduate level. The book is also an excellent resource for researchers and practitioners in the fields of business, finance, and economics who would like to enhance their understanding of financial data and today's financial markets.

Time Series with Python

Time Series with Python PDF Author: Bob Mather
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780648783077
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 222

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Book Description
Are you looking to learn more about Time Series, but struggling to find them in traditional Data Science textbooks? This book is your answer. Time Series is an exciting and important part of Data Analysis. Time Series Data is more readily available than most forms of data and answers questions that cross-sectional data struggle to do. It also has more real world application in the prediction of future events. However it is not generally found in a traditional data science toolkit. There is also limited centralized resources on the applications of Time Series, especially using traditional programming languages such as Python. This book solves all these problems, and more. It starts off with basic concepts in Time Series, and switches to more advanced topics. It shows you how to set up Python from start, and goes through over 20 examples of applying both simple and advanced Time Series concepts with Python code.

Financial Forecasting, Analysis, and Modelling

Financial Forecasting, Analysis, and Modelling PDF Author: Michael Samonas
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118921100
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 234

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Book Description
Risk analysis has become critical to modern financial planning Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling provides a complete framework of long-term financial forecasts in a practical and accessible way, helping finance professionals include uncertainty in their planning and budgeting process. With thorough coverage of financial statement simulation models and clear, concise implementation instruction, this book guides readers step-by-step through the entire projection plan development process. Readers learn the tools, techniques, and special considerations that increase accuracy and smooth the workflow, and develop a more robust analysis process that improves financial strategy. The companion website provides a complete operational model that can be customised to develop financial projections or a range of other key financial measures, giving readers an immediately-applicable tool to facilitate effective decision-making. In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the need for experienced financial modelling professionals has steadily increased as organisations rush to adjust to economic volatility and uncertainty. This book provides the deeper level of understanding needed to develop stronger financial planning, with techniques tailored to real-life situations. Develop long-term projection plans using Excel Use appropriate models to develop a more proactive strategy Apply risk and uncertainty projections more accurately Master the Excel Scenario Manager, Sensitivity Analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation, and more Risk plays a larger role in financial planning than ever before, and possible outcomes must be measured before decisions are made. Uncertainty has become a critical component in financial planning, and accuracy demands it be used appropriately. With special focus on uncertainty in modelling and planning, Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling is a comprehensive guide to the mechanics of modern finance.

Econometric Forecasting and High-frequency Data Analysis

Econometric Forecasting and High-frequency Data Analysis PDF Author: Roberto S. Mariano
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9812778969
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 200

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Book Description
This important book consists of surveys of high-frequency financial data analysis and econometric forecasting, written by pioneers in these areas including Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein. Some of the chapters were presented as tutorials to an audience in the Econometric Forecasting and High-Frequency Data Analysis Workshop at the Institute for Mathematical Science, National University of Singapore in May 2006. They will be of interest to researchers working in macroeconometrics as well as financial econometrics. Moreover, readers will find these chapters useful as a guide to the literature as well as suggestions for future research. Sample Chapter(s). Foreword (32 KB). Chapter 1: Forecast Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation* (97 KB). Contents: Forecasting Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation (K F Wallis); The University of Pennsylvania Models for High-Frequency Macroeconomic Modeling (L R Klein & S Ozmucur); Forecasting Seasonal Time Series (P H Franses); Car and Affine Processes (C Gourieroux); Multivariate Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (M Deistler). Readership: Professionals and researchers in econometric forecasting and financial data analysis.

The 2021 International Conference on Machine Learning and Big Data Analytics for IoT Security and Privacy

The 2021 International Conference on Machine Learning and Big Data Analytics for IoT Security and Privacy PDF Author: John Macintyre
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030895084
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 1169

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Book Description
This book presents the proceedings of the 2020 2nd International Conference on Machine Learning and Big Data Analytics for IoT Security and Privacy (SPIoT-2021), online conference, on 30 October 2021. It provides comprehensive coverage of the latest advances and trends in information technology, science and engineering, addressing a number of broad themes, including novel machine learning and big data analytics methods for IoT security, data mining and statistical modelling for the secure IoT and machine learning-based security detecting protocols, which inspire the development of IoT security and privacy technologies. The contributions cover a wide range of topics: analytics and machine learning applications to IoT security; data-based metrics and risk assessment approaches for IoT; data confidentiality and privacy in IoT; and authentication and access control for data usage in IoT. Outlining promising future research directions, the book is a valuable resource for students, researchers and professionals and provides a useful reference guide for newcomers to the IoT security and privacy field.

SAS for Finance

SAS for Finance PDF Author: Harish Gulati
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
ISBN: 1788622480
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 299

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Book Description
Leverage the analytical power of SAS to perform financial analysis efficiently Key Features Leverage the power of SAS to analyze financial data with ease Find hidden patterns in your data, predict future trends, and optimize risk management Learn why leading banks and financial institutions rely on SAS for financial analysis Book Description SAS is a groundbreaking tool for advanced predictive and statistical analytics used by top banks and financial corporations to establish insights from their financial data. SAS for Finance offers you the opportunity to leverage the power of SAS analytics in redefining your data. Packed with real-world examples from leading financial institutions, the author discusses statistical models using time series data to resolve business issues. This book shows you how to exploit the capabilities of this high-powered package to create clean, accurate financial models. You can easily assess the pros and cons of models to suit your unique business needs. By the end of this book, you will be able to leverage the true power of SAS to design and develop accurate analytical models to gain deeper insights into your financial data. What you will learn Understand time series data and its relevance in the financial industry Build a time series forecasting model in SAS using advanced modeling theories Develop models in SAS and infer using regression and Markov chains Forecast inflation by building an econometric model in SAS for your financial planning Manage customer loyalty by creating a survival model in SAS using various groupings Understand similarity analysis and clustering in SAS using time series data Who this book is for Financial data analysts and data scientists who want to use SAS to process and analyze financial data and find hidden patterns and trends from it will find this book useful. Prior exposure to SAS will be helpful but is not mandatory. Some basic understanding of the financial concepts is required.

Financial Data Analytics

Financial Data Analytics PDF Author: Sinem Derindere Köseoğlu
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030837998
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 393

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Book Description
​This book presents both theory of financial data analytics, as well as comprehensive insights into the application of financial data analytics techniques in real financial world situations. It offers solutions on how to logically analyze the enormous amount of structured and unstructured data generated every moment in the finance sector. This data can be used by companies, organizations, and investors to create strategies, as the finance sector rapidly moves towards data-driven optimization. This book provides an efficient resource, addressing all applications of data analytics in the finance sector. International experts from around the globe cover the most important subjects in finance, including data processing, knowledge management, machine learning models, data modeling, visualization, optimization for financial problems, financial econometrics, financial time series analysis, project management, and decision making. The authors provide empirical evidence as examples of specific topics. By combining both applications and theory, the book offers a holistic approach. Therefore, it is a must-read for researchers and scholars of financial economics and finance, as well as practitioners interested in a better understanding of financial data analytics.