Disentangling the Importance of the Precautionary Saving Mode

Disentangling the Importance of the Precautionary Saving Mode PDF Author: Arthur B. Kennickell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Saving and investment
Languages : en
Pages : 44

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Book Description
"We assess the importance of the precautionary saving motive by relying on a direct question about precautionary wealth from the 1995 and 1998 waves of the Survey of Consumer Finances. In this survey, a new question has been designed to elicit the amount of desired precautionary wealth. This allows us to bound the amount of precautionary accumulation and to overcome many of the problems of previous works on this topic. We find that a precautionary saving motive exists and affects virtually every type of household. Even though this motive does not give rise to large amounts of wealth for young and middle-age households, it is particularly important for two groups: older households and business owners. Overall, we provide strong evidence that we need to take the precautionary saving motive into account when modeling saving behavior"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site

Disentangling the Importance of the Precautionary Saving Mode

Disentangling the Importance of the Precautionary Saving Mode PDF Author: Arthur B. Kennickell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Saving and investment
Languages : en
Pages : 44

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Book Description
"We assess the importance of the precautionary saving motive by relying on a direct question about precautionary wealth from the 1995 and 1998 waves of the Survey of Consumer Finances. In this survey, a new question has been designed to elicit the amount of desired precautionary wealth. This allows us to bound the amount of precautionary accumulation and to overcome many of the problems of previous works on this topic. We find that a precautionary saving motive exists and affects virtually every type of household. Even though this motive does not give rise to large amounts of wealth for young and middle-age households, it is particularly important for two groups: older households and business owners. Overall, we provide strong evidence that we need to take the precautionary saving motive into account when modeling saving behavior"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site

Disentangling the Importance of the Precuationary Saving Mode

Disentangling the Importance of the Precuationary Saving Mode PDF Author: Arthur Kennickell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
We assess the importance of the precautionary saving motive by relying on a direct question about precautionary wealth from the 1995 and 1998 waves of the Survey of Consumer Finances. In this survey, a new question has been designed to elicit the amount of desired precautionary wealth. This allows us to bound the amount of precautionary accumulation and to overcome many of the problems of previous works on this topic. We find that a precautionary saving motive exists and affects virtually every type of household. Even though this motive does not give rise to large amounts of wealth for young and middle-age households, it is particularly important for two groups: older households and business owners. Overall, we provide strong evidence that we need to take the precautionary saving motive into account when modeling saving behavior.

Disentangling the Importance of the Precautionary Saving Motive

Disentangling the Importance of the Precautionary Saving Motive PDF Author: Arthur B. Kennickell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
We evaluate the importance of the precautionary saving motive by relying on a direct question about precautionary wealth from the 1995 and 1998 waves of the Survey of Consumer Finances. In this survey, a new question has been designed to elicit the amount of desired precautionary wealth. This allows us to assess the amount of precautionary accumulation and to overcome many of the problems of previous works on this topic. We find that a precautionary saving motive exists and affects virtually every type of household. However, precautionary savings account for only 8 percent of total wealth holdings. Even though this motive does not give rise to large amounts of wealth, particularly for young and middle-age households, it is particularly important for two groups: older households and business owners. Overall, we provide strong evidence that we need to take the precautionary saving motive into account when modeling saving behavior.

Disentangling the Importance of the Precautionary Saving Motive

Disentangling the Importance of the Precautionary Saving Motive PDF Author: Arthur B. Kennickell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Saving and investment
Languages : en
Pages : 80

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Book Description
We assess the importance of the precautionary saving motive by relying on a direct question about precautionary wealth from the 1995 and 1998 waves of the Survey of Consumer Finances. In this survey, a new question has been designed to elicit the amount of desired precautionary wealth. This allows us to bound the amount of precautionary accumulation and to overcome many of the problems of previous works on this topic. We find that a precautionary saving motive exists and affects virtually every type of household. Even though this motive does not give rise to large amounts of wealth for young and middle-age households, it is particularly important for two groups: older households and business owners. Overall, we provide strong evidence that we need to take the precautionary saving motive into account when modeling saving behavior.

A Fragile Balance

A Fragile Balance PDF Author: J. Collins
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137482370
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 399

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Book Description
A Fragile Balance examines strategies to promote emergency savings, especially among underserved households. Each chapter is by an expert contributor and proposes an innovative financial product or service designed to bolster emergency savings among low-asset families. This collection also offers readers insights into the role of emergency savings and mechanisms to facilitate savings behaviors, and raises critical questions of the scale, institutional capacity, sustainability, accessibility, and effectiveness of existing programs.

Notes on Consumption Theory

Notes on Consumption Theory PDF Author: Giuseppe Travaglini
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031549864
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 157

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Book Description


Precautionary Savings and the Importance of Business Owners

Precautionary Savings and the Importance of Business Owners PDF Author: Erik Hurst
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business enterprises
Languages : en
Pages : 54

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Book Description
"In this paper, we show the pivotal role business owners play in estimating the importance of the precautionary saving motive. Since business owners hold larger amounts of wealth than other households for non-precautionary reasons and also face highly volatile income, they induce a correlation between wealth and income risk regardless of whether or not a precautionary saving motive exists. Using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics in the 1980s and the 1990s, we show that among both business owners and non-business owners, the size of precautionary savings with respect to labor income risk is modest and accounts for less than ten percent of total household wealth. However, pooling together the two groups leads to an artificially high estimate of the importance of precautionary savings. New data from the Survey of Consumer Finances further confirms that precautionary savings account for less than ten percent of total wealth for both business owners and non-business owners. Thus, while a precautionary saving motive exists and affects all households, it does not give rise to high amounts of wealth in the economy, particularly among those households who face the most volatile stream of income"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

NBER Reporter

NBER Reporter PDF Author: National Bureau of Economic Research
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 302

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Book Description


There is a Risk-return Tradeoff After All

There is a Risk-return Tradeoff After All PDF Author: Eric Ghysels
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capitalism
Languages : en
Pages : 72

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Book Description
This paper studies the ICAPM intertemporal relation between the conditional mean and the conditional variance of the aggregate stock market return. We introduce a new estimator that forecasts monthly variance with past daily squared returns %u2013 the Mixed Data Sampling (or MIDAS) approach. Using MIDAS, we find that there is a significantly positive relation between risk and return in the stock market. This finding is robust in subsamples, to asymmetric specifications of the variance process, and to controlling for variables associated with the business cycle. We compare the MIDAS results with tests of the ICAPM based on alternative conditional variance specifications and explain the conflicting results in the literature. Finally, we offer new insights about the dynamics of conditional variance.

Predicting Volatility

Predicting Volatility PDF Author: Eric Ghysels
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business enterprises
Languages : en
Pages : 64

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Book Description
We consider various MIDAS (Mixed Data Sampling) regression models to predict volatility. The models differ in the specification of regressors (squared returns, absolute returns, realized volatility, realized power, and return ranges), in the use of daily or intra-daily (5-minute) data, and in the length of the past history included in the forecasts. The MIDAS framework allows us to compare models across all these dimensions in a very tightly parameterized fashion. Using equity return data, we find that daily realized power (involving 5-minute absolute returns) is the best predictor of future volatility (measured by increments in quadratic variation) and outperforms model based on realized volatility (i.e. past increments in quadratic variation). Surprisingly, the direct use of high-frequency (5-minute) data does not improve volatility predictions. Finally, daily lags of one to two months are sucient to capture the persistence in volatility. These findings hold both in- and out-of-sample.