Beliefs, Portfolio Constraints, Speculation and Asset Pricing

Beliefs, Portfolio Constraints, Speculation and Asset Pricing PDF Author: Nam Dau
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Book Description
This paper studies the interaction of borrowing and short-sale constraints and their ultimate effects on asset pricing properties in a simultaneous presence of the constraints in a dynamic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous risk aversions and heterogeneous beliefs in the aggregate cash flow growth. The constraints negate the binding of each other, and hence they virtually never bind at once. Instead, there exist clear regions with alternative binding modes of the constraints with different constraints more likely to bind in different states of economy. The borrowing constraint is more active in bad times and the short-sale constraint is so in good times. The constraints bind intermittently--alternately at times--in transitory states of economy where their relative strength is balanced. Qualitatively matching empirically documented patterns of asset prices, I find that the constraints moderate their price effects but amplify their negative volatility effects, thereby can help curb the market volatility. However, a motive for speculation, featured by a speculative premium, arises due to any constraints, and thus can exist in any states of economy, not only in good times.

Beliefs, Portfolio Constraints, Speculation and Asset Pricing

Beliefs, Portfolio Constraints, Speculation and Asset Pricing PDF Author: Nam Dau
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Book Description
This paper studies the interaction of borrowing and short-sale constraints and their ultimate effects on asset pricing properties in a simultaneous presence of the constraints in a dynamic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous risk aversions and heterogeneous beliefs in the aggregate cash flow growth. The constraints negate the binding of each other, and hence they virtually never bind at once. Instead, there exist clear regions with alternative binding modes of the constraints with different constraints more likely to bind in different states of economy. The borrowing constraint is more active in bad times and the short-sale constraint is so in good times. The constraints bind intermittently--alternately at times--in transitory states of economy where their relative strength is balanced. Qualitatively matching empirically documented patterns of asset prices, I find that the constraints moderate their price effects but amplify their negative volatility effects, thereby can help curb the market volatility. However, a motive for speculation, featured by a speculative premium, arises due to any constraints, and thus can exist in any states of economy, not only in good times.

Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory

Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory PDF Author: Kerry Back
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0195380614
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 504

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Book Description
This book covers the classical results on single-period, discrete-time, and continuous-time models of portfolio choice and asset pricing. It also treats asymmetric information, production models, various proposed explanations for the equity premium puzzle, and topics important for behavioral finance.

Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory

Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory PDF Author: Kerry E. Back
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0190241152
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 608

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Book Description
In the 2nd edition of Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory, Kerry E. Back offers a concise yet comprehensive introduction to and overview of asset pricing. Intended as a textbook for asset pricing theory courses at the Ph.D. or Masters in Quantitative Finance level with extensive exercises and a solutions manual available for professors, the book is also an essential reference for financial researchers and professionals, as it includes detailed proofs and calculations as section appendices. The first two parts of the book explain portfolio choice and asset pricing theory in single-period, discrete-time, and continuous-time models. For valuation, the focus throughout is on stochastic discount factors and their properties. A section on derivative securities covers the usual derivatives (options, forwards and futures, and term structure models) and also applications of perpetual options to corporate debt, real options, and optimal irreversible investment. A chapter on "explaining puzzles" and the last part of the book provide introductions to a number of additional current topics in asset pricing research, including rare disasters, long-run risks, external and internal habits, asymmetric and incomplete information, heterogeneous beliefs, and non-expected-utility preferences. Each chapter includes a "Notes and References" section providing additional pathways to the literature. Each chapter also includes extensive exercises.

Portfolio Choice and Asset Pricing with Endogenous Beliefs and Skewness Preference

Portfolio Choice and Asset Pricing with Endogenous Beliefs and Skewness Preference PDF Author: Center for Economic Research (Tilburg)
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789056684129
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


A Behavioral Approach to Asset Pricing

A Behavioral Approach to Asset Pricing PDF Author: Hersh Shefrin
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080482244
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 636

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Book Description
Behavioral finance is the study of how psychology affects financial decision making and financial markets. It is increasingly becoming the common way of understanding investor behavior and stock market activity. Incorporating the latest research and theory, Shefrin offers both a strong theory and efficient empirical tools that address derivatives, fixed income securities, mean-variance efficient portfolios, and the market portfolio. The book provides a series of examples to illustrate the theory. The second edition continues the tradition of the first edition by being the one and only book to focus completely on how behavioral finance principles affect asset pricing, now with its theory deepened and enriched by a plethora of research since the first edition

Optimal Beliefs, Asset Prices, and the Preference for Skewed Returns

Optimal Beliefs, Asset Prices, and the Preference for Skewed Returns PDF Author: Markus Konrad Brunnermeier
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Assets (Accounting)
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Book Description
Human beings want to believe that good outcomes in the future are more likely, but also want to make good decisions that increase average outcomes in the future. We consider a general equilibrium model with complete markets and show that when investors hold beliefs that optimally balance these two incentives, portfolio holdings and asset prices match six observed patterns: (i) because the cost of biased beliefs are typically second-order, investors typically hold biased assessments of probabilities and so are not perfectly diversified according to objective metrics; (ii) because the costs of biased beliefs temper these biases, the utility costs of the lack of diversification are limited; (iii) because there is a complementarity between believing a state more likely and purchasing more of the asset that pays off in that state, investors over-invest in only one Arrow-Debreu security and smooth their consumption well across the remaining states; (iv) because different households can settle on different states to be optimistic about, optimal portfolios of ex ante identical investors can be heterogeneous; (v) because low-price and low-probability states are the cheapest states to buy consumption in, overoptimism about these states distorts consumption the least in the rest of the states, so that investors tend to overinvest in the most skewed securities; (vi) finally, because investors with optimal expectations have higher demand for more skewed assets, ceteris paribus, more skewed asset can have lower average returns.

Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing PDF Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262039370
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 497

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Book Description
An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

Speculation and Financial Wealth Distribution Under Belief Heterogeneity

Speculation and Financial Wealth Distribution Under Belief Heterogeneity PDF Author: Dan Cao
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 64

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Book Description
Under limited commitment that prevents agents from pledging their future non-financial wealth, agents with incorrect beliefs always survive by holding on to their non-financial wealth. Friedman (1953)'s market selection hypothesis suggests that their financial wealth trends towards zero in the long run. However, in this paper, we present a dynamic general equilibrium model with incomplete markets due to collateral constraints and show that the hypothesis depends on the degree of market incompleteness. When markets are more incomplete, over-optimistic agents not only survive but also prosper by speculation. But they end up with low long run financial wealth when markets are more complete. In this model, stricter margin requirements protect the wealth of the optimists and thereby increase asset price volatility. The numerical method developed in this paper can be used for many other heterogeneous agent models with recursive utility functions, incomplete markets, portfolio constraints, and in the presence of non-tradable endowments.

Financial Decisions and Markets

Financial Decisions and Markets PDF Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400888220
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 480

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Book Description
From the field's leading authority, the most authoritative and comprehensive advanced-level textbook on asset pricing In Financial Decisions and Markets, John Campbell, one of the field’s most respected authorities, provides a broad graduate-level overview of asset pricing. He introduces students to leading theories of portfolio choice, their implications for asset prices, and empirical patterns of risk and return in financial markets. Campbell emphasizes the interplay of theory and evidence, as theorists respond to empirical puzzles by developing models with new testable implications. The book shows how models make predictions not only about asset prices but also about investors’ financial positions, and how they often draw on insights from behavioral economics. After a careful introduction to single-period models, Campbell develops multiperiod models with time-varying discount rates, reviews the leading approaches to consumption-based asset pricing, and integrates the study of equities and fixed-income securities. He discusses models with heterogeneous agents who use financial markets to share their risks, but also may speculate against one another on the basis of different beliefs or private information. Campbell takes a broad view of the field, linking asset pricing to related areas, including financial econometrics, household finance, and macroeconomics. The textbook works in discrete time throughout, and does not require stochastic calculus. Problems are provided at the end of each chapter to challenge students to develop their understanding of the main issues in financial economics. The most comprehensive and balanced textbook on asset pricing available, Financial Decisions and Markets is an essential resource for all graduate students and practitioners in finance and related fields. Integrated treatment of asset pricing theory and empirical evidence Emphasis on investors’ decisions Broad view linking the field to financial econometrics, household finance, and macroeconomics Topics treated in discrete time, with no requirement for stochastic calculus Forthcoming solutions manual for problems available to professors

Asset Price Volatility and Trading Volume with Rational Beliefs

Asset Price Volatility and Trading Volume with Rational Beliefs PDF Author: Ho-Mou Wu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 35

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Book Description
This paper develops a model of speculative trading in a large economy with a continuum of investors. In our model the investors are assumed to have diverse beliefs which are rational in the sense of being compatible with observed data.We demonstrate the existence of price amplification effects and show that the equilibrium prices can be higher or lower than the rational expectation equilibrium price. It is also shown that trading volume is positively related to the directions of price changes. Moreover, we study how asset price volatility and trading volume are influenced by belief structures, short selling constraints and the amount of fund available for investment.