Dynamics of Commercial Real Estate Asset Markets, Return Volatility, and the Investment Horizon PDF Download
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Author: Christian Rehring
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
The term structure of return volatility is estimated for both UK and US direct and securitized commercial real estate, using vector auto-regressions. In a similar manner to the general stock market, returns of UK direct real estate and property shares, as well as US real estate investment trust returns, exhibit strong mean reversion. By contrast, US direct real estate returns show a considerable mean aversion effect over short investment horizons. This can be explained by the positive correlation between cash-flow and discount rate news, which can be interpreted as an under-reaction to cash-flow news. When estimating the return volatility of direct real estate markets, long-term investors need not be concerned about the choice of the parameter value used to un-smooth appraisal-based returns, because estimates of long-term volatility are almost unaffected by this choice.
Author: Christian Rehring
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
The term structure of return volatility is estimated for both UK and US direct and securitized commercial real estate, using vector auto-regressions. In a similar manner to the general stock market, returns of UK direct real estate and property shares, as well as US real estate investment trust returns, exhibit strong mean reversion. By contrast, US direct real estate returns show a considerable mean aversion effect over short investment horizons. This can be explained by the positive correlation between cash-flow and discount rate news, which can be interpreted as an under-reaction to cash-flow news. When estimating the return volatility of direct real estate markets, long-term investors need not be concerned about the choice of the parameter value used to un-smooth appraisal-based returns, because estimates of long-term volatility are almost unaffected by this choice.
Author: Michael Ball
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 113474966X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 422
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Book Description
This new text provides a rigorous analysis of real estate markets. Three main sections cover: microeconomics of property markets the macroeconomics of commercial property the financial economics of property Global empirical examples illustrate the theories and issues. This often complex area is made accessible: each chapter contains a boxed summary and questions for self-testing or discussion.
Author: David Geltner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Conventional real estate price indices provide a single measure for the path of asset prices over time (controlling for the quality of the representative or average property). But it could be that properties have different price dynamics based on the price segment they are traded in. On the demand side, investors at different price points are differentiated by the amount of capital the investor has at their disposal and the type and source of financing. Smaller, private investors cluster at lower price points, while large institutions dominate the high price points. On the supply side, properties at different price points may serve different space markets with different types of tenants, and may reflect different supply elasticity and land/structure value ratios. This paper uses an unconventional approach, quantile regression, to estimate price indices for different price segments in commercial real estate. Our results show that there are indeed large differences in price dynamics for different price points. These differences are suggestive of a lack of integration in the property asset market, because we find apparent differences in the risk/return relationship. Lower price point properties exhibit less risk (in the form of volatility and cycle amplitude), but without evidence of lower total returns. Lower price point properties also show greater momentum and hence, predictability.
Author: Andrew Baum
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
ISBN: 1136416420
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 434
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Book Description
* Author of high repute, both in academia and business * Clearly written, accessible and completely revised for investors, managers, advisors and students * Highly topical in today’s challenging market conditions This book uniquely combines academic literature and practical experience to provide a straightforward and integrated view on global real estate investment for pension funds, other institutions and professionals, particularly in the UK. The book is divided into three sections. Part One describes the market, the industry and the investment vehicles available, as well as a performance history of UK real estate as an asset class. Part Two discusses the property investment process and the tools required to develop excellence in executing that process. Part Three provides material for debate about the likely changes over the short and medium term. Designed for practitioners facing the tough global market challenges, this book provides a fascinating read for fund managers, investors, banking staff, property advisors and students.
Author: Stephen J. Brown
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1441986421
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 126
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Book Description
In March 1999, New York University Salomon Center in assocIatIOn with the Department of Finance at NYU Stern held a one-day conference on the impact of real estate cycles on the real estate industry both from a domestic as well as an international perspective. The conference featured the leading research on this topic in the United States, Europe and Asia. Currendy, the real estate industry is at a critical point. New development projects around the world are being put on hold given recent developments in the international capital markets. The industry is hard hit by the decline in real estate investment trust (REIT) share prices and a shrink ing pool of capital for real estate ventures. This has unfortunately coincided with serious financial problems of very large hedge funds and other institutional investors in the market for commercial mortgage backed securities. There is need for new insights into the implications of U. S. and global real estate cycles on real estate secu rities including REITs and mortgage-backed securities as well as direct real estate investment. This global orientation is important given the high mobility of capital into the real estate, the increasing integration of real estate markets, and the proposed expan sion of real estate investment trusts (REIT) into international real estate. The process of globalization has resulted in increased competition between cities for the attrac tion of investment.
Author: Hsien-hsing Liao
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9812795618
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 265
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Book Description
Real estate finance is a fast-developing area where top quality research is in great demand. In the US, the real estate market is worth about US$4 trillion, and the REITs market about US$200 billion; tens of thousands of real estate professionals are working in this area. The market overseas could be considerably larger, especially in Asia. Given the rapidly growing real estate securities industry, this book fills an important gap in current real estate research and teaching. It is an ideal reference for investment professionals as well as senior MBA and PhD students. Contents: Introduction: Real Estate Analysis in a Dynamic Risk Environment; The Predictability of Returns on Equity REITs and Their Co-Movement with Other Assets; The Predictability of Real Estate Returns and Market Timing; A Time-Varying Risk Analysis of Equity and Real Estate Markets in the US and Japan; Price Reversal, Transaction Costs, and Arbitrage Profits in Real Estate Securities Market; Bank Risk and Real Estate: An Asset Pricing Perspective; Assessing the OC Santa ClausOCO Approach to Asset Allocation: Implications for Commercial Real Estate Investment; The Time-Variation of Risk for Life Insurance Companies; The Return Distributions of Property Shares in Emerging Markets; Conditional Risk Premiums of Asian Real Estate Stocks; Institutional Factors and Real Estate Returns: A Cross-Country Study. Readership: Financial researchers, real estate investors and investment bankers, as well as senior MBA and PhD students."
Author: Harold Kent Baker
Publisher:
ISBN: 0199993270
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 335
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Book Description
Real estate is typically classified as an alternative to more traditional investments such as stocks and bonds. Real estate investing involves the purchase, ownership, management, rental, or sale of real estate for profit. Real estate investments can be both income producing and non-income producing. Although real estate can produce income like a bond and appreciate like a stock, this tangible asset has several unique characteristics as well as advantages and disadvantages relative to other investment alternatives. Benefits of including real estate in a portfolio include diversification, yield enhancement, risk reduction, tax management, and inflation hedging. Unlike traditional investments, investors in real estate have the ability to influence performance. Real estate has drawbacks in that it requires management, is costly and difficult to buy, sell, and operate, and sometimes has lower liquidity. Additionally, measuring the relative performance of real estate can be challenging. The purpose of this 14-chapter book is to provide an overview and synthesis of public real estate markets and investments in a global context. The book discusses the major types and the latest trends within public real estate markets and presents the results of research studies in a straightforward manner. It has three sections: (1) foundations of public real estate, (2) public debt markets and investments, and (3) public equity markets and investments. The book should be interest to various groups including academics, practitioners, investors, and students. Readers should gain a greater appreciation of what is needed for success when investing in public real estate markets. For more information about private real estate, read Private Real Estate Markets and Investments.
Author: David J. Lynn
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470901098
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 256
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Book Description
“This book is a comprehensive and insightful overview of international real estate focusing on three of the BRICs: China, India and Brazil. I was pleasantly surprised to find useful market data and industry profiles for each of the countries that were very consistent with my first hand experience. The book has a wealth of information for the real estate investment analyst and practitioner and will be very useful to those seeking guidance on what to expect in emerging markets.” —Joseph F. Azrack, Managing Partner, Real Estate, Apollo Global Management “David Lynn has set the bar with respect to real estate investment in the most compelling emerging markets. Lynn provides a framework for thinking about highly dynamic markets characterized by youthful populations, extraordinary demand, capital inefficiency and, most importantly, aspiration. This book will enlighten institutional investors and entrepreneurs alike. I look forward to another work by David Lynn addressing the frontier markets.” —Gary R. Garrabrant, CEO & Co-Founder, Equity International An informed look at investing in emerging market real estate Focusing primarily on private equity real estate investment in China, India, and Brazil this reliable resource develops a general approach to commercial real estate investment in emerging markets, and illustrates some common strategies and analytical methods that can be implemented within this arena. Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, Emerging Market Real Estate Investment focuses on broad investment themes and strategies as well as economic and legal/institutional factors, rather than the minute details of local market analyses. Opening with two informative chapters that provide an overview of the fundamentals of commercial and international real estate investment, this practical guide then moves on to the country-specific chapters of China, India, and Brazil. Outlines various real estate investment options and strategies for emerging markets such as China, India, and Brazil Discusses the main features of each real estate market, including real estate foreign direct investment (FDI) Analyzes several primary real estate sectors in each country: office, retail, residential, industrial, and hotel where applicable Written with both institutional and private investors in mind, Emerging Market Real Estate Investment will put you in a better position to excel in emerging real estate markets. Praise for Emerging Market Real Estate Investment: “Emerging Market Real Estate Investment is written with a top down strategic orientation. It presents an excellent overview for US institutional investors planning to invest in offshore real estate in general and emerging markets and China, India and Brazil specifically. It covers all the key points my firm had to address before investing in China. I wish it had been available then.” —Robert H. Zerbst, Former Chairman & CEO, CB Richard Ellis Investors “This book does for international real estate what Samuelson’s primary Economics text did for economics students—it finally provides a new discipline with its first Bible. As cross-border real estate capital flows are on the rise, and investors increasingly seek compelling risk-adjusted returns in emerging markets, this book couldn’t have come at a better time in the market cycle. It is rich in content and filled with practical insights” —Kenneth A. Munkacy, Senior Managing Director, GID International Group/GID Investment Advisers, LLC “With American real estate in the doldrums, more investors will be looking abroad. David and Tim's analysis of international real estate investment, focused on three of the world’s most dynamic economies, provides exceptionally detailed knowledge concerning what real estate markets are really like in China, India, and Brazil. It is essential reading for investors considering those markets.” —Anthony Downs, Senior Fellow, the Brookings Institution “David Lynn and Tim Wang have written the 'must read' book for all real estate investors in emerging Brazil, China and India. They comprehensively cover the landscape of issues—economic, policy, legal, markets, sectors, entry, exit and strategies. Of noted value is their sanguine assessment of the risks and opportunities of alternative strategies in each country. The first outlay for all should be their book.” —Dr. Raymond G Torto, CRE, Global Chief Economist, CB Richard Ellis "Emerging Market Real Estate Investment is a powerful tool for those engaged in foreign investment generally, as well as in China, India and Brazil in particular. It combines a broad general view of competitive strategy with local detail on costs and legal aspects. The book is an intelligent and practical guide to foreign real estate investment." —Bowen H. McCoy, CRE, Formerly Partner and Managing Director, Morgan Stanley
Author: Martin Roth
Publisher: Wiley
ISBN: 9780731402939
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
In this fully revised and updated edition of How Investing in Commercial Property Really Works you'll discover: the many alternatives available for investing in commercial property, which number far more than most investors realise the latest statistics indicating that commercial property provides a stronger long-term return than all other asset classes, including residential property and shares, and with less volatility the eight steps to acquiring investment property for maximum return how you can be a winner in negotiations the effect that emerging social and economic trends -- including the ageing population and regional resurgence -- may have on Australia's commercial property market and your commercial property investments, in years to come how you can add value to your property for even greater returns why, how and when to sell your commercial property the many taxation advantages of an investment in commercial property the benefits you can reap private syndicates, and how they are structured a wealth of resources for investors in commercial property.
Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 019160691X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 272
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Book Description
Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.
