Devaluation Expectations

Devaluation Expectations PDF Author: Hans Lindberg
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Devaluation of currency
Languages : en
Pages : 72

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Book Description
Devaluation expectations for the Swedish krona are estimated for the period 1982-1991 with several methods. First the "simplest test" is applied under either only the minimal assumption of "no positive minimum profit" or the additional assumption of uncovered interest parity. Then a more precise method suggested by Bertola and Svensson is used, in which expected rates of depreciation within the exchange rate band, estimated in several ways, are subtracted from interest rate differentials. In addition the probability density of the time of devaluations is estimated. Finally, estimated devaluation expectations are to some extent explained by a few macrovariables and parliament elections

Devaluation Expectations

Devaluation Expectations PDF Author: Hans Lindberg
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Devaluation of currency
Languages : en
Pages : 72

Get Book Here

Book Description
Devaluation expectations for the Swedish krona are estimated for the period 1982-1991 with several methods. First the "simplest test" is applied under either only the minimal assumption of "no positive minimum profit" or the additional assumption of uncovered interest parity. Then a more precise method suggested by Bertola and Svensson is used, in which expected rates of depreciation within the exchange rate band, estimated in several ways, are subtracted from interest rate differentials. In addition the probability density of the time of devaluations is estimated. Finally, estimated devaluation expectations are to some extent explained by a few macrovariables and parliament elections

Devaluation Expectations and the Stock Market

Devaluation Expectations and the Stock Market PDF Author: Torbjörn Becker
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Devaluation of currency
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Book Description


Devaluing to Prosperity

Devaluing to Prosperity PDF Author: Surjit S. Bhalla
Publisher: Peterson Institute
ISBN: 0881326518
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 283

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Book Description
Experts have long questioned the effect of currency undervaluation on overall GDP growth. They have viewed the underlying basis for this policy--intervention in currency markets to keep the price of the home currency cheap--as doomed to failure on both theoretical and empirical grounds. Moreover, the view has been that overvalued currencies hurt economic growth but undervalued currencies cannot help in growth acceleration. A parallel belief has been that the real exchange rate--that is, a country's competitive ranking--cannot be affected by merely changing the nominal exchange rate. This view is grounded in the belief, and expectation, that inflation follows any devaluation of currency. Hence, the conclusion that the real exchange rate cannot be affected by policy. However, given China's remarkable performance in recent decades, this traditional view is being reexamined. China devalued its currency by large amounts in the 1980s and early 1990s; instead of inflation, it achieved high growth. Today, there is near-universal demand for China to significantly revalue its currency. This book examines the veracity of various propositions relating to currency misalignments, and their effect on various items of policy interest. The author subjects more than a century of global exchange rate management and growth outcomes to rigorous empirical analysis and demonstrates convincingly that a country can systematically devalue and yet prosper. The analysis helps in interpreting several phenomena, especially for the last three decades, which have witnessed high economic growth in developing countries, a widening of global imbalances, and a sharp increase in reserve accumulation, particularly among high-growth Asian economies. The book shows that these events are strongly linked via a consistent policy of currency undervaluation in Asian economies.

Economics of Monetary Union

Economics of Monetary Union PDF Author: Paul De Grauwe
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0199605572
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 281

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Book Description
The ninth edition of Economics of Monetary Union provides a concise analysis of the theories and policies relating to monetary union. The author analyses both the costs and benefits associated with having one currency, as well as the practical workings and current issues with the Euro. In Part One the author examines the implications of adopting a common currency; assessing the countries benefit from being in the Eurozone members, while also questioning whether other parts of the world would gain from monetary unification. Part Two of the book looks at the problems of running a monetary union by analysing Europe's experience and the issues faced by the European Central Bank. Review comments: 'As a book that focuses on the Economics of the EMU, it is literally and metaphorically without competition and thus beyond compare'. Professor Rob Ackrill, Nottingham Trent University 'I think it is the best in the field.' Dr Matteo Iannizzotto, Durham University 'It is clearly the leading textbook for lecturers teaching modules in European Integration and a key reference for students and researchers.' Dr Jan Fidrmuc, Brunel University Online Resource Centre: For Students: Links to data sources Essay questions links to articles and papers For Lecturers: Instructor manual PowerPoint slides

Interest Rate Differentials, Capital Mobility and Devaluation Expectations

Interest Rate Differentials, Capital Mobility and Devaluation Expectations PDF Author: Tom Bernhardsen
Publisher: Information Department
ISBN:
Category : Capital movements
Languages : en
Pages : 180

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Book Description


A Retrospective on the Bretton Woods System

A Retrospective on the Bretton Woods System PDF Author: Michael D. Bordo
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226066908
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 692

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Book Description
At the close of the Second World War, when industrialized nations faced serious trade and financial imbalances, delegates from forty-four countries met in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, in order to reconstruct the international monetary system. In this volume, three generations of scholars and policy makers, some of whom participated in the 1944 conference, consider how the Bretton Woods System contributed to unprecedented economic stability and rapid growth for 25 years and discuss the problems that plagued the system and led to its eventual collapse in 1971. The contributors explore adjustment, liquidity, and transmission under the System; the way it affected developing countries; and the role of the International Monetary Fund in maintaining a stable rate. The authors examine the reasons for the System's success and eventual collapse, compare it to subsequent monetary regimes, such as the European Monetary System, and address the possibility of a new fixed exchange rate for today's world.

Ukraine

Ukraine PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498351026
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 133

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Book Description
This paper discusses Ukraine’s 2013 Article IV Consultation and First Post-Program Monitoring. The Ukrainian economy has been in recession since mid-2012, and the outlook remains challenging. In January–September 2013, GDP contracted by 11⁄4 percent year-over-year, reflecting lower demand for Ukrainian exports and falling investments. Consumer prices stayed flat, held down by decreasing food prices and tight monetary policy. The fiscal stance loosened in 2012–2013, contributing to the buildup of vulnerabilities. Ukraine remains current on all its payments to the IMF, and the authorities have reaffirmed their commitment to repay all outstanding IMF credit.

Credibility and the International Monetary Regime

Credibility and the International Monetary Regime PDF Author: Michael D. Bordo
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521811333
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 257

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Book Description
This book presents ten studies which combine historical narrative with econometrics to analyze the role of credibility in four monetary regimes.

Exchange Rate Economics

Exchange Rate Economics PDF Author: Ronald MacDonald
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134801254
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 465

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Book Description
First published in 2007. Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence is the second edition of Floating Exchange Rates: Theories and Evidence, and builds on the successful content and structure of the previous edition, but has been comprehensively updated and expanded to include additional literature on the determination of both fixed and floating exchange rates. Core topics covered include: • the purchasing power parity hypothesis and the PPP puzzle; • the monetary and portfolio-balance approaches to exchange rates; • the new open economy macroeconomics approach to exchange rates; and • the determination of exchange rates in target zone models and speculative attack models. Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence also includes extensive discussion of recent econometric work on exchange rates with a particular focus on equilibrium exchange rates and measuring exchange rate misalignment, as well as discussion on the non-fundamentals-based approaches to exchange rate behaviour, such as the market microstructure approach. The book will appeal to academics and postgraduate students with an interest in all aspects of international finance and will also be of interest to practitioners concerned with issues relating to equilibrium exchange rates and the forecastability of currencies in terms of macroeconomic fundamentals.

The Macroeconomic Theory of Exchange Rate Crises

The Macroeconomic Theory of Exchange Rate Crises PDF Author: Giovanni Piersanti
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199653127
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 407

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Book Description
An overview of the causes and consequences of speculative attacks on domestic currency and international financial turmoil. It provides a comprehensive treatment of the existing theories of exchange rate crises and of financial market runs.