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Author: Cameron Truong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 50
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Book Description
We document a significant positive relation between earnings announcement idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns in the 10-day window before future earnings announcements. The average of risk-adjusted return differences between stocks with the highest earnings announcement idiosyncratic volatility and stocks with the lowest earnings announcement idiosyncratic volatility exceeds 100 basis points in the 10 days leading up to the earnings announcements. The pricing of earnings announcement idiosyncratic volatility is asymmetric where only idiosyncratic volatility based on positive stock returns is priced. This is consistent with the argument that investors have a preference for stocks with large payoffs during earnings announcements.
Author: Cameron Truong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 50
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Book Description
We document a significant positive relation between earnings announcement idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns in the 10-day window before future earnings announcements. The average of risk-adjusted return differences between stocks with the highest earnings announcement idiosyncratic volatility and stocks with the lowest earnings announcement idiosyncratic volatility exceeds 100 basis points in the 10 days leading up to the earnings announcements. The pricing of earnings announcement idiosyncratic volatility is asymmetric where only idiosyncratic volatility based on positive stock returns is priced. This is consistent with the argument that investors have a preference for stocks with large payoffs during earnings announcements.
Author: Namho Kang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stocks
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
This paper uncovers the changes in the cross-sectional distribution of idiosyncratic volatility of stocks over the period 1963--2008. The contribution of the top decile to the total market idiosyncratic volatility increased, while the contribution of the bottom decile decreased. We introduce a simple theoretical model showing that larger capital of Long/Short-Equity funds further exacerbates large idiosyncratic shocks but attenuates small idiosyncratic shocks. This effect is stronger for more illiquid stocks. Time-series and cross-sectional results are consistent with the predictions of the model. The results are robust to industry affiliation, stock liquidity, firm size, firm leverage, as well as sign of price change. These findings highlight the roll of hedge funds and other institutional investors in explaining the dynamics of extreme realizations in the cross-section of returns.
Author: Marco Di Maggio
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Despite positive and significant earnings announcement premia, we find that institutional investors reduce their exposure to stocks before earnings announcements. A novel result on the sensitivity of flows to individual stock returns provides a potential explanation. We show that extreme announcement returns for an individual holding lead to substantial outflows, controlling for overall performance, and they increase the probability of managers leaving the fund. Reducing the exposure to these stocks before the announcement mitigates the outflows. We build a model to describe and quantify this tradeoff. Overall, the paper identifies a new dimension of limits to arbitrage for institutions.
Author: Turan G. Bali
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118589475
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 512
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Book Description
“Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.
Author: Turan G. Bali
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 66
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Book Description
We show that stocks that experience a sudden increase in idiosyncratic volatility earn abnormally high contemporaneous returns but significantly underperform otherwise similar stocks in the future. Our findings indicate that volatility shocks can be traced to unusual firm-level news. We conjecture that these unusual news events increase the level of investor disagreement about firms' fundamental values. Because short-selling of highly volatile stocks is costly, prices rise to reflect the more optimistic views but then revert down as investors' opinions start to converge. The observed patterns of trade order imbalances and changes in investor disagreement lend support for this hypothesis.
Author: Turan G. Bali
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
We document that stocks that experience sudden increases in idiosyncratic volatility underperform otherwise similar stocks in the future, and we propose that this phenomenon can be explained by the Miller (1977) conjecture. We show that volatility shocks can be traced to the unusual firm-level news flow, which temporarily increases the level of investor disagreement about the firm value. At the same time, volatility shocks pose a barrier to short selling, preventing pessimistic investors from expressing their views. In the presence of divergent opinions and short selling constraints, prices end up initially reflecting optimistic views but adjust down in the future as investors' opinions converge.
Author: Ruslan Goyenko
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 55
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Book Description
A number of papers document a strong negative relation between idiosyncratic volatility and risk-adjusted stock returns. Using IHS Markit data on indicative borrowing fees, we show that stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility are far more likely to be hard-to-borrow than stocks with low idiosyncratic volatility. When hard-to-borrow stocks are excluded, the relation between idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns disappears. The relation between idiosyncratic volatility and stocks returns is more accurately described as a relation between being hard-to-borrow and stock returns.
Author: Halbert White
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 9780198296836
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 512
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Book Description
A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.
Author: Andrew Ang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stocks
Languages : en
Pages : 55
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Book Description
"We examine the pricing of aggregate volatility risk in the cross-section of stock returns. Consistent with theory, we find that stocks with high sensitivities to innovations in aggregate volatility have low average returns. In addition, we find that stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility relative to the Fama and French (1993) model have abysmally low average returns. This phenomenon cannot be explained by exposure to aggregate volatility risk. Size, book-to-market, momentum, and liquidity effects cannot account for either the low average returns earned by stocks with high exposure to systematic volatility risk or for the low average returns of stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
Author: Sana Mohsni
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
