Cross-country Evidence on Long Run Growth and Inflation PDF Download
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Author: Todd E. Clark
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 98
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Book Description
Author: Todd E. Clark
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 98
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Book Description
Author: Todd E. Clark (Economiste)
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 76
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Book Description
Author: Michael Bruno
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 64
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Book Description
Recent literature suggests that long-run averages of growth and inflation are only weakly correlated and such correlation is not robust to exclusion of extreme inflation observations; inclusion of time series panel data has improved matters, but an aggregate parametric approach remains inconclusive. We propose a nonparametric definition of high inflation crises as periods when inflation is above 40 percent annually. Excluding countries with high inflation crises, we find no evidence of any consistent relationship between growth and inflation at any frequency. However, we find that growth falls sharply during discrete high inflation crises, then recovers surprisingly strongly after inflation falls. The fall in growth during crisis and recovery of growth after crisis tend to average out to close to zero (even slightly above zero), hence the lack of a robust cross-section correlation. Our findings could be consistent either with trend stationarity of output, in which inflation crises are purely cyclical phenomena, or with models in which crises have a favorable long-run purgative effect. Our findings do not support the view that reduction of high inflation carries heavy short-to-medium run output costs.
Author: Ross Levine
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
Cross- country regressions should not be used to predict by how much long- run growth will change when policies change-- at best, they suggest interesting empirical regularities. But beliefs about policy and growth that are not supported by cross- country evidence will tend to be viewed skeptically.
Author: Stephanie Kremer
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783941240032
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
Author: Martin Feldstein
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226241769
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 374
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Book Description
In recent years, the Federal Reserve and central banks worldwide have enjoyed remarkable success in their battle against inflation. The challenge now confronting the Fed and its counterparts is how to proceed in this newly benign economic environment: Should monetary policy seek to maintain a rate of low-level inflation or eliminate inflation altogether in an effort to attain full price stability? In a seminal article published in 1997, Martin Feldstein developed a framework for calculating the gains in economic welfare that might result from a move from a low level of inflation to full price stability. The present volume extends that analysis, focusing on the likely costs and benefits of achieving price stability not only in the United States, but in Germany, Spain, and the United Kingdom as well. The results show that even small changes in already low inflation rates can have a substantial impact on the economic performance of different countries, and that variations in national tax rules can affect the level of gain from disinflation.
Author: Martin Ravallion
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Bienestar economico y social
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
One side in the current debate about who benefits from growth has focused solely on average impacts on poverty and inequality, while the other side has focused on the diverse welfare impacts found beneath the averages. Both sides have a point.
Author: Barry Vincent Cozier
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 72
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Book Description
Author: Ross Levine
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 6101919153
Category : Aumentoa de la produccion
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
Author: Peter J. N. Sinclair
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135179778
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 402
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Book Description
Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.
