Collective Intertemporal Choice

Collective Intertemporal Choice PDF Author: Antony Millner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 15

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Book Description
Recent work on collective intertemporal choice suggests that non-dictatorial social preferences are generically time inconsistent. We argue that this claim conflates time consistency with two distinct properties of preferences: stationarity and time invariance. While the conjunction of time invariance and stationarity implies time consistency, the converse does not hold. Although social preferences cannot be stationary, they may be time consistent if time invariance is abandoned. If individuals are discounted utilitarians, revealed preference provides no guidance on whether social preferences should be time consistent or time invariant. Nevertheless, we argue that time invariant social preferences are often normatively and descriptively problematic.

Collective Intertemporal Choice

Collective Intertemporal Choice PDF Author: Antony Millner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 15

Get Book Here

Book Description
Recent work on collective intertemporal choice suggests that non-dictatorial social preferences are generically time inconsistent. We argue that this claim conflates time consistency with two distinct properties of preferences: stationarity and time invariance. While the conjunction of time invariance and stationarity implies time consistency, the converse does not hold. Although social preferences cannot be stationary, they may be time consistent if time invariance is abandoned. If individuals are discounted utilitarians, revealed preference provides no guidance on whether social preferences should be time consistent or time invariant. Nevertheless, we argue that time invariant social preferences are often normatively and descriptively problematic.

Collective Intertemporal Choice

Collective Intertemporal Choice PDF Author: Antony Millner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


Collective Intertemporal Decisions and Heterogeneity in Groups

Collective Intertemporal Decisions and Heterogeneity in Groups PDF Author: Daniela Glätzle-Rützler
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
Many important intertemporal decisions, such as investments of firms or households, are made by groups rather than individuals. Little is known what happens to such collective decisions when group members have different incentives for waiting, because the economics literature on group decision making has, so far, assumed homogeneity within groups. In a lab experiment, we study the causal effect of group members' heterogeneous payoffs from waiting on intertemporal choices. We find that three-person groups behave more patiently than individuals and that this effect is driven by the presence of at least one group member with a high payoff from waiting. We present group chat content, survey data, and additional treatments to uncover the mechanism through which heterogeneity in groups increases patience.

Intertemporal Choice

Intertemporal Choice PDF Author: George Loewenstein
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780199257065
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 320

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Book Description
George Loewenstein has been at the forefront of progress in bringing together the disciplines of economics and psychology. One area in which he has made a major contribution is in the analysis of intertemporal choice: the extent to which and reasons why we are prepared to defer some immediate benefit for a greater benefit at a later date. This volume includes Loewenstein's most important papers on the topic and an introduction which sets the papers in an overall framework, taking account of current work in this area.

Essays on Intertemporal Choice Under Uncertainty

Essays on Intertemporal Choice Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Pradeep Singh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 135

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Book Description
The dissertation investigates intertemporal decision-making under uncertainty. In particular, I analyze how two traditionally under-explored sources of uncertainty affect trade-offs between the present and the future in making decisions: a) uncertainty of life, and b) strategic uncertainty in collective action dilemmas. Chapter 1 deals with the temporal dynamics of value in strategic interactions, and Chapter 2 extends the analysis to incorporate interaction between a homogeneous vis-à-vis a heterogeneous triad. Participants affiliated with different social groups at the University of Washington, Seattle, participated in a series of one-shot Voluntary Contribution Mechanism (VCM) games; the games extended the incentive structure of the VCM to decompose it into the relative temporal change in the public and private accounts, in addition to varying the social composition of the participating groups. Results from the experiment indicate that temporal delay is a significant factor in explaining voluntary contribution, with the outcomes being sensitive to the time horizon. To gauge the mechanisms of voluntary contribution with delayed rewards, the hypothesis as to whether expectation of how others' value the future affect one's own contribution was also tested. The results indicate that conditioning on our future self, how others value the future enters our calculus of voluntary contribution, but conditioning on our present self it has no effect. In "real life" settings, that benefits from cooperative behavior materialize in the near or distant future is perhaps the general rule. The proper functioning of markets is built upon cooperation between buyer and seller, the benefits of which are often realized in the future (for example, e-commerce or group buying schemes). The provision of public goods, whether it be providing immunization to a village, restoring a natural park, or contributing towards global public goods such as carbon offset projects - each have a temporal element embedded into them. In climate change and environmental negotiations, different countries with differing stated valuations of the future interact to provide a global public good, i.e. a habitable climate. Summers and Zeckhauser (2008) note that at International Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) negotiations, how to discount the future is always a thorny issue. Other real-life applications such as the contours of racism and the role of cliques in organizational behavior can also be better understood by unpacking the interaction between social and temporal preferences in collective action. Future studies confirming the robustness of the results, finding contradictory evidence, as well as testing hypothesis not found significant in the present study will be a fruitful line of inquiry. While there has been a plethora of studies on discounting behavior in individual decisions that have documented the phenomenon of present-bias (Kahneman, 1979; Frederick and Loewenstein, 2002), the results from the first two chapters contributes to the nascent literature in the field of discounting in strategic interactions that have been conducted to date by Deck and Jahedi (2013a, 2013b). Chapter 3 analyzes data from the World Bank Living Standard Measurement Survey (LSMS) conducted in Nepal (2003/04 and in 1995/96), in addition to the data on conflict measures collected by INSEC, a non-profit group promoting human rights, to gauge the effect of the "Maoist" civil war on agricultural household decision-making. Results indicate that in addition to causing the destruction of physical capital, life and the deterioration of social norms, the civil war was associated with changes in future-oriented decision making and inhibited household investments in the future. The evidence suggests that the civil conflict in Nepal further exacerbated the existing poverty levels by inhibiting investment levels further pushing households deeper in the chasm of a "poverty trap."

Handbook of Behavioral Economics - Foundations and Applications 1

Handbook of Behavioral Economics - Foundations and Applications 1 PDF Author:
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0444633898
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 748

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Book Description
Handbook of Behavioral Economics: Foundations and Applications presents the concepts and tools of behavioral economics. Its authors are all economists who share a belief that the objective of behavioral economics is to enrich, rather than to destroy or replace, standard economics. They provide authoritative perspectives on the value to economic inquiry of insights gained from psychology. Specific chapters in this first volume cover reference-dependent preferences, asset markets, household finance, corporate finance, public economics, industrial organization, and structural behavioural economics. This Handbook provides authoritative summaries by experts in respective subfields regarding where behavioral economics has been; what it has so far accomplished; and its promise for the future. This taking-stock is just what Behavioral Economics needs at this stage of its so-far successful career. Helps academic and non-academic economists understand recent, rapid changes in theoretical and empirical advances within behavioral economics Designed for economists already convinced of the benefits of behavioral economics and mainstream economists who feel threatened by new developments in behavioral economics Written for those who wish to become quickly acquainted with behavioral economics

Choice Over Time

Choice Over Time PDF Author: George Loewenstein
Publisher: Russell Sage Foundation
ISBN: 1610443659
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 424

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Book Description
Many of our most urgent national problems suggest a widespread lack of concern for the future. Alarming economic conditions, such as low national savings rates, declining corporate investment in long-term capital projects, and ballooning private and public debt are matched by such social ills as diminished educational achievement, environmental degradation, and high rates of infant mortality, crime, and teenage pregnancy. At the heart of all these troubles lies an important behavioral phenomenon: in the role of consumer, manager, voter, student, or parent, many Americans choose inferior but immediate rewards over greater long-term benefits. Choice Over Time offers a rich sampling of original research on intertemporal choice—how and why people decide between immediate and delayed consequences—from a broad range of theoretical and methodological perspectives in philosophy, political science, psychology, and economics. George Loewenstein, Jon Elster, and their distinguished colleagues review existing theories and forge new approaches to understanding significant questions: Why do people seem to "discount" future benefits? Do individuals use the same decision-making strategy in all aspects of their lives? What part is played by situational factors such as the certainty of delayed consequences? How are decisions affected by personal factors such as willpower and taste? In addressing these issues, the contributors to Choice Over Time address many social, economic, psychological, and personal time problems. Their work demonstrates the predictive power of short-term preferences in behavior as varied as addiction and phobia, the effect of prices on consumption, and the dramatic rise in debt and decline in savings. Choice Over Time provides an essential source for the most recent research and theory on intertemporal choice, offering new models for time preference patterns—and their aberrations—and presenting a diversity of potential solutions to the problem of "temporal myopia."

Intertemporal Choice and Its Anomalies

Intertemporal Choice and Its Anomalies PDF Author: Salvador Cruz Rambaud
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
ISBN: 2889458032
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 88

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Book Description
This Research Topic of the journals Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics and Frontiers in Psychology on “Intertemporal choice and its anomalies” has collected ten manuscripts on several fields, which demonstrates that this topic is of interest for many important research activities outside of traditional domains of economics and finance. In effect, the concepts of time preference, rationality and time-inconsistency in intertemporal choice can be applied to a wide variety of social problems such as addictions, retirement plans, and health, among others. On the other hand, the main anomalies or paradoxes in intertemporal choice (such as delay effect, sign effect, magnitude effect, delay-speedup asymmetry, and sequence effect) have been considered, as manifestations of many problematic behaviors of self-control in intertemporal choice.

The Future of Economic Design

The Future of Economic Design PDF Author: Jean-François Laslier
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030180506
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 507

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Book Description
This collection of essays represents responses by over eighty scholars to an unusual request: give your high level assessment of the field of economic design, as broadly construed. Where do we come from? Where do we go from here? The book editors invited short, informal reflections expressing deeply felt but hard to demonstrate opinions, unsupported speculation, and controversial views of a kind one might not normally risk submitting for review. The contributors – both senior researchers who have shaped the field and promising, younger researchers – responded with a diverse collection of provocative pieces, including: retrospective assessments or surveys of the field; opinion papers; reflections on critical points for the development of the discipline; proposals for the immediate future; "science fiction"; and many more. The readers should have fun reading these unusual pieces – as much as the contributors enjoyed writing them.

Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments

Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments PDF Author: Tamar Kugler
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 038777131X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 364

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Book Description
This text examines new research at the interface of operations research, behavioral and cognitive sciences, and decision analysis. From the cognitive behaviorist who collects empirical evidence as to how people make decisions to the engineer and economist who are the consumers of such understanding, the reader encounters the familiar Traveling Salesman Problem and Prisoner's dilemma, how agricultural decisions are made in Argentina's Pampas region, and some social goals that come into play as an element of rational decision-making. In these 14 self-contained chapters, broad topics covered include the integration of decision analysis and behavioral models, innovations in behavioral models, exploring descriptive behavior models, and experimental studies.