Effects of Inflation Differentials in the Euro Area PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Effects of Inflation Differentials in the Euro Area PDF full book. Access full book title Effects of Inflation Differentials in the Euro Area by Pietro Galardi. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Pietro Galardi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
In this Thesis, I investigate the effects that Euro area inflation differentials have on member countries. By means of a literature and theory review, I identify the main channels by which inflation differentials influence the real output of Euro area economies: the Real Interest Rate, the Real Exchange Rate, and the Wealth Effect channel. I use a panel data estimation on the Euro 12 countries from 1998Q1 to 2016Q3 to find that the Real Exchange Rate channel has gained prominence compared to previous empirical works found in the literature, representing an effect that is from two to four times larger than the Real Interest Rate. Instead, the Wealth Effect (proxied by changes in house prices) is at comparable levels with previous researches. Moreover, I select countries within the Euro area that are expected to be more exposed to RERs and RIRs, based on literature findings and country-specific characteristics. The estimated coefficients for these subgroups are stronger than for their Euro area counterparts. Lastly, I estimate different coefficients for the period before and after the financial crisis in 2008. I find that RIRs has become more impactful in the most recent period, while RERs effects seem to have decreased.
Author: Pietro Galardi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
In this Thesis, I investigate the effects that Euro area inflation differentials have on member countries. By means of a literature and theory review, I identify the main channels by which inflation differentials influence the real output of Euro area economies: the Real Interest Rate, the Real Exchange Rate, and the Wealth Effect channel. I use a panel data estimation on the Euro 12 countries from 1998Q1 to 2016Q3 to find that the Real Exchange Rate channel has gained prominence compared to previous empirical works found in the literature, representing an effect that is from two to four times larger than the Real Interest Rate. Instead, the Wealth Effect (proxied by changes in house prices) is at comparable levels with previous researches. Moreover, I select countries within the Euro area that are expected to be more exposed to RERs and RIRs, based on literature findings and country-specific characteristics. The estimated coefficients for these subgroups are stronger than for their Euro area counterparts. Lastly, I estimate different coefficients for the period before and after the financial crisis in 2008. I find that RIRs has become more impactful in the most recent period, while RERs effects seem to have decreased.
Author: Ms.Florence Jaumotte
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1463933800
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36
Get Book Here
Book Description
While inflation differentials in a monetary union can be benign, reflecting a catch-up process, or an adjustment mechanism to asymmetric shocks or different business cycles, they may also indicate distortions related to inefficiencies in domestic product and labor markets that amplify or make more persistent the impact of shocks on inflation. The paper examines the determinants of inflation differentials in the euro area, with emphasis on the role of country specific labor and product market institutions. The analysis uses a traditional backward-looking Phillips curve equation and augments it to explore the role of collective bargaining systems, union density, employment protection, and product market regulation. The model is estimated over a panel dataset of 10 euro area countries over the period 1983-2007. Results show that high employment protection, intermediate coordination of collective bargaining, and high union density increase the persistence of inflation. Oil and raw materials price shocks are also more likely to be accommodated by wage increases when the degree of coordination in collective bargaining is intermediate. These results are robust to different estimation methods, model specifications, and outliers. The paper suggests that reforming labor market institutions may improve the functioning of the euro area by reducing the risk of persistent inflation differentials.
Author: Ronald MacDonald
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
We propose an alternative explanation for the nature, sources and consequences of inflation rate differentials in a monetary union, such as the euro area. We build on the new neoclassical synthesis (NNS) framework, recently advanced by Goodfriend (2002) and Goodfriend and King (2000). Based on the NNS setup, we discuss the inflationary consequences of the catching-up process in a heterogeneous monetary union. In particular, we explore the interaction between catching-up and inflation differentials and offer an interpretation of the nature of this interaction. We demonstrate that divergent inflation rates between Member States do not necessarily have to be an equilibrium phenomenon, even if the original shock comes from the supply-side of the economy. Second, we show how such divergence of individual country's inflation rates may arise when countries differ in size and in trend productivity growth.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789291814107
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 59
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Cristina Checherita-Westphal
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789289955164
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Get Book Here
Book Description
This paper provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the role of discretionary fiscal policy for inflation differentials across the 19 euro area countries over the period 1999-2019. The results confirm existing (older) literature that it is difficult to find robust evidence of the fiscal policy stance or impulse impacting directly on inflation differentials. We do find, however, support for an indirect effect of discretionary fiscal policy on inflation differentials working through the output gap channel. There is also some evidence that fiscal policy may be especially potent in influencing inflation differentials - with fiscal tightening cooling (and fiscal expansion increasing) inflation pressures - when the economy is above its potential. Finally, going from the overall fiscal stance or impulse to individual fiscal instruments, we find that value added tax (VAT) rate changes and public wage growth are statistically significant determinants of inflation differentials in our sample.
Author: Vaclav Zdarek
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Get Book Here
Book Description
In this paper, we present evidence on the statistical features of observed dispersion in inflation rates in the Euro area. Our descriptive exercise shows that there is still a remarkable dispersion of HICP inflation rates and most of dispersion originates in the non-traded categories of the HICP. We examine the determinants of inflation differentials in a panel of the states of the Euro area in 1999-2007. The evidence shows that output gaps and a proxy for price level convergence were statistically significant; some determinants that were found significant in previous studies did not have impact on inflation (e.g. exchange rate).
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
In this paper, we examine the determinants of inflation differentials in a panel of the new European Union member states vis-à-vis the euro area in 1997-2007. Our main results are as follows. Exchange rate appreciation and higher price level in the new EU members is associated with narrower inflation differential vis-à-vis the euro area, while fiscal deficit and positive output gap seem to contribute to higher inflation differential. Nevertheless, the effect of price convergence on inflation differentials is found to be dominating in these countries suggesting that a country with price level 20% below the euro area average is likely to exhibit inflation nearly one percentage point above the euro area. Overall, our results indicate that real convergence factors rather than cyclical variation are more important for inflation developments in the new EU members, as compared to the euro area. -- inflation differentials ; price convergence ; exchange rate ; New EU members ; panel data
Author: Laura Moretti
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
Inflation differentials in the euro area have been persistent since the adoption of the single currency. This paper analyzes the impact of product and labor market regulation on inflation in a sample of 11 countries. The results show that, after the adoption of the euro, product market deregulation has a relevant and significant effect on the level of inflation, while higher labor market regulation increases the responsiveness of inflation to the output gap.
Author: Nada Choueiri
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 46
Get Book Here
Book Description
This paper explores inflation determinants within the EU and implications for new members' euro adoption plans. Factor analysis partitions observed inflation in EU25 countries into common-origin and country-specific (idiosyncratic) components. Cross-country differences in common-origin inflation within the EU are found to depend on gaps in the initial price level, changes in the nominal effective exchange rate, the quality of institutions, and the economy's flexibility. Idiosyncratic inflation is generally small in magnitude. Nonetheless, the results show that country-specific shocks have systematically pushed down headline inflation, potentially influencing the assessment of compliance with the Maastricht inflation criterion.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789284699490
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Get Book Here
Book Description
According to its price stability mandate, the European Central Bank (ECB) conducts a single monetary policy by targeting the aggregate euro area inflation rate. Even though monetary policy is not geared towards addressing inflation dispersion between Member States, wide inflation differentials have implications for monetary policy. At the moment of extreme volatility and high energy prices, Member States experience very high levels of headline and core inflation dispersion, affecting monetary policy transmission. Notable differences can also be viewed in inflation expectations and wage-price dynamics, with all these factors putting constraints on the ECB to deliver on its price stability mandate effectively. Three papers were prepared by the ECON Committee's Monetary Expert Panel, analysing inflation dispersion in the euro area and the policy implications arising from wide inflation differentials. This publication was provided by the Policy Department for Economic, Scientific and Quality of Life Policies at the request of the committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) ahead of the Monetary Dialogue with the ECB President on 28 of November.
