Final Epidemic

Final Epidemic PDF Author: Earl Merkel
Publisher: Diversion Books
ISBN: 1626810125
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 455

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Book Description
A Japanese doomsday cult releases a deadly virus and former CIA op Beck Casey races to find a vaccine—in this high-octane thrill ride . . . The first case appears in Miami, initially diagnosed as a common cold—perhaps a mild flu. Then patients start dying. Dr. Carol Mayer begins to suspect a strain she hasn’t seen before, one that has the potential to rapidly escalate to epidemic proportions. As more cases arise, the state of Florida is quarantined, followed by New York, where there is another lethal outbreak. International travel is halted. At the Center for Disease Control in Atlanta, Dr. Beck Casey, a former CIA agent and expert on the horror that is biological warfare, is drafted for a secret mission. A Japanese doomsday cult has committed mass suicide after unleashing a devastating virus. Casey will need to work with his old enemies—the Russians—to find a cure before it’s too late for everyone, including his own daughter, who’s now trapped in the quarantined city of Miami . . .

Final Epidemic

Final Epidemic PDF Author: Earl Merkel
Publisher: Diversion Books
ISBN: 1626810125
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 455

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Book Description
A Japanese doomsday cult releases a deadly virus and former CIA op Beck Casey races to find a vaccine—in this high-octane thrill ride . . . The first case appears in Miami, initially diagnosed as a common cold—perhaps a mild flu. Then patients start dying. Dr. Carol Mayer begins to suspect a strain she hasn’t seen before, one that has the potential to rapidly escalate to epidemic proportions. As more cases arise, the state of Florida is quarantined, followed by New York, where there is another lethal outbreak. International travel is halted. At the Center for Disease Control in Atlanta, Dr. Beck Casey, a former CIA agent and expert on the horror that is biological warfare, is drafted for a secret mission. A Japanese doomsday cult has committed mass suicide after unleashing a devastating virus. Casey will need to work with his old enemies—the Russians—to find a cure before it’s too late for everyone, including his own daughter, who’s now trapped in the quarantined city of Miami . . .

Final Epidemic

Final Epidemic PDF Author: Earl Merkel
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 9780451207302
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 384

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Book Description
A Japanese doomsday cult commits mass suicide after unleashing a horrific epidemic on the world, and physician Carol Mayer joins forces with Beck Casey, a former CIA expert on biological warfare, to find a vaccine before it is too late for all humankind. Original.

The Threat of Pandemic Influenza

The Threat of Pandemic Influenza PDF Author: Institute of Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309095042
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 431

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Book Description
Public health officials and organizations around the world remain on high alert because of increasing concerns about the prospect of an influenza pandemic, which many experts believe to be inevitable. Moreover, recent problems with the availability and strain-specificity of vaccine for annual flu epidemics in some countries and the rise of pandemic strains of avian flu in disparate geographic regions have alarmed experts about the world's ability to prevent or contain a human pandemic. The workshop summary, The Threat of Pandemic Influenza: Are We Ready? addresses these urgent concerns. The report describes what steps the United States and other countries have taken thus far to prepare for the next outbreak of "killer flu." It also looks at gaps in readiness, including hospitals' inability to absorb a surge of patients and many nations' incapacity to monitor and detect flu outbreaks. The report points to the need for international agreements to share flu vaccine and antiviral stockpiles to ensure that the 88 percent of nations that cannot manufacture or stockpile these products have access to them. It chronicles the toll of the H5N1 strain of avian flu currently circulating among poultry in many parts of Asia, which now accounts for the culling of millions of birds and the death of at least 50 persons. And it compares the costs of preparations with the costs of illness and death that could arise during an outbreak.

Stochastic Epidemic Models and Their Statistical Analysis

Stochastic Epidemic Models and Their Statistical Analysis PDF Author: Hakan Andersson
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461211581
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 140

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Book Description
The present lecture notes describe stochastic epidemic models and methods for their statistical analysis. Our aim is to present ideas for such models, and methods for their analysis; along the way we make practical use of several probabilistic and statistical techniques. This will be done without focusing on any specific disease, and instead rigorously analyzing rather simple models. The reader of these lecture notes could thus have a two-fold purpose in mind: to learn about epidemic models and their statistical analysis, and/or to learn and apply techniques in probability and statistics. The lecture notes require an early graduate level knowledge of probability and They introduce several techniques which might be new to students, but our statistics. intention is to present these keeping the technical level at a minlmum. Techniques that are explained and applied in the lecture notes are, for example: coupling, diffusion approximation, random graphs, likelihood theory for counting processes, martingales, the EM-algorithm and MCMC methods. The aim is to introduce and apply these techniques, thus hopefully motivating their further theoretical treatment. A few sections, mainly in Chapter 5, assume some knowledge of weak convergence; we hope that readers not familiar with this theory can understand the these parts at a heuristic level. The text is divided into two distinct but related parts: modelling and estimation.

Stochastic Processes in Epidemic Theory

Stochastic Processes in Epidemic Theory PDF Author: Jean-Pierre Gabriel
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3662100673
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 208

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Book Description
This collection of papers gives a representative cross-selectional view of recent developments in the field. After a survey paper by C. Lefèvre, 17 other research papers look at stochastic modeling of epidemics, both from a theoretical and a statistical point of view. Some look more specifically at a particular disease such as AIDS, malaria, schistosomiasis and diabetes.

Flu

Flu PDF Author: Gina Kolata
Publisher: Farrar, Straus and Giroux
ISBN: 1429979356
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 378

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Book Description
Veteran journalist Gina Kolata's Flu: The Story of the Great Influenza Pandemic of 1918 and the Search for the Virus That Caused It presents a fascinating look at true story of the world's deadliest disease. In 1918, the Great Flu Epidemic felled the young and healthy virtually overnight. An estimated forty million people died as the epidemic raged. Children were left orphaned and families were devastated. As many American soldiers were killed by the 1918 flu as were killed in battle during World War I. And no area of the globe was safe. Eskimos living in remote outposts in the frozen tundra were sickened and killed by the flu in such numbers that entire villages were wiped out. Scientists have recently rediscovered shards of the flu virus frozen in Alaska and preserved in scraps of tissue in a government warehouse. Gina Kolata, an acclaimed reporter for The New York Times, unravels the mystery of this lethal virus with the high drama of a great adventure story. Delving into the history of the flu and previous epidemics, detailing the science and the latest understanding of this mortal disease, Kolata addresses the prospects for a great epidemic recurring, and, most important, what can be done to prevent it.

A Short History of Mathematical Population Dynamics

A Short History of Mathematical Population Dynamics PDF Author: Nicolas Bacaër
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0857291157
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 160

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Book Description
As Eugene Wigner stressed, mathematics has proven unreasonably effective in the physical sciences and their technological applications. The role of mathematics in the biological, medical and social sciences has been much more modest but has recently grown thanks to the simulation capacity offered by modern computers. This book traces the history of population dynamics---a theoretical subject closely connected to genetics, ecology, epidemiology and demography---where mathematics has brought significant insights. It presents an overview of the genesis of several important themes: exponential growth, from Euler and Malthus to the Chinese one-child policy; the development of stochastic models, from Mendel's laws and the question of extinction of family names to percolation theory for the spread of epidemics, and chaotic populations, where determinism and randomness intertwine. The reader of this book will see, from a different perspective, the problems that scientists face when governments ask for reliable predictions to help control epidemics (AIDS, SARS, swine flu), manage renewable resources (fishing quotas, spread of genetically modified organisms) or anticipate demographic evolutions such as aging.

Pandemic Influenza Preparedness and Response

Pandemic Influenza Preparedness and Response PDF Author: World Health Organization
Publisher: World Health Organization
ISBN: 9241547685
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 62

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Book Description
This guidance is an update of WHO global influenza preparedness plan: the role of WHO and recommendations for national measures before and during pandemics, published March 2005 (WHO/CDS/CSR/GIP/2005.5).

American Pandemic

American Pandemic PDF Author: Nancy K. Bristow
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0190238550
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 295

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Book Description
In 1918-1919 influenza raged around the globe in the worst pandemic in recorded history. Focusing on those closest to the crisis--patients, families, communities, public health officials, nurses and doctors--this book explores the epidemic in the United States.

Dryp

Dryp PDF Author: R. A. Scheuring
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781735441702
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 522

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Book Description
An Old World Killer is Back. With One Critical Difference.After an exchange student with bubonic plague turns up in a Reno hospital, a contractor with identical symptoms dies in Los Angeles. The government 's official stance is that the cases are isolated, and the outbreak is under control. But George Mack, a 30-year public health veteran, quickly realizes this is no ordinary plague. The death toll is too high, and the spread pattern make no sense. As Reno's hospitals fill with plague victims, Mack begins to believe that there is more to the epidemic than the CDC is letting on-and that he must take drastic steps if he hopes to save his city.Medical resident Dr. Susan Barry just wants to finish her training and get a real job. But when plague patients start showing up in her Los Angeles hospital, her plans for the future suddenly go off the rails. Faced with a growing crisis, Susan teams up with an old research mentor to determine the unthinkable: is the rapidly spreading plague an act of bioterrorism? Racing against the clock, Susan must also confront another disturbing possibility. She may be one of the plague's few survivors.In Eastern Oregon, John Harr makes a pact with his fellow ranchers to keep the "California" plague out of the high desert where they live. Using roadblocks and quarantine, Harr and his neighbors think they've secured their home-until a mysterious and heavily armed convoy comes to town, and Harr must use his training from his past life in the military to protect the people he loves.