Correlated Defaults, Incomplete Information, and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads PDF Download
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Author: Kay Giesecke
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 107
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Book Description
Author: Kay Giesecke
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 107
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Book Description
Author: Frank Fabozzi
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 0071715304
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 24
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Book Description
From The Handbook of Fixed Income Securities--the most authoritative, widely read reference in the global fixed income marketplace--comes this sample chapter. This comprehensive survey of current knowledge features contributions from leading academics and practitioners and is not equaled by any other single sourcebook. Now, the thoroughly revised and updated seventh edition gives you the facts and formulas you need to compete in today's transformed marketplace. It places increased emphasis on applications, electronic trading, and global portfolio management.
Author: Patrick Gagliardini
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
The aim of this paper is to extend the results of Jarrow, Yu (2001) on the spread term structures of corporate bonds. We first consider different characterisations of these term structures, when the available information corresponds to the default histories of the firms. The approach is then extended to factor models, both in a static and in a dynamic framework. We discuss in details the links between default correlation and jumps in short term spreads, and how these phenomenons depend on the available information.
Author: Christian Gourieroux
Publisher: Montréal : HEC Montréal, Centre de recherche en e-finance
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 60
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Book Description
Author: Martijn Cremers
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporate bonds
Languages : en
Pages : 58
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Book Description
Prices of equity index put options contain information on the price of systematic downward jump risk. We use a structural jump-diffusion firm value model to assess the level of credit spreads that is generated by option-implied jump risk premia. In our compound option pricing model, an equity index option is an option on a portfolio of call options on the underlying firm values. We calibrate the model parameters to historical information on default risk, the equity premium and equity return distribution, and S & P 500 index option prices. Our results show that a model without jumps fails to fit the equity return distribution and option prices, and generates a low out-of-sample prediction for credit spreads. Adding jumps and jump risk premia improves the fit of the model in terms of equity and option characteristics considerably and brings predicted credit spread levels much closer to observed levels.
Author: Antje Berndt
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 52
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Book Description
We establish Markovian models in the Heath, Jarrow and Morton paradigm that permit an exponential affine representation of riskless and risky bond prices while offering significant flexibility in the choice of volatility structures. Estimating models in our family is typically no more difficult than estimating term structure models in the workhorse affine family. In addition to diffusive and jump-induced default correlations, default events can impact credit spreads of surviving firms. This feature allows a greater clustering of defaults. Numerical implementations highlight the importance of taking interest rate-credit spread correlations, credit spread impact factors and the full credit spread curve information into account when building a unified model framework that prices any credit derivative.
Author: Kay Giesecke
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
We estimate arbitrage-free term structure models of US Treasury yields and spreads on BBB and B-rated corporate bonds in a doubly- stochastic intensity-based framework. A novel feature of our analysis is the inclusion of macroeconomic variables - indicators of real activity, inflation and financial conditions - as well as latent factors, as drivers of term structure dynamics. Our results point to three key roles played by macro factors in the term structure of spreads: they have a significant impact on the level, and particularly the slope, of the curves; they are largely responsible for variation in the prices of systematic risk; and speculative grade spreads exhibit greater sensitivity to macro shocks than high grade spreads. In addition to estimating risk-neutral default intensities, we provide estimates of physical default intensities using data on Moody's KMV EDFs"!as a forward-looking proxy for default risk. We find that the real and financial activity indicators, along with filtered estimates of the latent factors from our term structure model, explain a large portion of the variation in EDFs"!across time. Furthermore, measures of the price of default event risk implied by estimates of physical and risk-neutral intensities indicate that compensation for default event risk is countercyclical, varies widely across the cycle, and is higher on average and more variable for higher- rated bonds.
Author: David Lando
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
The term structure of interest rates contains information about the market's expectations of the direction of future interest rates. Similarly, the term structure of credit spreads contains information about the market's perception of future credit spreads. The term structure of credit spreads is closely linked with conditional default probabilities and this link suggests a downward sloping term structure of credit spreads for high risk issuers, whose default probability conditional on survival is likely to decrease. This paper shows that for sufficiently low credit quality, as defined by the level of credit spreads, this holds true most of the time when spreads are taken from credit default swap (CDS) markets. We also discuss why CDS markets give a better way of analyzing this problem than bond price data.
Author: Stefan Trück
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
We investigate the term structure of credit spreads and credit default swaps for different rating categories. It is well-known quite that for issuers with lower credit quality higher spreads can be observed in the market and vice versa. However, empirical results on spreads for bonds with the same rating but different maturities are rather controversial. We provide empirical results on the term structure of credit spreads based on a large sample of Eurobonds and domestic bonds from EWU-countries. Further we investigate maturity effects on credit default swaps and compare the results to those of corporate bonds. We find that for both instruments a positive relationship between maturity and spreads could be observed for investment grade debt. For speculative grade debt the results are rather ambiguous. We also find that spreads for the same rating class and same maturity exhibit very high variation.
