Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts

Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts PDF Author: Robert S. Pindyck
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 608

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Book Description
Textbook on econometric models and economic forecasts - comprises an introduction to the science and art of building and applying economic models, focussing on models of processes occurring in business economics and the social sciences, describes the range of models (incl. Time series, single-equation regression and multi-equation simulation models), etc., and includes solutions to selected problems. Graphs and statistical tables.

Understanding Economic Forecasts

Understanding Economic Forecasts PDF Author: David F. Hendry
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262582421
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 236

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Book Description
How to interpret and evaluate economic forecasts and the uncertainties inherent in them.

Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts

Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts PDF Author: Robert S. Pindyck
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 608

Get Book Here

Book Description
Textbook on econometric models and economic forecasts - comprises an introduction to the science and art of building and applying economic models, focussing on models of processes occurring in business economics and the social sciences, describes the range of models (incl. Time series, single-equation regression and multi-equation simulation models), etc., and includes solutions to selected problems. Graphs and statistical tables.

TSP Handbook to Accompany Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts

TSP Handbook to Accompany Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts PDF Author: Bronwyn H. Hall
Publisher: McGraw-Hill/Irwin
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 292

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Book Description


Forecasting Economic Time Series

Forecasting Economic Time Series PDF Author: Michael Clements
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521634809
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 402

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Book Description
This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.

An Introduction to Econometric Forecasting and Forecasting Models

An Introduction to Econometric Forecasting and Forecasting Models PDF Author: Lawrence Robert Klein
Publisher: Free Press
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 184

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Book Description
The model approach to economic forecasting; Model resources and structure; Specification and validation of a forecasting model; Forecasting.

Econometric Analysis of Regional Systems

Econometric Analysis of Regional Systems PDF Author: Norman J. Glickman
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 1483265978
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223

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Book Description
Econometric Analysis of Regional Systems: Explorations in Model Building and Policy Analysis provides information pertinent to the use of regional econometric models for forecasting and policy analysis. This book presents macroeconomic forecasting for metropolitan regions. Organized into five chapters, this book begins with an overview of the problem of forecasting regional economic activity. This text then analyzes the principal types, economic base, input–output, and econometric of the regional economic models. Other chapters consider a large-scale econometric model for the Philadelphia region based on time series data to make forecasts for output, employment, prices, wages, income, economic activity, and other economic aggregates. This book discusses as well the types of forecasting models used in regional analysis. The final chapter deals with econometric techniques to bear on the problem of regional economic forecasting. This book is a valuable resource for economists, local policy makers, and government officials.

Economic Forecasting

Economic Forecasting PDF Author: Graham Elliott
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400880890
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 567

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Book Description
A comprehensive and integrated approach to economic forecasting problems Economic forecasting involves choosing simple yet robust models to best approximate highly complex and evolving data-generating processes. This poses unique challenges for researchers in a host of practical forecasting situations, from forecasting budget deficits and assessing financial risk to predicting inflation and stock market returns. Economic Forecasting presents a comprehensive, unified approach to assessing the costs and benefits of different methods currently available to forecasters. This text approaches forecasting problems from the perspective of decision theory and estimation, and demonstrates the profound implications of this approach for how we understand variable selection, estimation, and combination methods for forecasting models, and how we evaluate the resulting forecasts. Both Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods are covered in depth, as are a range of cutting-edge techniques for producing point, interval, and density forecasts. The book features detailed presentations and empirical examples of a range of forecasting methods and shows how to generate forecasts in the presence of large-dimensional sets of predictor variables. The authors pay special attention to how estimation error, model uncertainty, and model instability affect forecasting performance. Presents a comprehensive and integrated approach to assessing the strengths and weaknesses of different forecasting methods Approaches forecasting from a decision theoretic and estimation perspective Covers Bayesian modeling, including methods for generating density forecasts Discusses model selection methods as well as forecast combinations Covers a large range of nonlinear prediction models, including regime switching models, threshold autoregressions, and models with time-varying volatility Features numerous empirical examples Examines the latest advances in forecast evaluation Essential for practitioners and students alike

Comparative Performance of U.S. Econometric Models

Comparative Performance of U.S. Econometric Models PDF Author: Lawrence Robert Klein
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0195057724
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 338

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Book Description
Each year, a number of different economic groups in the USA use their own econometric models to forecast what will happen to the economy in the coming year. This volume consists of chapters by distinguished economists comparing the different models now being used.

Evaluation of Econometric Models

Evaluation of Econometric Models PDF Author: Jan Kmenta
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 1483267342
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 425

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Book Description
Evaluation of Econometric Models presents approaches to assessing and enhancing the progress of applied economic research. This book discusses the problems and issues in evaluating econometric models, use of exploratory methods in economic analysis, and model construction and evaluation when theoretical knowledge is scarce. The data analysis by partial least squares, prediction analysis of economic models, and aggregation and disaggregation of nonlinear equations are also elaborated. This text likewise covers the comparison of econometric models by optimal control techniques, role of time series analysis in econometric model evaluation, and hypothesis testing in spectral regression. Other topics include the relevance of laboratory experiments to testing resource allocation theory and token economy and animal models for the experimental analysis of economic behavior. This publication is intended for students and researchers interested in evaluating econometric models.

A Guide to Econometrics

A Guide to Econometrics PDF Author: Peter Kennedy
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1405182571
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 608

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Book Description
Dieses etwas andere Lehrbuch bietet keine vorgefertigten Rezepte und Problemlösungen, sondern eine kritische Diskussion ökonometrischer Modelle und Methoden: voller überraschender Fragen, skeptisch, humorvoll und anwendungsorientiert. Sein Erfolg gibt ihm Recht.