Author: Mike West
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1475793650
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 720
Get Book Here
Book Description
In this book we are concerned with Bayesian learning and forecast ing in dynamic environments. We describe the structure and theory of classes of dynamic models, and their uses in Bayesian forecasting. The principles, models and methods of Bayesian forecasting have been developed extensively during the last twenty years. This devel opment has involved thorough investigation of mathematical and sta tistical aspects of forecasting models and related techniques. With this has come experience with application in a variety of areas in commercial and industrial, scientific and socio-economic fields. In deed much of the technical development has been driven by the needs of forecasting practitioners. As a result, there now exists a relatively complete statistical and mathematical framework, although much of this is either not properly documented or not easily accessible. Our primary goals in writing this book have been to present our view of this approach to modelling and forecasting, and to provide a rea sonably complete text for advanced university students and research workers. The text is primarily intended for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students in statistics and mathematics. In line with this objective we present thorough discussion of mathematical and statistical features of Bayesian analyses of dynamic models, with illustrations, examples and exercises in each Chapter.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Great Britain
Languages : en
Pages : 1036
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: United States. Office of the Chief of Naval Operations
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Arctic regions
Languages : en
Pages : 618
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Pierre Manent
Publisher: Harvard University Press
ISBN: 0674727703
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 349
Get Book Here
Book Description
What is the best way to govern ourselves? The history of the West has been shaped by the struggle to answer this question, according to Pierre Manent. A major achievement by one of Europe's most influential political philosophers, Metamorphoses of the City is a sweeping interpretation of Europe's ambition since ancient times to generate ever better forms of collective self-government, and a reflection on what it means to be modern. Manent's genealogy of the nation-state begins with the Greek city-state, the polis. With its creation, humans ceased to organize themselves solely by family and kinship systems and instead began to live politically. Eventually, as the polis exhausted its possibilities in warfare and civil strife, cities evolved into empires, epitomized by Rome, and empires in turn gave way to the universal Catholic Church and finally the nation-state. Through readings of Aristotle, Augustine, Montaigne, and others, Manent charts an intellectual history of these political forms, allowing us to see that the dynamic of competition among them is a central force in the evolution of Western civilization. Scarred by the legacy of world wars, submerged in an increasingly technical transnational bureaucracy, indecisive in the face of proliferating crises of representative democracy, the European nation-state, Manent says, is nearing the end of its line. What new metamorphosis of the city will supplant it remains to be seen.
Author: National Education Association of the United States
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 454
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Great Britain
Languages : en
Pages : 1032
Get Book Here
Book Description
Vols. 10- include the Union's Annual report, 9th, 11th, 16th-18th, 1929, 1936,
Author: Graeme Snooks
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134775717
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 510
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book discusses the nature and process of change in human society over the past two million years. The author draws on economic, historical and biological concepts to examine the driving forces of change and looks to likely developments in the future. This analysis produces some very thought-provoking and controversial conclusions.
Author: Mississippi Valley Historical Association
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Mississippi River Valley
Languages : en
Pages : 744
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Roy Ovid Hall
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : China
Languages : en
Pages : 186
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Organization of American Historians
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Mississippi River Valley
Languages : en
Pages : 468
Get Book Here
Book Description
"Directory of the ... association ... to February 9, 1924:" v. 11, pt. 1, p. [143]-164.
