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Author: Arif Ahmed
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108607861
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 112
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Book Description
Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.
Author: Arif Ahmed
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108607861
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 112
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Book Description
Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.
Author: James M. Joyce
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521641647
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 300
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Book Description
The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true.
Author: Martin Peterson
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107151597
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 351
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Book Description
A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.
Author: Richard Bradley
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107003210
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 351
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Book Description
Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.
Author: Arif Ahmed
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1316853004
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 244
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Book Description
Newcomb's problem is a controversial paradox of decision theory. It is easily explained and easily understood, and there is a strong chance that most of us have actually faced it in some form or other. And yet it has proven as thorny and intractable a puzzle as much older and better-known philosophical problems of consciousness, scepticism and fatalism. It brings into very sharp and focused disagreement several long-standing philosophical theories on practical rationality, on the nature of free will, and on the direction and analysis of causation. This volume introduces readers to the nature of Newcomb's problem, and ten chapters by leading scholars present the most recent debates around the problem and analyse its ramifications for decision theory, metaphysics, philosophical psychology and political science. Their chapters highlight the status of Newcomb's problem as a live and continuing issue in modern philosophy.
Author: José Luis Bermúdez
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108349676
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 521
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Book Description
Thinking about self-control takes us to the heart of practical decision-making, human agency, motivation, and rational choice. Psychologists, philosophers, and decision theorists have all brought valuable insights and perspectives on how to model self-control, on different mechanisms for achieving and strengthening self-control, and on how self-control fits into the overall cognitive and affective economy. Yet these different literatures have remained relatively insulated from each other. Self-Control, Decision Theory, and Rationality brings them into dialog by focusing on the theme of rationality. It contains eleven newly written essays by a distinguished group of philosophers, psychologists, and decision theorists, together with a substantial introduction, collectively offering state-of-the-art perspectives on the rationality of self-control and the different mechanisms for achieving it.
Author: Mark Kaplan
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521624961
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 250
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Book Description
Kaplan presents an accessible new variant on Bayesian decision theory.
Author: Cristina Bicchieri
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 019535365X
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 208
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Book Description
Edited by three leading figures in the field, this exciting volume presents cutting-edge work in decision theory by a distinguished international roster of contributors. These mostly unpublished papers address a host of crucial areas in the contemporary philosophical study of rationality and knowledge. Topics include causal versus evidential decision theory, game theory, backwards induction, bounded rationality, counterfactual reasoning in games and in general, analyses of the famous common knowledge assumptions in game theory, and evaluations of the normal versus extensive form formulations of complex decision problems.
Author: Richard C. Jeffrey
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521397704
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 262
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Book Description
Spanning a period of 35 years, this collection of essays includes some of the classic works of one of the most distinquished and influential philosophers working in the field of decision theory and the theory of knowledge.
Author: Richard C. Jeffrey
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226395820
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 245
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Book Description
"[This book] proposes new foundations for the Bayesian principle of rational action, and goes on to develop a new logic of desirability and probabtility."—Frederic Schick, Journal of Philosophy
